"The emergence of a Moscow-Tehran alliance has multiple
international implications, potentially dimming prospects for a new agreement
to rein in Iran’s nuclear program.
The relationship between Russia and Iran has been developing
for years. President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia deployed his air force to
Syria starting in 2015 to prevent the collapse of the regime of President
Bashar al-Assad, a longtime ally of Tehran. Russia and Iran worked in lock step
militarily, with Russian warplanes providing cover for Iranian militiamen and
Iranian proxy forces fighting on the ground.
Syria was one example of the effort by both to find
ways to sap American strength and prestige wherever they could in the world,
and Ukraine provides a similar opportunity on an even larger, more visible
scale.
After its 1979 revolution, Iran formulated foreign policy
around the slogan “Neither East nor West,” equally wary of the Soviet Union and
the United States. Now, the Islamic Republic is choosing sides, analysts said,
and images of Iran’s exploding drones accurately hitting their targets
advertise it as a regional power to be taken seriously.
Iran also wants to show the world that it
has a military superpower as an ally and it has the capacity to sell weapons to
such a power,” he said in a telephone interview. “It shows the West’s policies
of maximum pressure to isolate Iran have not worked.
The drones carry smaller payloads and are much slower than
such missiles, making them far easier to shoot down. But they are also much
cheaper, so Russia can launch them in bunches, overwhelming air defenses and
allowing some to reach their targets.
“They can be used by Russia to target electricity, fuel, et cetera, and
to attempt to economically exhaust Ukraine over time,” said Michael Kofman,
director of Russia studies at C.N.A., a defense research institute in
Arlington, Va."
“In their view, the West is either irreconcilably hostile or
unreliable,” Mr. Vaez said of Iran. “I think in this conflict in Ukraine, they
see an opportunity for consolidating the relationship with the East as a way of
trying to neutralize the pressure they face from the West, be it economic,
military or political.”"
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