"MOSCOW — President Biden may have
his alliance of democracies, but as a video summit on Wednesday underscored,
Russia and China still have each other.
President Xi Jinping of China,
facing a diplomatic boycott of this winter’s Beijing Olympics from Mr. Biden
and others, secured a public pledge from President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia
that he would attend — the first national leader to R.S.V.P.
Mr. Putin, facing threats of
crushing Western sanctions if Russian forces attack Ukraine, heard Mr. Xi
propose that Russian and China cooperate to “more effectively safeguard the
security interests of both parties.”
The videoconference between Mr. Xi
and Mr. Putin on Wednesday — the 37th time the two men had met since 2013,
according to Mr. Xi — was both a show of solidarity between two leaders
battling Western pressure and a display of the kind of mutually beneficial, increasingly
tight partnership their two countries are building.
“We firmly support each other on
issues concerning each other’s core interests and safeguarding the dignity of
each country,” Mr. Xi told Mr. Putin, according to reports in the Chinese state
news media.
There is still plenty of friction
between Russia and China, onetime adversaries that share a land border
stretching more than 2,600 miles, over matters like Siberian logging and history. But on trade, security
and geopolitics they are increasingly on the same page, forming a bloc trying
to take on American influence as both countries’ confrontations with the United
States deepen.
The two countries do not have a
formal alliance. But Mr. Xi told Mr. Putin that “in its closeness and
effectiveness, this relationship even exceeds an alliance,” according to a
Kremlin aide, Yuri V. Ushakov, who briefed reporters in Moscow on the meeting
after it ended.
The two leaders discussed forming an
“independent financial infrastructure,” Mr. Ushakov said, to reduce their
reliance on Western banks and their vulnerability to punitive measures from the
West. And they floated a possible three-way summit with India, evidence of
their broader geopolitical ambitions; Mr. Putin traveled to New Delhi to meet
with Prime Minister Narendra Modi last week.
“A new model of cooperation has been
formed between our countries — one based on foundations like noninterference in
domestic affairs and respect for each others’ interests,” Mr. Putin told Mr. Xi
in televised remarks.
In a bit of symbolic stagecraft,
both men spoke with both the Chinese and Russian flags in the frame behind them
— in contrast to Mr. Putin’s videoconference last week with Mr. Biden, when Mr.
Putin spoke next to only the Russian flag.
Analysts say that an important
factor in Russian-Chinese ties is the personal chemistry between Mr. Putin and
Mr. Xi, both men in their late 60s who have consolidated control over their
countries’ political systems. Mr. Xi addressed Mr. Putin as his “old friend,”
while the Russian president called his Chinese counterpart both his “dear
friend” and “esteemed friend.”
But Mr. Xi and Mr. Putin came to
Wednesday’s meeting with very different near-term priorities. For Mr. Xi, the
summit was a chance to deflect mounting criticism over China’s actions in
crushing the pro-democracy movement in Hong Kong, in menacing Taiwan and in
repressing Muslim minority groups in western China, and over a host of lower
profile issues.
He hopes to show that China is not
isolated diplomatically, especially on the eve of the Winter Olympics, which
are intended to showcase China’s global stature, not the souring of its
relations with much of the world.
“I expect that in February of next
year, we will finally meet in person in Beijing,” Mr. Putin told Mr. Xi,
addressing the Olympics in his televised opening remarks. “We have unfailingly
supported each other in questions of international athletic cooperation, including
in not accepting any attempts to politicize sports or the Olympic movement.”
For Mr. Putin, the talks came at a
high-stakes moment in his brinkmanship over Western influence in Ukraine. Karen
Donfried, the American assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian
Affairs, was in Moscow on Wednesday for talks on Ukraine. Mr. Ushakov said that
Russian officials presented her with a proposal detailing Mr. Putin’s
previously stated demands that the West roll back its military support for
Ukraine and rule out the expansion of the NATO alliance to include Ukraine or
other countries in the region.
Western officials are alarmed by
Russian troop movements near the Ukrainian border, worrying that Russia could
be threatening an invasion even as it makes diplomatic demands. The Chinese
public account of the meeting mentioned neither Ukraine nor NATO, but appeared
to allude to Russia’s security concerns over them.
“China and Russia should carry out
more joint actions to more effectively safeguard the security interests of both
parties,” Mr. Xi told Mr. Putin, according to the Chinese account.
The leaders’ united front in the
meeting seemed intended as a riposte to the “Summit for Democracy” that Mr.
Biden hosted last week, widely viewed as an effort to build a bulwark against governments
like those in Russia and China.
“Certain international forces under
the guise of ‘democracy’ and ‘human rights’ are interfering in the internal
affairs of China and Russia,” Mr. Xi said, according to the Chinese
account. “Whether a country is democratic, and how to better realize democracy,
can only be judged by its own people.”
Cheng Xiaohe, a professor at the
Renmin University’s School of International Studies in Beijing, said the
relationship between the two countries gave their leaders the opportunity to
demonstrate “mutual support and joint confrontation” in facing the United
States. That is especially true at a time of economic uncertainty and rising
international tensions.
“Both China and Russia face the same pressure
from the United States,” he said. “Therefore, the two countries need to support
each other in diplomacy.”
The Russian and Chinese leaders meet
or speak often — though only virtually since the pandemic began. What was
unusual about Wednesday’s meeting was China’s effort to telegraph its message
in advance.
“Close strategic coordination”
between the two countries is essential in today’s turbulent world, a spokesman
for the Chinese Foreign Ministry said this week.
The two countries have deepened a
relationship that, over the decades, has been fraught with suspicion and, in
1969, erupted into a border clash near Khabarovsk.
When Russia faced sanctions
following the annexation of the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea in 2014, Mr.
Putin turned to China to soften the blow, stepping up trade across the border
from energy to timber.
That same year, Russian public
opinion of China improved sharply; 70 percent of Russians now have a positive
attitude toward the country, according to the Levada Center independent pollster
— far better than their view of the United States, the European Union or
Ukraine.
The militaries of both countries
have also stepped up joint exercises and even operations, including in the air
and, for the first time in October, naval patrols in
the Pacific. They have also pledged to explore space together.
Before Wednesday’s call, Dmitri
Rogozin, the head of Russia’s space program, said that a proposed Russian-Chinese lunar
station “will be based on principles of equal partnership, transparency and
consensus in the decision-making process” — in contrast, he said, to the terms
set by the United States in its lunar station project.
Even so, there are limits to this
united front.
China has never recognized the
annexation of Crimea, for example, nor does Russia side with China on its
expansive claims in the South China Sea. They have also stopped short of
binding themselves in a formal treaty alliance, preferring to maintain their
ability to act independently and flexibly.
“I do not think they are yet at a
point where Beijing would endorse any Russian action in Ukraine, nor would
Russia eagerly side with China if the Chinese decided to invade Taiwan,” said
Sergei Radchenko, a professor of international relations at Cardiff University,
who has written extensively on the relationship.
“I would imagine that they would
each show a degree of benevolent neutrality toward the other.”"
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