Because it has
already destroyed the foundations of the Lithuanian economy. Thanks to the
great sacrifices of the Lithuanian people and catastrophically low salaries,
Lithuanian business has become included in the world economy. The Conservatives
did not understand what we were doing here and ruined everything. Kindergarten
leaders and musicians cannot run the state, despite what the Communists would tell us. China is the second largest economy in the world. China is the world's factory. Destroying the business that earns money in relations with China is now an impossible goal.
"This is an
event of great significance - what is happening between Lithuania and China is
much more important than what is happening between Lithuania and Belarus,"
N. Mačiulis told the News Radio on Monday.
The economist
reminds that tensions between Lithuania and China are not new - bilateral
relations have weakened after Lithuania withdrew from the 17 + 1 format
connecting Central and Eastern European countries and China and established the
world's first Taiwanese representation in Vilnius on behalf of the island, not
its capital Taipei. Still, he says, the pressure on business so far has been
milder - trade has stalled but has not stopped, and a new and much tighter tone
has been emanating from the Far East in the past week.
"We are now
seeing a whole new dimension, a new phenomenon - we have not really heard of
China interacting this way with any other country in the European Union (EU - ELTA) or
any other Western country. It is very strictly said to multinational companies
that if they use goods of Lithuanian origin, they will not be able to transport
those goods or their import into China will be restricted. This is a very
serious step, because China cannot directly do any great damage,” - says N.
Mačiulis.
He also notes that
although China cannot officially put pressure on Lithuanian business because of
agreements with the EU, it does not prevent the largest Asian economy from damaging Lithuanian companies in other ways, which, according to the expert,
China is already doing "behind closed doors".
"China cannot
officially do so, it would be contrary to the rules of bilateral trade
agreements with the EU and the World Trade Organization. China can do it behind
closed doors, somewhere secret and seems to be doing so. There have already
been some examples, and if they are repeated, it can certainly have much more
serious consequences than the transit of potassium fertilizers,” - N. Mačiulis
noted.
According to the
Swedbank economist, the risks that have arisen in the diplomatic space after Lithuania's
actions are already being fulfilled, and China's response is unexpectedly
painful and aggressive. According to him, China can use Lithuania as an example
for other countries if China's political line and the "One China
Principle" are not respected.
"China is
reacting much more painfully and aggressively than expected through a variety
of secondary channels. There are also estimates that there will be cyber
attacks against Lithuanian institutions. "China is certainly not a small, or
weak, however it is an unpredictable country that can try to teach Lithuania in various ways
and set an example for other countries not to jump against it, especially on
such sensitive issues as Taiwan," - says N. Mačiulis.
On Thursday, the
news agency Reuters announced that China had ordered international companies to
sever ties with Lithuania, otherwise they face withdrawal from the Chinese
market. A senior government official and industry organization told the news
agency.
Chinese Foreign
Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said on Thursday that China was complying with
international trade rules and again criticized Lithuania for its position on
Taiwan.
After Taiwan
opened a representative office in Vilnius last month, China has curtailed its
diplomatic relations with Lithuania. In November last year, Lithuania's ruling
coalition agreed to support Taiwan's "freedom fighters", which
threatened its relations with China.
Lithuania's direct
trade with China is small, but there are hundreds of companies operating in its
export-oriented economy, producing products such as furniture, lasers, food and
clothing for international companies that sell them to China.
Meanwhile, after
the Lithuanian Railways terminated the agreement with the Belarusian potassium
fertilizer manufacturer Belaruskalij, which a company under the Department of
Transportation will lose about $ 60 million under U.S. sanctions revenue
for freight. If by 2023. According to Mantas Bartuška, the head of Lietuvos
Geležinkeliai, the company will be threatened with lawsuits and hundreds of
millions of euros in fines."
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