Based on the work of Nobel laureate Joel Mokyr, conditions missing in the EU's internet and AI economy development include a fragmented digital single market, inadequate financial risk-taking, and insufficient institutional support for "creative destruction". While the EU is a leader in some areas of AI research and talent, these shortcomings hinder the translation of scientific knowledge into widespread economic prosperity.
Mokyr's three key requisites for sustained technological growth are:
Useful knowledge: The expansion and sharing of scientific understanding and practical application methods.
Mechanical competence: A critical mass of skilled technicians and entrepreneurs ("upper tail human capital") who can implement and improve new technologies.
Institutions conducive to technological progress: Social and political systems that manage the disruptive effects of innovation and embrace change.
Missing conditions in the EU's digital and AI economy
Institutions that embrace "creative destruction"
The EU's regulatory landscape is often cited as too cautious, hampering the necessary process of "creative destruction" where new companies and technologies displace old ones.
Vested interests: European regulatory and political systems may still allow established interest groups to impede disruptive change, a phenomenon Mokyr documented throughout history.
Balancing risk and innovation: In 2024, EU enterprises' use of AI technologies was low, ranging from 3% to 28% across member states. While regulations like the AI Act aim to create safe conditions, critics argue they may discourage new market entrants by creating a heavier compliance burden than in the U.S. and China.
Fragmented market conditions
Unlike the unified market of the United States, Europe's digital economy is fragmented by national borders, which hinders scaling innovation across the continent.
Uneven adoption: There is a significant disparity in AI adoption among EU member states. In 2024, Denmark had an enterprise AI adoption rate of nearly 28%, compared to just over 3% in Romania. This fragmentation slows the overall integration of new technology into the European economy.
Competition issues: While competition policy is a focus for EU regulators, concerns remain that the dominance of U.S. and Chinese "big tech" in the digital market makes it harder for new European players to enter and compete effectively.
Availability of venture capital
While the EU has strong foundational research, it lags behind the US in the venture capital financing necessary to transform innovative ideas into large, successful businesses.
Funding gap: This lack of sufficient investment means that many promising EU tech startups must look elsewhere for funding, often leading them to relocate to the US to scale up.
Scaling businesses: Mokyr's work emphasizes that innovation must be put into economic use to drive growth. A venture capital gap creates a bottleneck, preventing the large-scale implementation of "useful knowledge" developed within Europe.
What the EU does well
It is important to note that the EU has strengths that align with some of Mokyr's conditions for growth:
Strong foundational knowledge: The EU boasts a robust base of "useful knowledge," with excellent universities and a large pool of talented researchers.
Skilled workforce: Mokyr highlights the importance of "upper tail human capital"—the skilled artisans and technicians who implement and improve new technologies. Europe has traditionally excelled in this area, producing many highly skilled workers.
Germany and France, the biggest EU economies have many gigantic companies that are afraid to suffer from creative destruction by innovations. So these countries mostly keep quiet about these problems. Young economy of Poland encourages Poland to talk clearly about this:
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