"The front has frozen, but behind the scenes, the
industries of both countries are struggling to gain an advantage over the
opponent.
– Russian engineers are on the verge of making a
technological breakthrough, warned Marija Berlinska from the Ukrainian Air
Reconnaissance Support Center. The Russians are intensively developing drone
production. According to Berlinska, "Russia already has an advantage over
Ukraine in the number of drones produced, but it can also win in their quality."
– (Russian drones) can already have automatic target acquisition, the cameras
are starting to work more independently. Traditional means of electronic
warfare, with which we have not yet sufficiently saturated the front, even they
will become ineffective. If they launch serial production of such machines, it
will be a big challenge for us, she warns.
It's about how to attack with drones. Currently, operators
direct them, select targets and decide on the attack. If a technological leap
is made - the use of artificial intelligence - they will simply be fired and
attack the enemy themselves.
The first such case - when drones attacked enemy
troops without direct human involvement - was recorded in early spring 2020 in
Libya. The UN commission of experts stated that government troops' drones,
which searched for targets and made decisions about the attack, fell on Khalifa
Haftar's troops retreating from the capital of the country. These were Turkish
Kargu-2 machines.
To help Ukraine stop Putin, Western countries will have to
start emptying their own weapons warehouses. Factories can't cope.
Currently, the Russians are working intensively on such
solutions, including attacking with an autonomous swarm of drones. Depending on
its size, it could even lead to a break in the front.
Drones can replace artillery, and this is already happening
in Ukraine. “We depend very heavily on (Western) partners when it comes to
artillery. In the summer, for example, our gun squadron fired 500 shells, and
now it fires about 20. Thank God, there is such a thing as a drone. Cheap,
mobile, you don't have to carry a heavy gun, which is difficult to hide. It has
much better accuracy," writes a Ukrainian lieutenant nicknamed Aleks from
the front.
In Russia, drone operators began to be trained on a mass
scale
So far, both sides had problems with artillery ammunition,
but in drones the Ukrainians had the advantage. Since December, the Russians
have started to dominate. However, according to a group of Western experts,
"the situation is changing, but we are not observing the advantage that
could be expected from the large-scale, state-owned production announced by
Russia in 2023."
Indeed, Russian politicians announced a great leap in
production. At the same time, training for drone operators began on a mass
scale. Drone piloting was introduced during "defense training"
lessons, and schools in almost two-thirds of Russian regions bought the
appropriate equipment. But the introduction of "autonomous drones"
(using "artificial intelligence") would greatly reduce the need for
such operators, after all, the machines would attack on their own."
Developing artificial intelligence requires a lot of computing power, and therefore a lot of money and talented people. We in Lithuania have already distributed all the money. Who will build stadiums for the children of German soldiers from the famous brigade, who will continue to work with golden spoons. And our gifted ones will continue to run around in the bushes, learning to see in the moss in the dark the unexploded cluster mines of Kasčiūnas. You know, this is Lithuania. If we're stupid, it's all over the belly stupid.
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