Šimonytė thought that Belarusians would gently, like cats, sue us for breaking the fertilizer contract. After all, the accountant Šimonytė still
knows about the courts, but she doesn't understand public policy. In a free
market, everyone will try to avoid the obstacles that are now emerging in
Lithuania. Losses will fall on Klaipėda port, Lithuanian railways, and
Lithuanian exporters. We'll have to wait a long time for lower taxes, if at
all:
"After the
Belarusian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced on Wednesday a ban on the
transit of rail freight from Lithuania, a representative of the Lithuanian
Railways (LTG) confirmed to the BNS that the company had received a letter
confirming this from the Railway Transport Council, which unites about 20
railway companies from different countries.
According to
Mantas Dubauskas, the ban will be applied to transport oil products and
fertilizers from Lithuania via Belarus. It will take effect on February 7th.
Whether the ban
will apply to non-transit cargo, he said he could not say.
Lithuanian
Railways has previously reported to BNS that after rejecting empty potassium
fertilizer wagons still returning to Belarus, an average of 18 trains a day
depart from Lithuania to Belarus from 1 February.
"It is
planned that in February, about 30 percent of the trains (5-6) crossing the
Lithuanian-Belarusian border on the Lithuanian side should consist of trains
loaded at Lithuanian stations, and most of them would go to Belarus, Russia,
Ukraine,” - the company said in a comment to BNS.
According to the
company, the trains formed in Lithuania mainly transport oil products,
fertilizers and ferrous metals. Oil products and nitrogen fertilizers are
transported to Ukraine via Belarus by Orlen Lietuva and Jonava Achema.
Some Lithuanian
exporters claim that they are already directing their cargo through Poland.
In response to the
actions of Belarus, some of the country's manufacturers are already trying new
routes through Poland, says Vaidotas Šileika, President of the Association of
Lithuanian Stevedoring Companies (LJKKA). According to him, Lithuanian carriers
could transport cargo by trucks or rail through Latvia or Poland (more expensive method).
"One of them
is to transfer part of the cargo from rail to road and bypass Belarus or, if
transit for road transport is not closed, to cross Belarus by road. Another
solution is to bypass Belarus and try to transport cargo by rail through
Latvia, but it is doubtful whether sufficient transit cargo capacity will be ensured
on this route. Another alternative is cargo transportation through Poland,
which has been tested by some Lithuanian manufacturers," - he said in a
comment to the media.
V. Šileika says
that blocking the way for transit through Belarus could disrupt 2-3 million
tons or even higher cargo flow from Klaipėda port.
"This would
mean quite big losses for Klaipėda port and companies there. Currently,
about 2-3 mln. tons of a wide range of cargo: chemical products, fertilizers,
agricultural products, metal products, equipment, various cargo in containers,
etc. If we add the flow of cargo transported by road, which crosses Belarus,
the volume of cargo would be significantly higher,” - says V. Šileika.
According to him,
it is not clear whether the train "Viking", which transports
containers to Klaipėda port, will be stopped.
"This is a
joint project of Lithuania, Belarus and Ukraine, the fate of which is also
unclear. Today, this train is quite loaded and carries a number of containers.
However, the question is what the future holds for it, whether this train will
be allowed into Belarus and the project will be continued, or whether it will
also be stopped,” - says the President of LJKKA.
According to V.
Šileika, the supply chain would become more expensive due to such alternatives,
therefore it is natural that cargo owners would start considering whether to
choose Klaipėda port for their transportation.
At that time,
Jonava nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer Achema assured that such a move by
Minsk would cause it problems.
Ramūnas
Miliauskas, CEO of Achema, told BNS on Tuesday that the company is constantly
transporting its products to Ukraine via Belarus, which would cause it serious
problems.
"If Belarus
decides not to accept railway transport from Lithuania, it would cause serious
difficulties for both us and our customers. The closure of the borders with
Belarus would have to cancel existing and future contracts with customers or
divert production logistics through Latvia, which would undoubtedly increase
logistics costs and increase the financial burden for us and our customers,” - the head of the company said in a comment to BNS.
BNS has not yet
received a comment from Orlen Lietuvos. Michalas Rudnickis, the CEO of the company,
last year BNS said that it had already tested alternative rail freight to
Ukraine, via Poland instead of Belarus, and that it was already transporting
about 8% of products throughout this new route.
"We wanted to try and prove that there is such an
alternative. The route is not longer, but less convenient, because the rolling
stock needs to be changed twice," - said M. Rudnickis this time."
People, think when you vote. Not all accountants
(Grybauskaitė, Nausėda, Šimonytė) are suitable for state administration.