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2022 m. rugsėjo 1 d., ketvirtadienis

The root of Gorbachev's problems was a weak state apparatus

 

Gorbachev's goal was to destroy the all-suffocating communist rule in the Soviet Union. For this he used nationalists like our Landsbergis, democrats, also those who wanted to privatize state assets and other opposition participants. In order to prevent these opposition participants from subverting the Soviet state, Gorbachev used the army and other elements of the state apparatus to counterbalance the influence of the opposition participants. The Soviet state apparatus turned out to be weak and incompetent, so it was unable to maintain its position. Nevertheless, the communist government is destroyed. Gorbachev's goal has been achieved.

 

Some of my readers say that Brazauskas and Grybauskaitė prove that members of the Communist Party are still in power. If the people who say that Lithuania is now ruled by Vytautas Landsbergis were wrong, then such a scoundrel as Gabrielius Landsbergis would not be a minister and would not do as much damage to Lithuania as he has done now. Where is the Communist Party here?

 

"Mikhail Gorbachev's goal, according to his associates, was "socialism with a human face." The belief that communism was reformable was what led him to risk introducing fundamental change. Soviet citizens were allowed to speak and demonstrate without fear of arrest, to open businesses and to travel abroad. Gorbachev put an end to the Cold War, renounced the Marxist idea of class struggle as the driving force of history, and refused to intervene to save communist regimes in Eastern Europe.

In the end, Gorbachev couldn't save his own power or create democracy. He defeated totalitarianism but didn't destroy it. He clung to socialist beliefs and fought to preserve the Soviet Union's ideological structure. When he was removed on Dec. 25, 1991, and the Soviet flag was lowered over the Kremlin for the last time, the moral and legal vacuum he left behind spawned a criminal oligarchic regime in Russia that used terror to stay in power.

In 1985, when Gorbachev became general secretary of the Communist Party, the Soviet Union was at the height of its power. But it faced problems with economic growth and military technology. In 1982 Israeli pilots flying U.S. jets destroyed 81 Syrian-piloted Soviet MiG-21 and MiG-23 jets over Lebanon's Bekaa Valley without losing a single plane. On March 23, 1983, President Ronald Reagan announced the Strategic Defense Initiative program, which would make it possible for the U.S. to intercept Soviet missiles in space.

In response to these perils, Gorbachev initiated measures to increase productivity. These included a campaign to tighten workplace discipline and an antialcohol campaign. Both were ineffective. Gorbachev tried next to decentralize the economy. This was resisted by Communist Party officials. To overcome this resistance, Gorbachev agreed to liberalization. The regime freed hundreds of political prisoners and began to allow the release of truthful information. This was glasnost. The regime also instituted competitive elections to bodies where deputies could express opposing views openly.

The result of this change was that long-concealed social problems began to be discussed. More important, newspapers and television published facts about the mass murders during the Stalin period, including victims' names and the sites of mass graves.

The publication of truthful information led to a nationwide crisis of faith. "Our generation was brought up under socialism and without belief in God," a 33-year-old mother of three wrote to Pravda on Jan. 18, 1988. "As a result of glasnost, the idea of socialism has been discredited. I cannot speak for everyone but my faith has been shaken."

The Soviet Union gave the outward impression of being monolithic, but its stability actually depended on three factors: the successful suppression of nationalism, the passivity of the working class, and the unity of the party.

All these were guaranteed by the ideology, which was beginning to collapse under glasnost.

As millions changed their attitude toward communism, Gorbachev took steps to create a power base for himself independent of the party. In March 1990, the Congress of People's Deputies, the parliament Gorbachev's reforms had created, voted to elect him the Soviet Union's first president. Despite the forces he had unleashed, Gorbachev remained loyal to socialism and the Soviet Union. He also didn't risk a popular election for the post of president. This put him at a serious disadvantage in dealing with Boris Yeltsin who in June 1991 was directly elected president of the Russian Republic, formerly only an administrative unit of the Soviet Union.

The Soviet Union needed to create fully democratic institutions and prepare for a peaceful breakup on the basis of law. But in part because of Gorbachev's determination to preserve the essential Soviet structure, the level of confrontation in society steadily rose.

In 1991 Gorbachev aligned himself with the army, police and KGB and sent troops into Lithuania to suppress the independence movement. On Jan. 13, soldiers opened fire on a crowd at the television tower in Vilnius, killing 14. A week later, 500,000 people gathered in Moscow to protest the killings.

Gorbachev prepared to sign a union treaty decentralizing the Soviet Union but preserving it as a state. On Aug. 19, 1991, however, he was isolated in his vacation residence in Crimea and his closest associates staged a coup to preserve the Soviet Union in its existing form. Yeltsin organized the resistance. Three days later the coup collapsed. When Gorbachev returned to Moscow from captivity, he had already been eclipsed politically by Yeltsin. On Dec. 25, the Soviet Union ceased its existence and Gorbachev, its first and only president, was forced to resign.

In the years that followed, Gorbachev continued to be honored in the West for ending the Cold War and for his contributions to freedom. He was much less popular in his own country. In 1996 he ran for president of Russia and received less than 1% of the vote. During the campaign he attracted a huge audience at Novosibirsk State University but the students had come to see a historical figure, not a future leader. One said, "He didn't use the chance he had."

Gorbachev made a profound contribution by accepting that the Soviet Union had to change. His failure to fight for a full transition to democracy, however, left Russia to carry out the transition from state ownership to capitalism without the rule of law. The consequence was bandit capitalism, and terror.

---

Mr. Satter is a former Moscow correspondent and the author, among other books, of "Age of Delirium: the Decline and Fall of the Soviet Union."" [1]

1. Gorbachev's Undoing Was His Devotion to Soviet Ideas
Satter, David. 
Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y. [New York, N.Y]. 01 Sep 2022: A.15.

JAV bendradarbiauja su Artimųjų Rytų sąjungininkais pagal dronų - laivų planą

  „MANAMA, Bahreinas – JAV karinis jūrų laivynas bendradarbiauja su Izraeliu, Saudo Arabija ir kitomis Artimųjų Rytų valstybėmis, kad sukurtų nepilotuojamų dronų tinklą, siekdamas suvaržyti Irano kariuomenę regione – programa, kurią Pentagonas tikisi, bus pavyzdys operacijoms visame pasaulyje.

 

    Irano islamo revoliucijos gvardijos korpuso valdomas laivas bandė užgrobti amerikiečių bepilotį laivą, aprūpintą kameromis, radaru ir kitais jutikliais, tačiau antradienį, kai priartėjo JAV karo laivas ir sraigtasparnis, atsisakė šių pastangų, pranešė JAV pareigūnai.

 

    JAV pareigūnai atsisakė atskleisti JAV ir jos sąjungininkų dislokuotų orlaivių ir jūrų bepiločių laivų skaičių arba pateikti išsamios informacijos apie tai, kur ir kaip jie naudojami. Tačiau jie teigė, kad nepilotuojami laivai ir orlaiviai suteikia jiems geresnį matomumą virš regiono vandenų.

 

    Karinis jūrų laivynas tikisi iki kitos vasaros turėti 100 mažų stebėjimo bepiločių laivų, kuriais prisidėjo įvairios šalys, kurie veiks nuo Sueco kanalo Egipte iki vandenų prie Irano pakrantės ir tieks informaciją komandų centrui Bahreine, kuris būstinė JAV penktajam laivynui.

 

    „Manau, kad mes tikrai esame ant nepilotuojamos technologinės revoliucijos slenksčio“, – sakė kapitonas Michaelas Brasseuras, vadovaujantis JAV karinio jūrų laivyno darbo grupei, kuriančiai bepiločių laivų parką Artimuosiuose Rytuose.

 

    Bepiločių laivų iniciatyva, jau šeštą mėnesį vykstanti, yra dalis JAV, Izraelio ir Persijos įlankos šalių augančių bendradarbiavimo santykių po Abraomo susitarimų.

 

    Robotų operacijų centre Manamoje, Bahreine, JAV karinio jūrų laivyno darbuotojai ir privatūs rangovai stebi dronų eigą. Vaizdo įrašų ekranuose rodomi mirksintys raudoni įspėjimai, kai dronai nustato vadinamuosius tamsius taikinius arba įtariamas grėsmes.

 

    Dronai gali siųsti išsamius vaizdus ir kitus duomenis. Analitikai peržiūri vaizdus ir bando nustatyti, ką jie rodo.

 

    Pastangoms vadovaujantis vadas viceadm. Bradas Cooperis sakė, kad laivynas įrodė savo vertę aptikęs tokią veiklą, kaip Kinijos karinio jūrų laivyno laivas judantis per rajoną ir įtartinus perkėlimus iš laivo į laivą.

 

    Bandomi dronai yra neginkluoti. Tačiau gynybos analitikai tikisi, kad karinis jūrų laivynas ateityje ims aprūpinti kai kuriuos ginklais. JAV įstatymų leidėjai išreiškė susirūpinimą dėl planų statyti didesnius nepilotuojamus laivus – programa, kuri gali kainuoti milijardus dolerių.

 

    JAV bepiločių laivų operacijos prasidėjo, didėjant susirūpinimui dėl didėjančios Irano įtakos vienoje iš svarbiausių pasaulio ekonominių magistralių. Teheranas dislokavo laivus ir povandeninius laivus, aprūpintus oro dronais, ir perspėjo, kad yra pasirengęs juos panaudoti." [1]


1. World News: U.S. Works With Mideast Allies on Drone Plan
Nissenbaum, Dion. 
Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y. [New York, N.Y]. 01 Sep 2022: A.16.