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2022 m. spalio 3 d., pirmadienis

Išsigandusi Zelenskio kariauna nori „pagreitintos procedūros“ būdu įstoti į NATO

"Tačiau aljansas dar kartą aiškiai parodo, kad nenori tapti karinės operacijos šalimi.

 

    Daugelis NATO narių nustebo penktadienio popietę iš Kijevo išvydę žinią: prezidentas Volodymyras Zelenskis pateikė prašymą dėl Ukrainos narystės aljanse, net taikant „pagreitintą procedūrą“. Neaišku, ar Jensas Stoltenbergas taip pat nustebo.

 

    Paklaustas apie tai, jis pakartojo standartines frazes šia tema: kad kiekviena demokratija Europoje turi teisę kreiptis dėl narystės, kad Aljanso durys atviros, kad Ukraina gali laisvai pasirinkti savo kelią ir kad yra trisdešimt sąjungininkų sutarimas dėl plėtros. Tada pasigirdo pagrindinis pareiškimas: „Dabar mūsų tikslas yra teikti tiesioginę paramą Ukrainai“.

 

    Tas sakinys prilygo galvos papurtymui. Išverstas į politiką, buvo parašyta: Ne dabar! Ta pati žinutė netrukus atėjo iš Londono ir Vašingtono. „Dabar mes sutelkiame dėmesį į praktines priemones, skirtas paremti Ukrainos pastangas vietoje, o ne į teismą Briuselyje“, – sakė JK vyriausybės atstovas. JAV prezidento Joe Bideno patarėjas nacionalinio saugumo klausimais Jake'as Sullivanas sakė, kad geriausia Ukrainai suteikti praktinę paramą dabar. Procesas Briuselyje turėtų prasidėti „kitu laiku“. Šis sąskambis bent jau bylojo už žaibišką susitarimą, jei ne už gerai parengtą.

 

    Zelenskis Švediją ir Suomiją laiko sektinais pavyzdžiais

 

    Annalena Baerbock atskleidė tikrąjį to motyvą. Nors Ukraina ir toliau bus remiama jos teisėje į savigyną, tuo pat metu bus daroma viskas, „kad NATO nebūtų įtraukta į šią operaciją“, sakė Vokietijos užsienio reikalų ministras. Tai yra bendra raudonoji linija, dėl kurios sąjungininkai susitarė iškart po Rusijos operacijos Ukrainoje pradžios: pats aljansas neturėtų tapti operacijos partija. Tačiau tai būtų automatiškai, jei valstybės narės dabar vykdytų Kijevo prašymą. Ginkluotas išpuolis prieš valstybę narę yra laikomas „ataka prieš jas visas“ – tokia yra NATO sutarties 5 straipsnyje numatytos pagalbos pareigos esmė.

 

    Todėl „spartintos priėmimo procedūros“ tikrai nebus. Zelenskis kaip sektinus pavyzdžius nurodė Švediją ir Suomiją, kurios savo rankose laikė savo stojimo protokolą praėjus keturioms savaitėms po paraiškos pateikimo – ir pagarbą Turkijos prezidentui Erdoganui. Beveik visos valstybės narės jį jau ratifikavo, nors Turkija dar neratifikavo. Pirmadienį nebuvo iki galo aišku, kaip NATO pasielgs Ukrainos atveju. Iš pradžių buvo laukiama, kol Zelenskio prašymas bus oficialiai įteiktas; tai turėtų įvykti ne vėliau, kaip antradienį. Dėl politinio sprogimo gali būti, kad gynybos ministrai pirmiausia tai aptars kitą savaitę susitikę Briuselyje.

 

    Ginkluotųjų pajėgų modernizavimas, net neįstojus

 

    Devynios rytinės valstybės narės sekmadienį paskelbė bendrą pareiškimą. „Tvirtai palaikome 2008 m. Bukarešto NATO viršūnių susitikimo sprendimą dėl būsimos Ukrainos narystės“, – sakoma jame. Briuselyje tai buvo suprasta, kaip solidarumo su Kijevu signalas. Tačiau valstybės – „Bukarešto devynių“ grupė be Vengrijos, bet ir su Šiaurės Makedonija – tolesnių žingsnių nekomentavo.

 

    Be to, 2008 m. rezoliucijoje buvo numatytas „Narystės veiksmų planas“, skirtas trokštančioms Ukrainai ir Gruzijai, kurio abiems valstybėms niekada nepasiūlė. Zelenskio tai nebedomina. Dvi Skandinavijos šalys taip pat būtų įtrauktos į aljansą be tokio plano, penktadienį sakė jis.

 

    Vakarų NATO šalys, tarp jų ir Vokietija, tokį veiksmų planą visada atidėdavo. Nors tai nesukurtų teisinės pareigos ginti Ukrainą, bet sukurtų moralinę pareigą – taip visada buvo pateisinama viduje. Tačiau oficialiai buvo teigiama, kad net ir be šio formalaus instrumento buvo dirbama, kad Ukrainos ginkluotosios pajėgos atitiktų Vakarų standartus. Paskutiniame viršūnių susitikime Madride sąjungininkai tada nusprendė dėl „sustiprintos paramos paketo“ su nemirtina pagalba; valstybės narės ginklus tiekia tik dvišaliu būdu. Jie taip pat pažadėjo padėti Ukrainai modernizuoti savo ginkluotąsias pajėgas, kad „sustiprintų ilgalaikį sąveikumą“.

 

    Viso to Zelenskiui nebeužtenka. Tiesą sakant, Ukraina kiekvieną dieną rodo, kad ji gali lygiagrečiai valdyti tiek daug Vakarų ginklų sistemų, kaip jokia kita NATO narė. Tačiau tai nekeičia raudonos linijos, kuri buvo nubrėžta vasario 24 d.: pati NATO nenori tapti operacijos šalimi."


Now no NATO accession for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

"Ukraine wants to join NATO in an “accelerated procedure”.

But the alliance is once again making it clear that it does not want to become a party to the military operation.

Many in NATO were surprised when they saw the news from Kyiv on Friday afternoon: President Volodymyr Zelenskyy applied for Ukraine's membership in the alliance, even under an "accelerated procedure". It is uncertain whether Jens Stoltenberg was also surprised.

When asked about it, he repeated the standard phrases on the subject: that every democracy in Europe has the right to apply for membership, that the Alliance's door is open, that Ukraine is free to choose its own path, and that the thirty allies in consensus on enlargement. Then came the key statement: "Our focus now is to provide direct support to Ukraine."

That sentence was tantamount to a shake of the head. Translated into politics, it read: Not now! The same message came from London and Washington shortly afterwards. "We are now focused on practical measures to support Ukraine's efforts on the ground, not a trial in Brussels," a UK government spokesman said. Jake Sullivan, US President Joe Biden's national security adviser, said it was best to give Ukraine practical support now. The process in Brussels should start at "another time". This consonance at least spoke for a lightning-fast agreement, if not for a well-prepared one.

Selenskyj sees Sweden and Finland as role models

Annalena Baerbock revealed the actual motive behind it. Although Ukraine will continue to be supported in its right to self-defense, at the same time everything will be done "to ensure that NATO is not drawn into this operation," said the German Foreign Minister. This is the common red line that the allies agreed on immediately after start of Russia's operation in Ukraine: the alliance itself should not become a party. But it would be automatically if the member states now comply with the request from Kyiv. An armed attack against a member state is considered an "attack against them all" - this is the core of the duty of assistance in Article 5 of the NATO treaty.

There will therefore certainly not be an "accelerated procedure" for admission. Selenskyj cited Sweden and Finland as role models for this, which held their accession protocol in their hands four weeks after their application – and a kowtow to Turkish President Erdogan. Almost all member states have already ratified it, although Turkey has not yet. It was not entirely clear on Monday how Allianz would proceed in the case of Ukraine. Initially, there was a wait for Zelenskyj's application to be officially handed over; this should happen no later than Tuesday. Because of the political explosiveness, it could be that the defense ministers will discuss it first when they meet in Brussels next week.

Modernization of the armed forces even without accession

Nine eastern member states issued a joint statement on Sunday. "We firmly support the decision of the 2008 Bucharest NATO summit on Ukraine's future membership," it said. That was understood in Brussels as a signal of solidarity with Kyiv. However, the states - the "Bucharest Nine" group without Hungary, but also with North Macedonia - did not comment on the next steps.

In addition, the 2008 resolution provided for a "Membership Action Plan" for the aspiring Ukraine and Georgia, which both states were never offered. Selenskyj is no longer interested in it. The two Scandinavian countries would also be included in the alliance without such a plan, he said on Friday.

The Western NATO countries, including Germany, had always postponed such an action plan. Although it would not create a legal obligation to defend Ukraine, it would create a moral obligation – that is how it has always been justified internally. Officially, however, it was argued that even without this formal instrument, work was being done to bring the Ukrainian armed forces into line with Western standards. At the most recent summit in Madrid, the allies then decided on an "enhanced support package" with non-lethal aid; The Member States only supply arms bilaterally. They also pledged to help Ukraine modernize its armed forces to "strengthen long-term interoperability."

All this is no longer enough for Selenskyj. In fact, Ukraine shows every day that it can handle so many Western weapon systems in parallel like no other member. But that doesn't change the red line that was drawn on February 24: NATO itself doesn't want to become a party in an operation."


How to learn new things

 I try to make a game out of learning to keep me motivated.  

In order to regularly repeat what is memorize, I look for the shortest and clearest text of  things to memorize and write them down even shorter.  

I occasionally use Anki for note-taking and revision.  

I take regular breaks in nature.

Kaip aš mokausi

Bandau iš mokymosi padaryti žaidimą, kad išlaikyčiau motyvaciją.

Siekdamas reguliariai kartoti tai, kas įsimintina, ieškau trumpiausio ir aiškiausio įsimintinų dalykų išdėstymo ir užsirašau juos dar trumpiau. 

Užsirašymui ir kartojimui retkarčiais naudoju Anki.

Reguliariai darau pertraukas gamtoje.

The former judge, Mr. Žalimas, compromises all Lithuanian judges and lawyers

In normal countries, judges and lawyers have authority because their opinions are carefully considered. Mr. Žalimas only spreads pro-government propaganda, more fierce than Valatka, the main propagandist of our government. Shame.

Buvęs teisėjas, ponas Žalimas, kompromituoja visus Lietuvos teisėjus ir advokatus

Normaliose šalyse teisėjai ir advokatai turi autoritetą, nes jų nuomonės yra kruopščiai apgalvotos. Ponas Žalimas skleidžia tik valdžią remiančią propagandą, aršesnę negu pagrindinis mūsų valdžios propagandistas Valatka. Gėda.

It is obvious that the tiny kings of Lithuania are naked

It just takes more people to say it publicly:

 

    "Representatives of the pro-Putin "International Good Neighbor Forum" participating in the events of the OSCE Human Dimension Conference in Warsaw stated that "the autocratic Lithuanian regime imitates democracy".

 

    Kazimieras Juraitis, one of the founders of the pro-Lukashenka and pro-Russian "International Good Neighbor Forum", took the floor on Monday at the OSCE human dimension conference, which discussed the rights of migrants, equality between men and women, and violence against women and children.

 

    He spoke as a representative of the said association. The court is still examining the request of the General Prosecutor's Office to liquidate this organization, one of the founders of which is Algirdas Paleckis, who is in prison for espionage for Russia.

 

    Juraitis explained about the distribution of refugees

 

    K. Juraitis, addressing the other participants of the event in Russian, stated that one of the most relevant issues at the moment is war refugees.

 

    "And this is where the problem lies - refugees are segregated in Lithuania. The Minister of Foreign Affairs, Gabrielius Landsbergis, has publicly stated that he will accept only selected, high-quality refugees. Let's answer the question, what is this phenomenon, when people are divided into good, bad, high quality, low quality and other categories", he explained.

 

    K. Juraitis also stated that "due to pressure from the European Union", an advertisement inviting to Lithuania was previously distributed.

 

    "And when the refugees from Iraq and Syria believed in this call, they were literally put in prison," said the actor, adding that in Kybartai, prisoners were even moved elsewhere to accommodate refugees in the building.

 

    K. Juraitis said that Ukrainians integrate perfectly into Lithuanian society, because "traditions of brotherhood and neighborliness have been alive since the time of the Soviet Union".

 

    "According to the logic of Mr. Landsbergis' cabinet, these are "quality" refugees. The absolute majority of them speak Russian. The problem is that G. Landsberg's policy poisons relations not only between refugees, but also between national minorities," he said.

 

    As an example, he cited journalist Rimvydas Valatkas, whom he called a propagandist of the government, since Valatka was calling to abandon the use of the Russian language and remove Russian from the list of optional languages ​​in schools.

 

    K. Juraitis asked the participants of the event what should be done in such conditions for the Russian-speaking Ukrainian refugees and the Lithuanian Russian minority, which makes up 5% of the country's population.

 

    "I invite the official ambassador of Ukraine to speak exclusively Russian with the official ambassador from Lithuania," he explained.

 

    He stated that democracy is being imitated in Lithuania

 

    Mindaugas Ramoška, ​​another founder of the International Good Neighbor Forum, spoke at the OSCE event last Friday.

 

    He explained at the OSCE Human Dimension Conference, dedicated to discussing freedom of opinion and expression, media, that "the autocratic Lithuanian regime imitates democracy and democratic values, such as freedom of media, opinion and expression".

 

    M. Ramoška said that journalists and associations, such as the forum he represents, their founders, "investigating topics inconvenient for the regime can be imprisoned".

 

    "Those who visit hot spots in the world, such as Erika Švenčionienė, are threatened with violence and deprivation of liberty. "Journalists who provide information unfavorable to the ruling regime are not invited to any live broadcasts, which means that media pluralism does not exist in Lithuania," he concludes.""