"Corporate America is lifting prices
and bragging about bigger profits as consumers open their wallets and spend
heartily.
Doughnut sellers, milkshake
purveyors, tire manufacturers and rental car agencies are all discovering that
something is different about America’s pandemic-weathered economy: People are
willing to pay more for the goods and services they want to buy.
Companies are taking advantage of a
moment of hot and seemingly unshakable demand — one in which consumers are spending
“with a vengeance,” to borrow the words of one executive — to cover rising
costs and to expand their profit margins to prepandemic or even record levels.
Corporate executives have spent recent earnings calls bragging about their
newfound power to raise prices, often predicting that it will last.
If it pans out, that trend that
could have big economic implications.
Planned corporate price adjustments
could continue to boost inflation, which is running at its fastest pace in 40
years. The Federal Reserve is trying to assess whether businesses and
households are changing their expectations in a way that might make rapid price
gains a more permanent feature of the economic landscape.
A selection of comments from recent
earnings calls show just how companies are thinking about this moment..
Rental
Car Costs
Everything related to automobiles
seems to be increasing in cost, and rental cars are the vanguard of that trend.
Company leaders are trying to make the profitable moment last.
“The overall rent-a-car industry
still has more demand than supply,” Joe Ferraro, the president and chief
executive officer at Avis Budget Group, the rental car company, said on a Feb.
15 earnings call.
“Given the current trends, we are cautiously optimistic about what a rebound in
demand could mean once Covid is behind us,” he added.
The year “2021 showed us what’s
possible,” he said, noting also that he expects the first quarter of 2022 to be
the most profitable in the country’s history.
The company has realized,
“especially given what we’ve been through in the last two years,” that
targeting the most possible rentals — effectively competing by offering lower
prices — is “not how you maximize profit,” Brian Choi, its chief financial
officer, said on the call.
“We choose instead to compete based
on the quality of our product and our service,” he said.
Tire
Demand
Demand for cars has also bolstered
the market for tires.
“It’s a really very, very good constructive
pricing environment that we’ve seen right now, probably the best in recent
memory,” Richard J. Kramer, the chief executive at Goodyear, said on a Feb. 11 earnings call.
The company does look to its
competitors as it makes its price increases — but they, too, are charging more.
“There are nine competitors that we
tend to track, and seven out of the nine have announced price increases in the
first quarter, and one of the ones who hadn’t raised prices right at the end of
last year,” Darren Wells, its chief financial officer, said on the call.
Goodyear saw profit margins expand last year, driven in part by price increases.
Sizing
Up Beef Costs
The restaurant family that includes
Outback Steakhouse, Bloomin’ Brands, is planning to raise prices about 5
percent across its brands to cover rising labor and food costs — and, by
pairing that with efficiency improvements, it is managing to increase its
profits.
“It became clear that the 3 percent
pricing we previously discussed was not be enough to offset the increased
inflationary pressures our industry is facing,” said Christopher Meyer, the
chief financial officer at Bloomin’ Brands, speaking of the last quarter.
“Given that we had not taken a material menu price increase since 2019, we are
confident that 5 percent is appropriate.”
Mr. Meyer noted that operating
inflation was 4.9 percent and labor inflation was 8.9 percent in the final
quarter of 2021, but that the company had managed to increase its profits
through improving efficiency by simplifying its menu and by cutting food waste.
In 2022, he said, the company
expects beef inflation “in the mid-to-high teens” and wage inflation “in the
high single-digit range.”
Recovering
Profits in Food
As beef and other food costs have
increased, so have Shake Shack’s menu prices. But officials think consumers
will be able to spend through the burger and ice cream inflation as virus risks
fade and foot traffic picks up in the cities where its stores are.
“We are encouraged by the results of our
October price increase and believe our brand has pricing power,” Katherine
Fogertey, the chief financial officer of Shake Shack, said during a Feb. 17
earnings call. “The extent of inflation this year remains uncertain and we may
take additional price later this year to help build back margins.”
Shake Shack is already planning
another price increase in March, which would push up prices by 6 to 7 percent
over about six months, Randy Garutti, the chief executive, said, as the company
tries to keep pace with rapid cost inflation.
“This company has a history of a
roughly 2 percent price take every year,” he said. “For us to be at 7 percent
is indicative of the time we’re living in. And I think we’re more, probably, on
the conservative end of that if you look at us against the industry — us
against at-home cost of food.”
Pricier
Hotel Rooms
Wynn Resorts, whose occupancy in Las
Vegas took a hit during the winter surge in coronavirus infections, has seen
advance bookings rebound sharply — and it believes it has the power to charge
vacationers higher prices.
“We believe we have strong pricing
power on rooms, food and beverage, and nightlife during 2022,” Craig Billings,
the chief executive, said on a Feb. 15 earnings call.
That comes after a strong quarter
for the company’s Las Vegas locations, one driven by rapid consumer demand.
“To us, the quarter’s results are a
further indication of the fact that our unrelenting focus on service and great
product are resonating with premium customers who, after being cooped up for
2020 and the first part of 2021, are traveling and spending again with a
vengeance,” Mr. Billings said.
Sweet
Treats, Sweet Profits
Another product claiming pricing
power? Doughnuts.
The end of 2021 showed that “fresh
premium sweet treat business like ourselves — we can manage that inflationary
environment that you referenced with price increases,” Josh Charlesworth, the
chief operating officer at Krispy Kreme, said in a Feb. 22 earnings call.
“We effectively ended the year with double-digit price increase for the year in
the U.S., high single-digit on average across the world,” he added.
Mr. Charlesworth said the company
expected to expand profits in 2022.
“The guidance we’ve given here today
does assume that we’re able to manage, both from that price increase — and if
we so choose, if needed, further price increases — to still grow our margins in
2022,” he said, noting that labor cost inflation was expected to hover in the
“high single-digit” range and that the company had already locked in key
ingredients like sugar and oil for the year."
"Labor cost inflation is in the “high single-digit” with double-digit price increase for the year." How does the labor survive in this environment? No need to survive. Just roll over and die.
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