“Since the start of the latest Russian sanctions, Russia has become India's
fourth largest supplier. The Western states tolerate the development, also
because India is supposed to keep China in its place.
India's imports from Russia have multiplied since April last
year. The 384 percent increase up to January this year is mainly due to the
purchase of cheap Russian oil. At the same time, Russia has become India's
fourth largest supplier after China, the oil-producing United Arab Emirates and
the United States. In the previous year, despite large arms purchases, it only held
18th place.
At that time, India had ordered goods worth almost 10
billion dollars from Moscow. Now it's more than $37 billion. In December alone,
Indians were buying 1.2 billion barrels of Russian oil a day; 33 times more
than in December 2021.
India is the world's third largest importer of crude oil
after China and the United States. Many countries around the world have imposed
import bans on Russian oil and a maximum price of $60 a barrel.
This gives the
Indians the opportunity to increase their imports at low prices.
India has "bought, refined and sold a lot of crude
oil," said Secretary of Commerce Sunil Barthwal.
As a result, the export value of oil products rose by 55
percent in the first ten months of the Indian financial year (ending March 31)
from previously 51 to 79 billion dollars.
The continued purchase of Russian oil should also be an
issue behind closed doors during the visit of Chancellor Olaf Scholz to New
Delhi from Saturday.
However, high imports are slowing down New Delhi's plan to
internationalize the rupee. With the trade surplus skyrocketing from oil sales,
Moscow has no interest in raking in billions of rupees.
India's central bank proposed a foreign exchange deal in
July to take the pressure off the rupee. It continues to lose value against the
dollar. Major buyer Reliance, owned by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, now pays for
its Russian oil supplies in dirhams, the UAE's currency, which is tied to the
US dollar.
Indian growth depends on oil
The coalition of democratic countries that are sanctioning
Moscow condone the Indian approach - they see what will soon be the most
populous country on earth as an important strategic partner in keeping China in
its place.
India is dependent on oil imports to sustain its growth of
around 7 per cent to ensure the stability of society.
Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar, under pressure to
justify the oil purchases last year, stressed: “It is a sound policy to go
where we can get the best deal in the interest of the Indian people. And that's
exactly what we're trying to do.” While India advocates an end to the military operation, it
has not directly condemned Russia to this day.
Russia's opponents are now also agreeing to the oil
purchases: “It's an advantage for India, it's an advantage for the Indian
economy. But it also helps advance our twin goals of stabilizing markets and
denying resources to the Kremlin," said Geoffrey Pyatt, Washington's
assistant secretary of state for energy, of the price cap exploitation.
"Even though India is not a member of the coalition of countries that set
the cap, it has used it effectively in its price negotiations."
Analysts suspect that behind the West's strategic thinking
is the fear of driving Moscow even further into Beijing's arms. India and China
top the list of biggest buyers of cheap oil from Russia.”
The prices at which India buys Russian oil are not publicly disclosed. We, the West, continue to buy Russian oil products, only now through the intermediary India. This, and additional transportation costs, cause increased prices and drive us into crisis as central banks try to control those prices. So much for strategic thinking.
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