""Lithuania 's
reckless permission to open a Taiwanese representation in Vilnius is a great
excuse for China to show how Beijing can teach states that oppose its
policies," - says economist Rimantas Rudzkis.
Among other
things, he has no doubt that the pressure measures will hit the manufacturing
industry, which is especially important for Lithuania, and the way out, with
minimal losses, can be found only with the support of partners. "Having
established a representative office not in the name of Taipei, but in the name
of Taiwan, we have given China a great pretext for why China can now show the
world how it will teach that Lithuania. That pretext could not be given in any
way.
"Whoever decided to do this seems to understand neither Chinese
history, realities nor opportunities," - Rudzkis told Knowledge Radio on
Monday.
According to him,
the conflict with Beijing will leave a deep negative mark on Lithuania's
attractiveness for investment. The expert sees the greatest risk for the
manufacturing sector, which, R. Rudzkis reminds, makes up the largest part of
the country's economy.
"We are
ruining the investment climate right away. Because the main factory in the
world is China. And with us, the manufacturing industry is the engine.
"This decision has created huge problems, at least the threat of major
problems for the manufacturing industry, which was immediately apparent,"
- said the economist. "If there are problems with China, it will make it
very difficult for the manufacturing industry to export," - he continued.
According to R. Rudzkis, as the conflict escalates, producers will feel the
effects of pressure in the long run, and companies may stop development in
Lithuania or relocate to foreign countries. "I was absolutely amazed at
the decisions of the policymakers of this state. And we can already see that
the pressure is really high. Of course, this will not affect the industry in a
flash, but those who have planned the development of Lithuania or the
construction of existing companies or new ones will now consider whether it is
better to plan it in the neighboring countries,” - says the economist.
Rudzkis does not
believe that politicians still have a way back to rectify relations with
Beijing. "What will it look like if
Lithuanians suddenly take the decision and revoke it after half a year of
talking about it as a right decision,” - stressed R. Rudzkis
ELTA reminds that
tensions between Vilnius and Beijing arose back in May, when Lithuania withdrew
from the "17 + 1" format, which unites China and the countries of
Central and Eastern Europe. Bilateral relations deteriorated even more in
mid-November with the opening of the world's first Taiwanese representation in
Vilnius under the name of the island, rather than its capital, Taipei. Although
officially called the Taiwanese Representation, and Lithuania claims that it is
intended for the development of economic and cultural rather than diplomatic
partnerships, Beijing accuses Lithuania of violating the "One China
Principle".
In response to
this step, the Chinese authorities lowered the level of Lithuania's diplomatic
representation to the trustees. The Chinese ambassador to Lithuania was
recalled in the summer, and Lithuanian diplomats who left Beijing began working
remotely last week. At the beginning of December, Lithuanian business reported
unsuccessful attempts to clear its goods in China, as Lithuania was removed
from the Chinese customs system, which hampered the export of Lithuanian goods
to China.
China's economic
pressure did not end - Beijing ordered international companies to cut off ties
with Lithuania in early December, otherwise they would be threatened with
exclusion from the Chinese market.
Lithuania's direct
trade with China is small, but there are hundreds of companies operating in its
export-oriented economy, producing products such as furniture, lasers, food and
clothing for international companies that sell these goods to China.
For his part,
European Commissioner Virginijus Sinkevičius revealed to the media last Monday
that Chinese pressure could hit the Lithuanian economy hard, but so far the
European Commission can only assess the situation and monitor the impact of
Beijing's further actions. According to V. Sinkevičius, it is too early to
start negotiations, as it is difficult to name the real measures of pressure
applied by the Chinese authorities. "A lot of the pressure is under the
table, which is very difficult to capture and say the state has contributed to
it," - he said."
Why knowing-nothing children, grandchildren, even well sitting babies make important decisions in Lithuania? Not enough brains? Are we too small country to exist independently? Should we rejoin Poland into properly run country again? Our survival as a nation is today in danger. We have to solve these problems promptly.
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