Sekėjai

Ieškoti šiame dienoraštyje

2022 m. vasario 16 d., trečiadienis

Entente Multiplies the Threat From Russia and China


"It's been more than 75 years since the U.S. last faced an axis of strategic threats. Fortunately, that axis proved dysfunctional. Had it been otherwise, Japan and Germany would have systematically attacked the Soviet Union, not America, first.

Our current strategic adversaries, Russia and China, aren't an axis. They've formed an entente, tighter today than any time since de-Stalinization split the communist world. Involving some mutual interests and objectives, displays of support, and coordination, ententes are closer than mere bilateral friendships but discernibly looser than full alliances. The pre-World War I Triple Entente (Russia, France and Britain) is the modern era's prototype.

Moscow is junior partner to Beijing, the reverse of Cold War days. The Soviet Union's dissolution considerably weakened Russia, while China has had enormous economic growth since the death of Mao Zedong in 1976. Russia's junior-partner status looks permanent, given disparities in population and economic strength (whatever today's military balance), but Vladimir Putin seems determined to move closer to China.

This entente will last. Economic and political interests are mutually complementary for the foreseeable future. Russia is a significant source of hydrocarbons for energy-poor China and a longtime supplier of advanced weapons. Russia has hegemonic aspirations in the former Soviet territory, Eastern Europe and the Middle East. China has comparable aspirations in the Indo-Pacific region and the Middle East (and world-wide in due course). The entente is growing stronger, as China's unambiguous support for Russia in Europe's current crisis proves.

Washington would undoubtedly be more secure if it could sunder the Moscow-Beijing link, but our near-term prospects are limited." [1]

1. Entente Multiplies the Threat From Russia and China
Bolton, John. Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y. [New York, N.Y]. 16 Feb 2022: A.17.   

Komentarų nėra: