Two reasons. First reason is political - like Chinese dictator Mao in cultural revolution, Landsbergis family is using chaos to destroy alternative growing power centers, including thriving Lithuanian companies. Second reason is economical - in the aftermath of economic destruction it is easy for one euro to pick up assets that belong to other people. This way spouse of Vytautas Landsbergis grabbed expensive land in Vilnius that belongs to Polish descent citizens of Lithuania. This way spouse (again) of Gabrielius Landsbergis grabbed expensive land in Vilnius paying only one euro. Poor greedy spouses, I would say.
Polish
Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, presenting the "Anti-Inflation Shield
for Poland" program, stated that "the state is like a family, so we
must help each other in difficult times." Where is our family in Lithuania?
I. Šimonytė proposes to divide Lithuania again and apply zero VAT to
heat only to Vilnius residents connected to the central heating system. And
what to do for the elders of the village and the rest of Lithuania, who have
all the prices and have to heat themselves with firewood, gas, electricity or
other means? Is this done out of misunderstanding? Or maybe the mayor of the
Freedom Party, R. Šimašius, is being rescued, and an attempt is being made to
preserve at least the votes of Vilnius residents who voted for the Liberal
Conservative coalition parties the most? In any case, this is wrong and dividing people.
The economic war with Belarus threatens to rise in gas prices and
destroy strategic enterprises
The Lithuanian government is currently waging economic wars with Belarus
and China. This will negatively affect our entire economy and the collection of
state budget revenues.
The worst case scenario for Lithuania would be if Lukashenko decided to
restrict gas transit from Russia via Belarus to Lithuania. In that case, gas
prices in Lithuania would rise sharply and that would affect us all.
It remains to be seen and wait for that not to happen. The Lietuvos
Geležinkeliai (LTG) Group has already announced that it will terminate its
contract with Belaruskalij, one of the world's largest producers and exporters
of potassium fertilizers, as of February 1 this year, and Belaruskalij has
immediately stated its intention to claim compensation for all possible losses.
The LTG Group has already received a warning letter stating: “The Belarusian
company states that in the event of a breach of contract by LTG, it reserves
the right to claim full damages, including direct damages, and possible
compensation to direct and indirect partners worldwide."
Also, in response to the termination of the contract for the
transportation of Belarusian fertilizers by Lithuanian railways, the Ministry
of Foreign Affairs of Belarus announced this Wednesday a ban on the transit of
goods by rail from Lithuania. The transit ban will apply to the transportation
of oil products and fertilizers from Lithuania via Belarus and will take effect
on February 7. Some Lithuanian exporters claim that they are already diverting
their cargo through Poland or looking for alternative routes. It is currently
unclear whether the ban will apply to non-transit cargo and whether the ban on
transit will not cover other cargo segments.
Vaidotas Šileika, President of the Association of Lithuanian Stevedoring
Companies (LJKKA), takes Belarus' actions seriously. The blocking of transit
through Belarus could disrupt transit of 2-3 million tons or even higher cargo through Klaipėda State Seaport and there will be huge financial losses. It is
difficult to find alternative routes for cargo transportation - cargo owners
will choose a port other than Klaipėda. Jonava nitrogen fertilizer producer
Achema and oil refining company Orlen Lietuva will also face such problems as
Belarus, as these companies regularly transport their products to Ukraine via
Belarus.
Is Lithuania able to absorb such economic and financial losses without
significant long-term consequences for the development of our country? Mantas
Bartuška, the former head of the Lithuanian Railways Group, has stated that the
termination of the agreement with Belaruskalij would threaten the Lithuanian Railways Groupy with
hundreds of millions of euros in lawsuits and even bankruptcy. The port and
railways will lose a total of around € 900 million due to the breach of
contract with Belarus. The ban on rail freight transit through Belarus will
also bring additional losses to Lithuania, the exact size of which is currently
difficult to determine. So what is the fate of the Lithuanian Railways group?
How many employees will need to be laid off who are working for the Lithuanian Railways
Group and Klaipėda Seaport? In addition, a lengthy lawsuit is scheduled for the
termination of contracts with Belarus, which will severely empty the pockets of
Lithuanian taxpayers, as Lithuania may have to pay damages.
At that time, another international situation created by the Liberal
Conservative government was underestimated by Andrius Kubilius and other
rulers. This is the actual annexation of Belarus by Russia, which is already
stationed with the latter's army and modern armaments close to Vilnius. Our push of Lukashenko into
Moscow's arms was a targeted attack organized by G. Landsbergis.
He left Lukashenko no choice and no chance to continue to balance, at least in part,
between Brussels, Washington and Moscow. Therefore, Putin should send personal
thanks to the current Lithuanian government and Foreign Minister G. Landsbergis
on behalf of Russia or even ordens for special merits in strengthening Moscow's
influence in Belarus.
The war with China over Taiwan is pushing capital out of Lithuania and
causing billions in losses
Due to the unexpected opening of the Taiwanese representative office, China is
making a demonstration sacrifice to the whole world, so that no one would even
think of following our government. China uses largely invisible economic
sanctions, the existence of which will be difficult to prove legally. The
European Commission could not at least formally react and appealed to China for
action by the World Trade Organization. The legal process with China, which
will begin there in a few months, could take decades and does little to help us.
The reality is now. 2021 in December, the trade flow from Lithuania to
China decreased by 91% compared to 2020. The pharmaceutical, laser, electronics
and food sectors were hit hardest. Lithuanian businesses are already facing
huge problems in Chinese ports, and the price of containers has risen about
tenfold. The fight against China will not be cheap - imports from China amount
to 1.2 billion euros, and exports to this country from Lithuania are 300
million euros. Entrepreneurs are already boldly saying that the government has sacrificed them in this conflict, and the partnerships and market share that
we have built China for years have been easily destroyed.
Vidmantas Janulevičius, President of the Lithuanian Confederation of
Industrialists, says that the industrial sector could lose 3 to 5 billion euros
in turnover a year due to sanctions. Who will cover this?
Foreign companies through unofficial
channels are already banned from selling in China products
containing raw materials and components from Lithuania.
This complicates the situation of international companies operating in
Lithuania. German entrepreneurs in our country are already talking about the
possibility of relocating production from our country, which would lead to the
dismissal of thousands of workers. Jobs would be lost by highly qualified specialists
who create high added value for our country's economy. It is worth noting that
the manufacturing industry generates about 20 percent of Lithuania's gross
domestic product (GDP). Capital has begun to withdraw from Lithuania and
businesses are being relocated to Riga to at least circumvent Chinese sanctions
on Lithuania. The Latvian budget will be replenished, and we will continue to
be empty. We all will feel the consequences.
During the pandemic, society and the economy suffered many shocks. The
government’s policy of searching for enemies is undermining the foundations of
the state’s economy. At that time, the Speaker of the Seimas V. Čmilytė-Nielsen
did not think that China should be apologized for Taiwan and offered to fight
for a different world order! Silence is essential - that fight cannot be won
and all Lithuanians are suffering and will suffer a lot as a result. China has a
long-term and very focused approach. Their mindset is different than that of
Westerners. For them, the 10- or 25-year plans are short enough, so the impact
on Lithuania will be long-term. Knowing their investments in Belarus and Russia
and the resilient political cooperation there, Lithuania, thanks to G.
Landsbergis' team, has acquired a financially powerful enemy who will spare no
money to support the struggle of Belarus and Russia against the Lithuanian
government. It has to be said that the entire population will suffer again.
No country in the world is pursuing such an irresponsible foreign policy
that is destroying the country's economy. The Lithuanian Government of I.
Šimonytė and G. Landsbergis is unique here.
Public intimidation of the war in Ukraine and Russia's threat to attack
Lithuania - seeking to divert attention from the government's mistakes
The Liberal Conservative coalition attacked intensely to raise hysteria
through all possible media and to intimidate the public into Russia's war with
Ukraine and even a possible attack on Lithuania. V. Čmilytė-Nielsen says, “I do
not see such hysteria. I think this is a normal assessment of the situation, an
adequate assessment of the situation. ”For the Conservatives led by Mr
Landsbergis, this is a common political ploy. To intimidate society about a war and
thus divert everyone's attention from the most painful problems for the people.
This makes it easier to hide and cover up the "mistakes" of I. Šimonytė's
Government that are in reality power and assets grab by Landsbergis family. The economic collapse and the drastic rise in prices are no longer
a matter of paramount importance, because war is a close danger!
Do we need to prepare for all security policy crisis scenarios? Really
so. Consult with allies, support friendly states, but do not raise hysteria
in public, because it does not strengthen the security of the country. The
Commander of the Lithuanian Armed Forces, Lieutenant General Valdemaras Rupšys,
clearly stated that "Russia's military aggression is not directed against
NATO countries, therefore there is no immediate threat to Lithuania." He
believes that the panic in society is not entirely justified. Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelensky reassures Western countries that the situation at
the front line is similar to many years ago. He sees no sign that there will certainly
be an attack by Russia soon. It is clear that the situation does not need to be
underestimated, but the public must be reassured, not intimidated, by the
leaders of the state, and the current situation must be assessed objectively.
Lithuania is a member of NATO and now Russia has no plans to cause a
third world war. Moscow always counts what is more geopolitically beneficial to
them and such a war would certainly not be beneficial. Such a war would be
nuclear and result in hundreds of millions of deaths, but there are Lithuanian politicians
who have deepened their complete nonsense in a serious tone. Listening to the
representatives of such liberal conservatives, it seems that Lithuania is the
most powerful empire in the world and is not afraid of any wars. Unfortunately,
investors are afraid of possible wars - they choose to invest in the markets of
safer countries. Lithuanians are also afraid of them - some choose to emigrate,
while others live in constant stress due to the impending war, rising prices,
pandemic and a completely uncertain tomorrow.
To underestimate the country's geography and the fact that it is
impossible to replace neighboring countries with others is to live in illusions
and lead the state nowhere. Not realizing that conducting business, telling you
to find other markets and blaming it on daring to work with the Chinese,
Russian or Belarusian markets is a disregard for reality. Lansbergism’s policy
has been fueling wars and conflicts for many years, but geographical reality
and business logic dictate its own.
Russia is in the first place in bilateral trade with Lithuania (Trade
turnover: EUR 6.46 billion; Exports: EUR 3.83 billion - 1st place). Lithuania's prosperity would be sufficient to make effective use of
NATO, EU membership, strong defense of its state interests and support for US
foreign policy. We would avoid pointless wars with invincible adversaries and
act safely, even with many effects more than Finland.
Such a policy of "realpolitik" serving the well-being of the
Lithuanian population does not require hysteria, but wise decisions. I believe
that Lithuanian society is already ripe for that, because our state will simply
not be able to withstand the rule of liberal conservatives for another term.
Donald Trump's patriots will return to power in late November this year and
Republicans will secure a majority in Congress. Lithuania must prepare for this
and have the right leadership, not the political leaders who pray to the
globalists with Soros and Swab.
The plight of the economy and the failure to learn from at least
neighboring Poland will be discussed later in a second part of this article."
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