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2024 m. birželio 27 d., ketvirtadienis

Nick Clegg: How to stop Europe from regressing? The new EP in the face of an existential crisis

"The European Union is increasingly riven by disputes, with regulators and policymakers pulling in different directions. It's no wonder that so many voters, especially young ones, support rebellious populists promising to shake up the status quo, writes Nick Clegg, Meta's vice president for global affairs and a former British MEP.

Europeans voted. The new parliament has been elected and the race for the seats of commissioners and president of the Commission is just beginning. Some arrangements will remain intact, and some may change under the influence of new blood in parliament. However, this is not an ordinary day in Brussels.

Europe lags far behind the US

It doesn't matter who manages to take a seat when the music stops. The task that the European Parliament will inherit from the previous term is of an existential nature. 30 years ago, Europe accounted for about a quarter of global GDP. Today we are far behind. GDP per capita in the EU is half as much as in the USA - it is about 40,000 US dollars per European compared to 80 thousand  per capita in the United States. None of the 10 largest companies in the world come from Europe. None of the 12 most valuable unicorns, i.e. start-ups valued at USD 1 billion. or more, is from Europe. Of the 50 largest European companies, none were founded in the last 30 years.

Our companies are growing slower, have lower profits and lag behind their non-European competitors in research and development. This is happening even in industries that have always been Europe's strong point, such as automotive and manufacturing. Only one of the ten largest electric vehicle brands in the US last year came from our continent. There are already plans to open four times more semiconductor factories in China than in our country.

The gap between the superpowers and the European Union is widening

The European Union is no longer a friendly place for innovation and world-recognized companies. As Emmanuel Macron and Olaf Scholz emphatically stated: “Our Europe is mortal.” According to them, Europe is experiencing a Zeitenwende - a historical turning point. However, which direction it will turn remains to be seen.

The era of generative artificial intelligence is an opportunity to change the status quo. Modern technology may become the impulse we need most. Goldman Sachs estimates that generative artificial intelligence could increase global GDP by 7% over the next decade. Europe is a pioneer in technological regulation, examples of which include: GDPR, DMA, DSA, and the Artificial Intelligence Act, however, lags behind in terms of the implementation of these technologies on a large scale. Europe's regulatory complexity and the patchwork of member state regulations mean that companies hesitate for a long time before making their products available on our market. Both Meta and Google have delayed the launch of their AI assistants in Europe. 

Even our most successful companies, such as Volkswagen, are increasingly choosing the US to create their AI-based products. The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence in the US and China has further widened the gap between these superpowers and the European Union.

What is Europe's biggest advantage?

How can Europe change its course? Building the infrastructure of basic artificial intelligence models is extremely expensive and energy-intensive. However, deploying and adapting AI models, especially open source ones, will give European businesses, start-ups and researchers access to tools they would otherwise not be able to develop themselves. Thanks to the high quality of education at European universities, which produce the best talent every year, and thanks to our enormous research and development capabilities, we can become a global leader in the use of AI. We can create applications and services that bring new technology closer to society.

As a proud European, I would like to see another Meta, Alibaba or Google created on our continent

Europe is still not taking advantage of its greatest advantage - a single market of 450 million consumers.

 European leaders have repeatedly said that one of their main goals is to compete with the US and China in technology. They want the next Silicon Valley to be established on the European continent. I absolutely share this ambition. As a proud European, I would like to see another Meta, Alibaba or Google created on our continent. We have all the ingredients for this: a huge consumer market, great universities, top talent and a track record of experimentation and innovation.

The European Union is increasingly torn by disputes

Yet despite all the regulatory activism – the adoption since 2019 has been staggering 77 new EU legal acts in the field of digitalisation - we have failed to realize the vision of a digital single market. 

It is striking, for example, that a digital start-up founded in Amsterdam, wanting to operate throughout the EU, still has to navigate the different intellectual property regulations of the 27 countries, take into account different content licensing rules, data protection authorities and avoid other obstacles, before it is even possible to do anything.

In the 1990s, when I lived in Brussels as a young man, the single market was a reason for great optimism. I studied at the College of Europe - where I met my wife Miriam - and became a Commission official at the height of globalization and European integration. The Berlin Wall had fallen, the Single European Act had been adopted, the Maastricht Treaty was being completed and the WTO was already operational. At the turn of the 20th and 21st centuries, I was a Member of the European Parliament. It seemed then that the world was starting to come closer together, and the European Union - this extraordinary experiment based on cooperation, openness and people - was a symbol of this optimism.

It feels like centuries have passed since then. The financial crisis of 2008 broke the back of globalization. A cloud of self-reflection has hung over Europe as governments - burdened by huge deficits and enamored with anti-establishment populists on the left and right - prioritized issues of national sovereignty over collective endeavors. No country has turned its back on the European project more than my own country, the UK. The architects of the single market - not least its British creator, Lord Cockfield - would roll in their graves if they saw that it did not provide the prosperity that Europeans need today. Instead, the European Union is increasingly fragmented and disputed, with regulators and policymakers pulling in different directions. No wonder so many voters, especially young ones, support rebellious populists promising to shake up the status quo.

How to stop the European Union's economic decline?

I truly believe we can regain that optimism. Our new parliamentarians and commissioners will face an extremely important task of stopping Europe's economic decline. It won't be easy, but it is absolutely possible. We just have to use our strengths. The single market is Europe's greatest asset, but its creation is not yet complete. This work must be completed. Avoid piecemeal regulation at all costs. Be open to the development of artificial intelligence. May European creativity, ingenuity and entrepreneurship restore the optimism we all long for.

The title, lead and subheadings come from the editorial office

Author

Nick Clegg

He joined Meta in October 2018 as vice president of global affairs and communications after nearly two decades in public roles in Europe and the UK. Before being elected to the British Parliament in 2005, he worked at the European Commission and served for five years in the European Parliament. In 2007, he became leader of the Liberal Democrats and served as deputy prime minister in Britain's first coalition government in 2010-2015 since the war. He wrote two best-selling books: "Politics: Between the Extremes" and "How To Stop Brexit (and make Britain great again)"."


 


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