Sekėjai

Ieškoti šiame dienoraštyje

2024 m. lapkričio 11 d., pirmadienis

Young Executives Shun Old Sales Methods --- Boozy schmoozing is out and pickleball is in as a new breed reshapes business


"A new generation of executives is reimagining how business is getting done.

Hyperconnected and digitally native, 20- and 30-somethings rarely make sales calls, avoid email and are loath to pick up the phone. They make connections over LinkedIn and follow up via text. When they do meet in person, it is more likely to be over coffee than lunch, and if invited to a party, they are ordering mocktails and nonalcoholic beer.

When out with older clients, "I will order the lightest possible lager and let them have their fancy whiskey," said William King, a 29-year-old co-founder of SuperCopy.ai, an Atlanta AI marketing startup. "I don't want to be drunk when I'm doing business with people."

But the shift in how younger businesspeople choose to entertain and communicate with clients and investors isn't just about personal preferences. For a host of reasons including increased competition, the Covid-19 pandemic, employee turnover and the proliferation of decision makers, the old ways of doing business no longer work as well.

When Lars Hyman, 53, started in advertising in the early 1990s, "those Mad Men guys" were still around and three-martini lunches still existed. "The people in the business then were the people you wanted to be," Hyman said.

Companies have since clamped down on excessive spending and entertaining, said Hyman, now U.S. head of communications design at Initiative, a media agency that is part of ad giant Interpublic Group. The trend accelerated during the pandemic when corporate finance teams realized business didn't suffer when those costs were cut, he said.

The biggest change in work culture is the rise of technology and a generation at home with it, Hyman added. Decisions aren't based on friendships or gut instincts but on quantifiable data. Personal connections still matter, but not like they used to.

"The bar for selling is so much higher that a lot of those party tricks don't really work anymore," said Kyle Norton, 38, chief revenue officer for Owner.com, a startup that sells technology to small restaurants. "You can't just wine and dine and buddy up to somebody and expect to get a result. You need to be able to demonstrate competence as a seller because your selling experience will be indicative of the post-sale support and success experience. And you need to be airtight on demonstrating a business case, the [return on investment]."

Because one-on-one meetings are so inefficient, young marketers eschew them and instead make connections at conferences. There, they join group workouts and pickleball tournaments that serve as networking events.

Social-media platforms, and particularly LinkedIn, have become the default channels for young entrepreneurs to pitch and communicate with potential investors and clients, said Adam Gautsch, who coaches entrepreneurs at Advanced Technology Development Center, a startup incubator in Atlanta.

"They're spending a lot of their time having conversations, both socially on those channels or directly through the DMs of those different tools," Gautsch said. "Everybody kind of accepts that that's part of the day-to-day sales life nowadays."

Technology also has made the sales call less useful for corporate buyers. Meetings used to be a valuable way to gain information about products and services, but now buyers do their own research online, said Jen Allen-Knuth, a Chicago-based sales trainer.

In response, Gen Z sellers need to make meetings more enticing for buyers by doing their own research, and customizing pitches based on what they have learned through social-media channels, Allen-Knuth said. "It's very rare to have an executive that doesn't have a Twitter account or even YouTube."

For some entrepreneurs, digital communication has almost completely replaced face-to-face meetings. King, the SuperCopy.ai co-founder, never gets on a plane to make sales calls or meet investors, preferring to do everything via Zoom.

Venture investors once expected founders to come to face-to-face meetings, King said, but "because of Covid, that boundary's no longer there. I can have calls with 10 VCs across the world on my computer."

The digital-first approach to communications emboldens young entrepreneurs, who have learned everyone is online and reachable, said Kirsten Connell, an early-stage investor at Octopus Ventures, a London-based venture-capital firm.

But when everyone is reachable, everyone worth reaching is deluged with incoming messages. And that may be enough to keep old-fashioned sales techniques from disappearing.

"Your inbox is inundated if you're a buyer," said Marty Hahnfeld, 57, the former chief revenue and marketing officer at Olo, a restaurant software company. "It's so tough to stand out in that environment. So what I've seen is that the companies who are most effective in making the most progress are actually reverting to those older styles of selling."

That means getting on a plane and taking a prospective client out to lunch or dinner at a nice restaurant.

"I guess I'm maybe old school myself," Hahnfeld said. "I think, ultimately, that selling comes down to relationships and trust, and those sorts of venues provide a great opportunity for that."" [1]

1. Young Executives Shun Old Sales Methods --- Boozy schmoozing is out and pickleball is in as a new breed reshapes business. Staley, Oliver.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 11 Nov 2024: B.4. 

 

Rinkos sveikina Trumpo ekonomiką


  "Dvidešimt trys Nobelio ekonomikos premijos laureatai prieš dvi savaites perspėjo, kad Donaldo Trumpo ekonominė darbotvarkė bus pražūtinga JAV. Iš karto po triuškinančios D. Trumpo pergalės finansų rinkos parodė, kad kategoriškai nesutinka. Tikėkimės, kad nė vienas Nobelio premijos laureatas nepakoregavo savo pensijų portfelių; antraip jų 401(k)s gali nukentėti taip pat, kaip ir jų reputacija.

 

 Turto kainos yra nepastovios, o ilgalaikiai ekonominiai rezultatai yra geriausias matavimo būdas. 

 

Tačiau pastarosios dienos įrodo, kad rinkos vienareikšmiškai laikosi „Trump 2.0“ ekonominės vizijos. Rinkos visiems amerikiečiams rodo didesnio augimo, mažesnio nepastovumo ir infliacijos bei ekonomikos atgaivinimo lūkesčius.

 

 D. Trumpo rinkimai paskatino didžiausią JAV dolerio vienos dienos padidėjimą per daugiau, nei dvejus metus ir trečią pagal dydį per pastarąjį dešimtmetį. Tai yra balsavimas dėl pasitikėjimo JAV vadovybe tarptautiniu mastu ir doleriu, kaip pasaulio rezervine valiuta. 

 

Mažo kapitalo akcijų indeksas Russell 2000 taip pat labiausiai pakilo per dvejus metus dėl investuotojų lūkesčių, kad D. Trumpo ekonomika bus neproporcingai naudinga mažesnėms įmonėms. Biržoje prekiaujamo fondo, kuris seka Russell 2000 indeksą, srautas buvo didžiausias per 17 metų.

 

 Akcijų augimas buvo ypač neįprastas, nes palūkanų normos taip pat pakilo. Statėjančios pajamingumo kreivės, stabilių infliacijos lūkesčių ir akcijų kilimo derinys rodo, kad rinkos tikisi, kad Trumpo darbotvarkė paskatins neinfliacinį augimą, kuris paskatins privačias investicijas. Net ir atsižvelgiant į tikėtiną augimą skatinančią darbotvarkę ir su tuo susijusią padidėjusią energijos paklausą, naftos kaina krito. Energijos akcijos tuo pačiu metu augo, o tai rodo, kad tikimasi daugiau energijos gamybos ir geopolitinio stabilumo.

 

 Nors rinkos tikisi, kad Amerikos ekonomika atsigaus, Bideno administracijos netinkamas valdymas sukėlė rimtų iššūkių, kuriuos D. Trumpas turės įveikti. Bideno ekonomikos augimą skatino nekontroliuojamas federalinis deficitas, kuris praėjusiais metais pasiekė 7% bendrojo vidaus produkto. D. Trumpas turi mandatą reprivatizuoti JAV ekonomiką per dereguliavimą ir mokesčių reformą, kad paskatintų pasiūlos augimą, kurį jis įvykdė per pirmąją kadenciją. Tai bus būtina, norint iš naujo paleisti Amerikos augimo variklį, sumažinti infliacijos spaudimą ir įveikti skolų naštą, kilusią dėl ketverių metų neapgalvotų išlaidų.

 

 JAV ekonomika taip pat susiduria su Bideno administracijos kapitalo paskirstymo iškraipymo pasekmėmis. JAV konkurencingumą susilpnino destruktyvi energetikos politika ir investicijų nukreipimas į donkichotišką energijos perėjimą ir puslaidininkių gamybos gamyklas, kurioms taikomi vyriausybės įgaliojimai, todėl jos tampa neekonomiškos. D. Trumpas sukels Amerikos investicijų į energetiką renesansą ir užtikrins, kad prekyba būtų laisva ir sąžininga, palaikydama ilgalaikį JAV konkurencingumą.

 

 Augimui labai svarbu leisti privačiam sektoriui, o ne vyriausybei, paskirstyti kapitalą. JAV turi reformuoti Infliacijos mažinimo įstatymo iškreipiančias paskatas, skatinančias neproduktyvias investicijas, kurios turi būti palaikomos subsidijomis visą gyvenimą. Reguliavimo ir priežiūros aplinkos peržiūra paskatins daugiau skolinti ir atgaivins bankus.

 

 D. Trumpas taip pat turi spręsti vyriausybės skolinimosi klausimą. JAV palūkanų išlaidos viršija gynybos biudžetą. Iždo sekretorė Janet Yellen iškraipė iždo rinkas, skolindamasi daugiau, nei 1 trilijoną dolerių brangesnės trumpesnės trukmės skolos, palyginti su istorinėmis normomis. Šios skolos panaikinimas ir ortodoksiškesnis skolinimosi profilis, gali padidinti ilgesnės trukmės palūkanų normas, todėl ją reikės tvarkyti sumaniai. Vienintelis būdas grįžti prie apdairaus skolinimosi strategijos, nepažeidžiant finansų rinkų – atkurti investuotojų tikėjimą ekonomika ir išsaugoti dolerio vaidmenį pasaulyje.

 

 Bidenomikos nesėkmė akivaizdi. Tačiau D. Trumpas ekonomiką apvertė nesėkmes anksčiau ir yra pasirengus tai padaryti ir vėl. Dvidešimt trys Nobelio premijos laureatai gali to nesuprasti, bet finansų rinkos aiškiai apie tai kalbėjo.

 ---

 P. Bessent yra „Key Square Group“ įkūrėjas, generalinis direktorius ir vyriausiasis investicijų pareigūnas.“ [1]

 

1. Markets Hail Trump's Economics. Bessent, Scott.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 11 Nov 2024: A.19.   
 

Markets Hail Trump's Economics


"Twenty-three Nobel laureates in economics warned two weeks ago that Donald Trump's economic agenda would be disastrous for the U.S. Immediately after Mr. Trump's landslide victory, financial markets showed they vehemently disagree. Let's hope none of the Nobel laureates adjusted their retirement portfolios; otherwise their 401(k)s may be suffering as badly as their reputations.

Asset prices are fickle, and long-term economic performance is the ultimate measuring stick. But recent days prove markets' unambiguous embrace of the Trump 2.0 economic vision. Markets are signaling expectations of higher growth, lower volatility and inflation, and a revitalized economy for all Americans.

Mr. Trump's election drove the largest single-day increase in the U.S. dollar in more than two years, and third largest in the last decade. This is a vote of confidence in U.S. leadership internationally and in the dollar as the world's reserve currency. The Russell 2000, an index of small-capitalization stocks, also rose by the most in two years due to investor expectations that the Trump economy will disproportionately benefit smaller businesses. An exchange-traded fund that tracks the Russell 2000 index saw its largest single-day inflow in 17 years.

The rally in equities was particularly unusual given that interest rates also moved higher. The combination of the steepening yield curve, stable inflation expectations and the rise in stocks indicates that markets expect the Trump agenda to foster noninflationary growth that will drive private investment. Even amid the expected pro-growth agenda and the associated increased demand for energy, the price of oil fell. Energy stocks rallied at the same time, signaling expectations of more energy production and geopolitical stability.

While markets expect a reinvigorated American economy, the Biden administration's mismanagement has created serious challenges that Mr. Trump will need to overcome. Economic growth has been propped up by the out-of-control federal deficit, which hit 7% of gross domestic product last year. Mr. Trump has a mandate to reprivatize the U.S. economy through deregulation and tax reform to spur the supply-side growth that he delivered in his first term. That will be essential to restarting the American growth engine, reducing inflationary pressures, and addressing the debt burden from four years of reckless spending.

The U.S. economy also faces the consequences of the Biden administration's distortion of capital allocation. U.S. competitiveness has been weakened by destructive energy policies and the channeling of investment toward a quixotic energy transition and semiconductor fabrication plants subject to government mandates that render them uneconomic. Mr. Trump will deliver a renaissance in American energy investment and ensure that trade is free and fair, supporting long-term U.S. competitiveness.

Allowing the private sector rather than the government to allocate capital is crucial to growth. The U.S. must reform the Inflation Reduction Act's distortionary incentives that encourage unproductive investment, which has to be sustained by a lifetime of subsidies. Overhauling the regulatory and supervisory environment will encourage more lending and reinvigorate banks.

Mr. Trump must also address government borrowing. U.S. interest expense exceeds the defense budget. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has distorted Treasury markets by borrowing more than $1 trillion in more-expensive shorter-term debt compared with historical norms. Terming out that debt in favor of a more orthodox borrowing profile may increase longer-term interest rates and will need to be deftly handled. The only way to return to a prudent borrowing strategy without upsetting financial markets is restoring investors' faith in the economy and preserving the dollar's global role.

The failure of Bidenomics is clear. But Mr. Trump has turned around the economy before, and he is ready to do so again. Twenty-three Nobel laureates might not understand this, but the financial markets have clearly spoken.

---

Mr. Bessent is founder, CEO and chief investment officer of Key Square Group." [1]

1. Markets Hail Trump's Economics. Bessent, Scott.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 11 Nov 2024: A.19.