"Valentinas Beržiūnas, Lecturer, Institute of
International Relations and Political Science, Vilnius University
Although it seems that the only rational solution in
relations with China is to change the name of the "Taiwanese"
mission, the rulers continue to talk about "valuable" foreign policy
as if a consistent democracy policy had not been characteristic of Lithuania
before. However, in order to undermine Lithuania's long-term and consistent
efforts on the democracy front, conservatives and liberals themselves are
demonstrating value inconsistencies.
For example, Matas Maldeikis, a member of the Homeland
Union-Lithuanian Christian Democratic Party, calls for non-cooperation with
non-democratic states. But at the same time, the Conservative government is
forging ties with the authoritarian United Arab Emirates. The non-governmental
organization Freedom House, which assesses how democratic and open the world
is, called it a "non-free" country.
As for the name of the "Taiwanese" representation,
the Conservatives use the analogy of Lithuania and Iceland, despite the fact
that this comparison is, to put it mildly, not very adequate. As you know, both
the People's Republic of China and Taiwan (the Republic of China) follow a
so-called 'one China' policy, in other words, claim the same territory. Thus,
Taiwan does not declare independence from China, but simply considers itself a
"true" government throughout China, including the mainland. Thus, if
we already follow the analogy of "Iceland" in the case of Taiwan, we
acknowledge that Lithuania, in 1990 after declaring its independence from the
Soviet Union, it also attributed to itself the entire territory of the USSR,
which is absurd.
The economic conflict with China is costly. In addition to
the inevitable decline in Lithuania's gross domestic product, attention must
also be paid to the qualitative side of the issue - Lithuania may lose a
significant part of its high-tech production and industry.
The laser industry, which glorifies our country for a long time, has
announced a double contraction and warned of a possible withdrawal from
Lithuania. The semiconductor laser company owned by the Vizbar brothers has
been talking about this for some time.
Activities are being halted or are planned to be relocated
to other countries and other Lithuanian companies, as the conflict with China
is hampering the supply of the necessary parts. Textiles and the car industry,
for example, have already received warnings from European partners that if the
situation does not improve, contracts could be terminated. Although some
businesses tried to circumvent China’s restrictions by importing some Chinese
goods through third countries, the Chinese quickly understood this maneuver.
Foreign investment in Lithuania is also under threat. News
has recently spread in the public sphere that China is pushing the German car
parts giant Continental to stop using components made in its factory in
Lithuania. The Continental plant in Kaunas district is the largest investment
in the manufacturing sector in Lithuania in two decades. And these investments
may not last if the situation does not change.
The rumors say that Taiwan will compensate for the losses is
unfounded. Although Taiwan's huge "investment" is promised, including
in the semiconductor industry already mentioned, it is still just a matter of
language. It seems that this can only remain in the speculations, because, say, the
Taiwanese chip giant TSMC has announced plans to build a semiconductor plant in
Germany, not in Lithuania. It is probable that such a decision is related to
the fact that a large part of the chips sold by TSMC travel to the same China,
therefore, due to the established poor relations between China and Lithuania, they will
not be able to be manufactured in Lithuania.
By the way, we can remember that this is not the first time
that conservatives have talked about the arrival of high technology in
Lithuania.
A decade ago, the government led by conservative Andrius
Kubilius had announced the establishment of an IBM research center in
Lithuania. The contract was signed with IBM Research GmbH in 2010. In
September, the Lithuanian Research Center (LTC) was established under it. The
five-year operating expenses of LTC, which were to reach 216 million LTL. It was
planned to cover LTL 1 billion from the EU Structural Funds and public and
private investment funds. Although the state has invested about 6 million LTL in
the activities of this company, EU structural funds support failed. The
resounding promises ended in a fiasco: a loss to the budget without the
establishment of any research center.
It is difficult not to mention that, with their
unilateral decisions, a group of individuals in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
are undermining the long-standing consensus on foreign policy. From now on, it
seems that consensus is no longer needed in foreign policy decisions - neither
the President, nor the business community, nor other political parties are
consulted.
In the past, every major foreign policy initiative,
including NATO and EU membership, has been based on a compromise between
political forces and other interest groups and society. It is not surprising
that the unilateral way of acting of the ruling parties is criticized even by
such heavyweights of Lithuanian foreign policy as the outgoing President Valdas
Adamkus.
The situation is gradually being rectified on the initiative
of President Gitanas Nausėda, who convened a wide-ranging meeting of
politicians and business representatives to improve the resilience of the
Lithuanian economy, finding a way out of the current difficult situation.
However, the only way out now is to change the name of the
"Taiwanese" mission. This is not a concession or a knee-jerk and not
a show of weakness, but a normal, consistent and logical diplomatic move. We
need to acknowledge mistakes, not follow them dogmatically. As the famous
Chinese thinker Confucius put it, "only an uncorrected mistake is a
mistake."
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