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2024 m. birželio 15 d., šeštadienis

Hate Remodeling? Let a Bot Do It --- New AI apps are promising to ease homeowners' headaches with tools to visualize design ideas and manage renovation logistics

 "Halfway through the building process of Kyle Loucks's new five-bedroom, 5,800-square-foot house in Vancouver, Wash., his wife decided she wanted to add a sports court.

At first he panicked. "One seemingly small decision, like 'let's put a hoop here,' has a ripple effect," says Loucks, 37, a former Meta engineer who founded a joint-rolling technology company called RollPros.

Using new AI software called Digs on his laptop, he put a box into the house plans, first in the backyard. Then, seeing that it wouldn't fit well, he moved it to the driveway. Within minutes, his contractor, notified by Digs of the change, confirmed that the dimensions would work and messaged the concrete guys to let them know before they did the pour and to see if they had any input on holes for a pickleball net. The landscape designer weighed in, suggesting a couple of trees nearby to help it blend in, and the lighting subcontractor advised them on how a flood light would affect the high-voltage plan.

"It helped bypass the possibility of human error and miscommunication," says Loucks, whose home is slated to cost around $2.2 million and to be finished in October.

Homeowners are experimenting with an explosion of new artificial intelligence applications to quickly visualize an array of layout and style ideas, coordinate with builders and designers and estimate costs. These new tools say they can help save time and money in the building and renovation process, which has traditionally been filled with seemingly endless decisions and an avalanche of paperwork that often result in longer projects and ballooning costs.

There are now dozens of AI apps related to home construction, design and renovation -- most of which have sprung up in the past two years.

"There seems to be a new one every day," says Patrick O'Toole, publisher of Qualified Remodeler, which did a survey in March 2023 of its 83,000 readers and found that about half have tried generative AI tools.

Some apps, like Renovate AI, focus on visualization. Users can generate images to see how different design ideas might look by uploading photos or drawings of their rooms. Then they can choose styles like "rustic farmhouse" or tell the tool to adjust specific elements like paint colors, lighting, furniture or the style of the cabinets.

Other platforms, like Digs, use AI to create 3-D "dollhouse" floor plans and manage the logistics of a project, room by room. Digs can layer in the location of specs like the load-bearing beams, plumbing lines and lighting plans to show where walls can be knocked down. And users can query it to get the make and model of an appliance or the dimensions of the wall, all sourced from the original documents.

Analysts say the demand for new tools is driven in part by the state of the housing market. From 2019 to 2021, the latest stats available, spending on DIY projects soared 44%, according to Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies. Since then, analysts say the decline in construction of new houses, combined with a rapid run-up in interest rates over the past two years that sent mortgage rates soaring, has resulted in many people choosing to stay and fix or add on to homes they already own.

The new apps offer homeowners a way of gaining control over what can be a dizzyingly complicated and opaque process, though not without their own risks.

Jess Sandlin, 38, is working with an architect and designer to renovate a 9,000-square-foot home she and her boyfriend bought in Austin, Texas, for $2.5 million. But she is also using an app called Remodel AI as well as ChatGPT to help her get a sense of the possibilities and to empower her with images she can show since her vocabulary doesn't include technical architectural terms.

"I wanted to get a sense of my own style and be a little more knowledgeable so I didn't just get their style," says Sandlin, executive director of Word Playground, a nonprofit for teaching children literacy.

As she tested out different prompts to home in on her own design sensibilities, Remodel AI generated hundreds of options -- including some with furniture on the ceiling and the walls. She wanted an indoor play area for her four sons, aged 5 through 13, to include multiple layers of hammocks, a zip line and netting. The app couldn't handle it. "It had no idea what I was talking about. It could not compute," she says.

Dirk Morris, founder and CEO of Reimage AI, the maker of the Remodel AI app, which costs $10 a month or $50 a year, says Sandlin may have been using the wrong tool: Sometimes people try to use the standard interior remodel tool to make extensive structural changes, he says.

Even when Sandlin was able to generate exactly what she wanted, she ran into human roadblocks. When she showed her architect AI-generated photos of a bronze fireplace with a brass mantel, "they rolled their eyes at me," she says. Eventually, her designer agreed to the bronze.

While traditionally AI tools were aimed at professionals, the newer apps are letting laypeople in on the game, says Michael Anschel, a principal at Minneapolis-based OA Design and Build Architecture.

However, he says the tools aren't sharp enough yet. For example, when Anschel asked Renovate AI to generate a kitchen with hand-scraped stone counters and paisley wallpaper, he got an image with stainless steel counters and paisley wallpaper on the cabinets and the ceiling.

Other pros have expressed concern about having to address design ideas that might not be possible from clients armed with AI-generated images. "It could be extremely annoying," says Daniel Kaven of Portland, Ore.-based William Kaven Architecture.

Laura Bindloss, 38, founder of social media and public relations agency Nylon Consulting, has renovated several homes, but she had never used AI to help until her most recent project: a 2,000-square-foot house she bought in March for $575,000 in Bellport, N.Y. Bindloss, who plans to live in the house on weekends as well as rent it out, was looking to spend a total of around $200,000, with $55,000 on the kitchen alone. She wanted to get the project done quickly so she could start renting it out this summer.

"I'd heard about it as a visualization tool but it didn't seem that useful," she says. When she hired cabinetmaker Isla Porter to design the kitchen, she found that the company was using AI provider Skipp, which can make a scan from a phone into detailed renovation plans, complete with renderings, materials lists and construction-ready documents. The first step was to take a 3-D scan of the space with her iPad. She then answered a 40-question survey, with questions like "where do most meals happen" and "what do you like most and least about your current kitchen."

The AI used her scan and survey responses to generate hundreds of floor plan options within minutes. Isla Porter's designers then manually edited them, significantly reducing the time it would have taken if the designers had to go through the survey results without the technology, says Sharon Dranko, Isla Porter's founder. Bindloss then picked from the three options Isla Porter recommended, choosing materials and finishes in the program to see how everything would look. The design plans for the kitchen were finalized in two weeks, says Bindloss.

Dranko says that even though the AI's measurements tend to be 98% accurate, it's still crucial to have a human designer double-check everything. AI is also off sometimes when it comes to understanding living patterns, meaning how the way a person uses their kitchen should impact the design, she says. Dranko says she is constantly feeding it new information like colors and fabrics to make it more useful when it comes to finding the right style and look for her clients.

The idea of using AI in his home renovations came to Kade Boverhof when he was looking at possible floor plans for the renovation of a 1,900-square-foot house he bought in Grand Rapids, Mich., for $150,000.

Boverhof, 31, wanted to create a floor plan for the house that took into account all the iterations he'd devised in previous renovation projects using a computer-aided design (CAD) software program. There must be an AI program that could do this, he thought.

After searching Google and going on Reddit to ask others what they were using, Boverhof came across an app in development called A-Space, which let him use its tools for free as an early adopter in exchange for his feedback. He downloaded his existing blueprints, which included information on the location of walls that were necessary to hold up the structure, added some instructions and hit generate. From the four options, Boverhof locked in the kitchen location he liked best and again pushed the generate button to see the options for the other rooms around that decision.

Boverhof says the results weren't perfect. It didn't know the local building codes for the city of Grand Rapids, such as the percentage of space required to be windows or doors. But he says he saved many hours and got back new layout ideas that he could tailor.

"It's at a primitive stage, but the possibilities are there," he says.

Ryan Fink, CEO and co-founder of Digs, says that of the some 6,000 homes currently on its platform, half have homeowners participating. Builders currently pay $69 per user per month, but the contractors, vendors and homeowners involved in the projects participate for free, he says.

Sid Sarasvati founded Renovate AI because of the difficulties he encountered with staging homes for sale. He says the app will continue to improve, such as offering users the option to click on products to buy online, create budgets and connect with vendors. Launched in January 2023, it has some 15,000 subscribers now, 40% of whom are on a $10-a-week plan and 60% of whom are on a $40 annual plan.

Many of the AI apps are aimed at improving the speed and communication for homeowners working with an architect or designer. But some, including A-Space, hope to democratize the process and reduce the need for architects by automating tasks like filling in planning applications.

"We want to give every person access to architectural expertise," says Ziyad Mourad, CEO and co-founder of A-Space, which plans on offering the app free to homeowners for a single project and for $50 a month to architects for unlimited use.

Rashad Fakhouri, an architect at London-based Pilbrow & Partners, who is currently using A-Space on the side but not for work projects, says he doesn't foresee a time when AI will replace architects because of the need for the architect's aesthetics and their ability to troubleshoot throughout the process.

"We will still be necessary," he says.

In five years, AI tools for home remodeling and construction will become more integrated, says Jose Luis Blanco, senior partner at McKinsey who leads the firm's engineering and construction work in North America. "We are in the early innings," he says.

Mike Rowe, of "Dirty Jobs" TV fame and a spokesman for Digs, agrees that the continued expansion of AI will democratize the home-building process. "It will put a lot more power in the consumers' hands," he says.

Some homeowners say the tools are already offering a newfound leg up in managing their projects with the pros.

"AI doesn't talk back," says Austin homeowner Sandlin." [1]

1. MANSION --- Hate Remodeling? Let a Bot Do It --- New AI apps are promising to ease homeowners' headaches with tools to visualize design ideas and manage renovation logistics. Keates, Nancy.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 14 June 2024: M.1.

 

 

2024 m. birželio 14 d., penktadienis

Macrono lošimas, siekiant sustabdyti Le Pen, rizikuoja ją įvesti į prezidentės postą

„Paryžius – prezidentas Emmanuelis Macronas visada siekė tapti vienu iš didžiųjų istorijos vyrų, gelbstinčių Europą nuo populizmo ugnies ir nustatančių jos ekonomiką konkuruoti su JAV ir Kinija.

 

 Dabar Macronui kyla klausimas, ar jis taps žmogumi, atvedusiu Marine Le Pen ir jos kraštutinių dešiniųjų Nacionalinio mitingo partiją prie valdžios slenksčio.

 

 E. Macrono sprendimas skelbti pirmalaikius rinkimus sukrėtė Prancūziją ir sukrėtė pasaulį. Tai taip pat buvo senovinis Macronas: drąsus, rizikingas ir laiku išmušti iš pusiausvyros jo priešininkus. Pasak jo padėjėjų, Macronas veikė, darydamas prielaidą, kad jam ir jo kandidatams į Nacionalinę Asamblėją bus naudingas netikėtumas. Kairiosios partijos neturės laiko kurti aljansų, kurie yra labai svarbūs, norint patekti į pirmąjį balsavimo turą birželio 30 d. Tai savo ruožtu priverstų daugelį jų rinkėjų susitelkti už Macrono verslui palankios partijos liepos 7 d., kaip jis turėjo ankstesnėse Macrono akistatose su Le Pen.

 

 Tos prielaidos dabar griaunasi. Kairiosios pakraipos partijos sugebėjo greitai suburti koaliciją, kuri derėtų su Macrono ir Le Pen pajėgomis. Tuo tarpu paties Macrono partijoje vyrauja netvarka, sukrėsti įstatymų leidėjai stengiasi suburti aplink lyderį, kuris, jų teigimu, pasielgė vienašališkai, nepasitaręs su jais, panašiai, kaip jis veikė nuo tada, kai pradėjo eiti pareigas 2017 m.

 

 Šios savaitės apklausos rodo, kad Le Pen pajėgos pretenduoja į antrąjį turą ir baigia iki 270 vietų, o 577 vietų Nacionalinėje Asamblėjoje yra tik daugumos ir maždaug tris kartus daugiau, nei Le Pen laimėjo 2022 m. Nacionalinis mitingas taps didžiausia partija rūmuose, o Le Pen turėtų svarių argumentų, kad rinktųsi kitą ministrą pirmininką.

 

 Trečiadienį Macronas supyko, kai žurnalistas paklausė, ką jis mano apie idėją tapti pirmuoju prezidentu Prancūzijos istorijoje po Antrojo pasaulinio karo, perdavusiu vyriausybę kraštutiniams dešiniesiems.

 

 „Visi mato kylantį kraštutinių dešiniųjų vandenį“, – sakė E. Macronas. Tada prezidentas pripažino tiesą, persekiojančią politinę sistemą: 2027 m. Macronas baigs antrąją iš dviejų kadencijų iš eilės, ty įstatyminę ribą, todėl Le Pen liks kandidatuoti į prezidento postą srityje, kurioje nėra pagrindinių konkurentų.

 

 Macronas teigė nenorįs iki tol sėdėti be darbo. Sekmadienį vykusiuose, Europos Parlamento rinkimuose Nacionaliniam mitingui įteikdami triuškinamą pergalę, rinkėjai protestavo supykę, sakė Macronas. Skelbdamas nacionalinius rinkimus su daug didesne įmone, jis sakė, kad suteikia rinkėjams „išsiaiškinimo“ priemonę.

 

 „Mes naikiname veidmainystę ir nesusipratimus“, – sakė jis

 

 Macronas, paversdamas pirmalaikius rinkimus referendumu dėl Le Pen, rizikuoja eiti Davido Camerono pėdomis, kuris, būdamas Didžiosios Britanijos ministru pirmininku, paskelbė 2016 metų referendumą dėl „Brexit“, tikėdamasis, kad visuomenė jį atmes. „Deividas Cameronas lažinosi dėl namo ir pralaimėjo... Macronas daro tą patį“, – sakė Mujtaba Rahmanas, konsultacijų įmonės „Eurasia Group“ generalinis direktorius Europai.

 

 Skirtingai nei Cameronas, Macronas skyrė savo pajėgoms mažai laiko pasiruošti. Įstatymų leidėjai nebuvo įspėti, kol jis paleido Nacionalinę Asamblėją sekmadienį per TV kreipimąsi, sukėlusį balsavimą.

 

 Ilgus metus Macronas naudojosi savo konstituciniais įgaliojimais, kad nepaisytų Parlamento. Pernai jis padidino leistiną pensinį amžių be parlamento pritarimo. Tačiau Macrono polinkis šiurkščiai veržtis į parlamentą neparuošė įstatymų leidėjų paskutiniam jo manevrui. „Sekmadienį buvau tikrai prislėgtas“, – sakė Patrickas Vignal, iki tol buvęs Renesanso įstatymų leidėju. – Tai buvo šokas.

 

 „Les Republicains“, pagrindinė konservatorių partija, taip pat svyravo. Antradienį partijos prezidentas Ericas Ciotti paskelbė apie netikėtą aljansą su Nacionaliniu mitingu. Les Republicains vykdomasis komitetas atsakė, balsuodamas už jo pašalinimą iš prezidento posto, sakydamas, kad jis išdavė partiją. Pats Ciotti daug kartų pažadėjo niekada nepalaikyti Le Pen. Jo išvykimas atveria duris kitiems „Les Republicains“ nariams, kurie gali sekti jį į Nacionalinį mitingą.

 

 Rinkas taip pat sukrėtė. Prancūzijos akcijos smuko kitą rytą po Macrono pranešimo, baiminantis, kad Prancūzija siekia pakabinto Parlamento. Dėl to Macronui būtų sunku suvaldyti didėjantį vyriausybės deficitą.

 

 Kaip ženklą, koks baisus tapo politinis žemėlapis, Macrono padėjėjai pareiškė, kad jis yra pasirengęs atšaukti savo partijos kandidatus iš rajonų, kuriuose konservatorių, socialistų ar žaliųjų partijos kandidatai turi daugiau galimybių įveikti Nacionalinį mitingą. „Mes būsime įsprausti tarp kairiųjų ir kraštutinių dešiniųjų“, – sakė Renesanso įstatymų leidėjai. – "Tai sprogs mums į veidus."

 

 ---

 

 Ministro pirmininko darbui gresia pavojus

 

 Bene didžiausia Prancūzijos prezidento Emmanuelio Macrono sprendimo skelbti pirmalaikius rinkimus auka yra jo paties ministras pirmininkas ir ilgametis protežė. Būdamas 35 metų, Gabrielis Attalas buvo laikoma viena ryškiausių Macrono partijos šviesų. Kai sausio mėn. prezidentas paaukštino jį ministru pirmininku, daugelis įstatymų leidėjų manė, kad jis yra galimas įpėdinis.

 

 Tačiau Attalas apie Macrono planus sužinojo tik sekmadienį, likus kelioms valandoms iki Nacionalinės Asamblėjos paleidimo, sakė pareigūnai ir pridūrė, kad jis nepritaria tokiam žingsniui. Antradienio rytą Attalas susirinko su savo įstatymų leidėjaiss ir pasakė nuoširdų pokalbį, skirtą paskatinti jų perrinkimo kampanijas. Tačiau įstatymų leidėjai teigė esantys pikti ir demoralizuoti.

 

 Tuo tarpu Le Pen globotinis, 28 metų Jordanas Bardella, įveikė pergalės ratus nuo tada, kai pirmavo Nacionaliniame ralyje ir triumfavo sekmadienį vyksiančiuose Europos Parlamento rinkimuose. Partijos pareigūnai sako, kad jis yra pasirinkimas pakeisti Attalą ministro pirmininko poste.“ [1]

 

1. World News: Macron's Gamble to Stop Le Pen Risks Ushering Her In. Meichtry, Stacy;
Bisserbe, Noemie.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 14 June 2024: A.16.

Macron's Gamble to Stop Le Pen Risks Ushering Her In


"PARIS -- President Emmanuel Macron always has aspired to become one of the great men of history, saving Europe from the fires of populism and setting its economy on course to compete with the U.S. and China.

The question now looming over Macron is whether he will go down as the man who ushered Marine Le Pen and her far-right National Rally party to the threshold of power.

Macron's decision to call snap elections broadsided France and shocked the world. It was also vintage Macron: bold, risky and timed to catch his opponents off guard. Macron was operating under the assumption that he and his candidates for the National Assembly would benefit from the element of surprise, according to his aides. Leftist parties would have no time to form alliances crucial for making it past the first round of voting on June 30. That, in turn, would compel many of their voters to rally behind Macron's pro-business party in the July 7 runoff, as they had in Macron's previous showdowns with Le Pen.

Those assumptions are now unraveling. Left-leaning parties have managed to quickly stitch together a coalition to go toe-to-toe with Macron's and Le Pen's forces. Macron's own party, meanwhile, is in disarray, with shellshocked lawmakers struggling to rally around a leader who they say acted unilaterally, without consulting them, much as he has since taking office in 2017.

Polls this week show Le Pen's forces qualifying for runoffs and finishing with up to 270 seats, just shy of a majority in the 577-seat National Assembly and about three times the number Le Pen won in 2022. National Rally would become the biggest party in the chamber, and Le Pen would have a strong argument for picking the next prime minister.

On Wednesday, Macron bristled when a reporter asked what he thought of the idea of becoming the first president in France's post-World War II history to hand the government over to the far right.

"Everyone sees the rising water of the extreme right," Macron said. The president then acknowledged a truth that haunts the political establishment: In 2027, Macron will finish the second of his two consecutive terms, the legal limit, leaving Le Pen to run for the presidency in a field bereft of major competitors.

Macron said he was unwilling to sit idle until then. Voters, in handing National Rally an overwhelming victory in Sunday's European elections, were protesting in anger, Macron said. In calling national elections with much bigger stakes, he said he was providing voters with a means of "clarification."

"We're tearing down the hypocrisy and the misunderstandings," he said

Macron, in turning the snap elections into a referendum on Le Pen, risks walking in the footsteps of David Cameron, who as British prime minister called a 2016 referendum on Brexit, expecting the public to vote it down. "David Cameron bet the house and lost . . . Macron is doing the same," said Mujtaba Rahman, managing director for Europe for the Eurasia Group consulting firm.

Unlike Cameron, Macron gave his forces little time to prepare. Lawmakers were given no notice before he dissolved the National Assembly in a TV address Sunday, triggering the vote.

For years, Macron has used his authority under the constitution to override Parliament. Last year he raised the legal age of retirement without parliamentary approval. Macron's tendency to run roughshod over Parliament, however, didn't prepare lawmakers for his latest maneuver. "I was really depressed on Sunday," said Patrick Vignal, who was until then a Renaissance lawmaker. "It was a shock."

Les Republicains, the mainstream conservative party, also has been reeling. On Tuesday, the party's president, Eric Ciotti, announced a surprise alliance with National Rally. Les Republicains's executive committee responded by voting to oust him as president, saying he betrayed the party. Ciotti himself had on numerous occasions vowed to never back Le Pen. His departure opens the door for other Les Republicains members to follow him toward National Rally.

Markets also have been rattled. French stocks plunged the morning after Macron's announcement, amid fear that France was careening toward a hung Parliament. That would make it hard for Macron to rein in the government's ballooning deficit.

In a sign of how dire the political map has become, aides to Macron said he is open to withdrawing his party's candidates from districts where conservative, socialist or the Green Party candidates have a better chance of beating National Rally. "We are going to be sandwiched between the left and the far-right," a Renaissance lawmakers said. "It's going to blow up in our faces."

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Prime Minister's Job Is in Jeopardy

Perhaps the biggest casualty of French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to call a snap election is his own prime minister and longtime protege. At 35 years old, Gabriel Attal was considered one of the brightest lights of Macron's party. When the president promoted him to prime minister in January, many lawmakers believed he was being positioned as a possible successor.

But Attal only found out about Macron's plans on Sunday, hours before he dissolved the National Assembly, officials said, adding that he was opposed to the move. On Tuesday morning, Attal huddled with his defenestrated lawmakers and delivered a pep talk meant to spur their re-election campaigns. But the lawmakers said they were angry and demoralized.

Meanwhile, Le Pen's protege, 28-year-old Jordan Bardella, has been doing victory laps since leading National Rally to triumph in Sunday's European elections. Party officials say he is the choice to replace Attal as prime minister." [1]

1. World News: Macron's Gamble to Stop Le Pen Risks Ushering Her In. Meichtry, Stacy;
Bisserbe, Noemie.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 14 June 2024: A.16.