"A few weeks
ago, Microsoft and OpenAI announced a huge $100 billion investment in one (!)
supercomputer for artificial intelligence (AI) data processing. This is
slightly less than the combined GDP of Lithuania and Estonia. And this 100
billion is part of OpenAI's $7 trillion plan.These and other companies investing
in AI expect to earn multiple times their investment.
Our problem -
Lithuania and the entire European Union (EU) - is that the market has already
been consolidated by the USA and the People's Republic of China. And this is
evident by observing how the AI regulatory act was hastily introduced in
Brussels. At the time of writing, I found only one AI startup with a unicorn
valuation in Europe, Mistral from France. There are dozens of such in the US,
not to mention the internal AI projects of giants such as Tesla, Google, Oracle
or Amazon. The players who have consolidated the market will dictate the
conditions for us. Their future income and profits are the rent we will have to
pay them on their capital.
If we do choose
not to use or heavily regulate AI to avoid rent, we will not be able to
participate effectively in future economic relationships. By regulating AI and
not creating it at the same time, we will resemble the 19th century's
Luddites, who smashed the industrial machines of the time in order to save
jobs. As then, we will be outcompeted by those who introduce new technologies.
And if we only
pay rent for AI, we will still be dependent on AI managers and not create as
much value as we could. A natural question arises: how could Lithuania collect
rent in the AI industry?
The AI industry
today consists of three main components: 1. AI software; 2. AI technical
equipment; 3. Energy is required for AI data processing centers.
I have to inform
you - Lithuania was late in creating the first two components. We, and at the
same time the EU, did not invest in the field of STEM science in our time, did
not create our Silicon Valley. Unfortunately, there is little chance that there
will be Lithuanian startups capable of attracting mass capital and creating
essential AI products. With AI hardware as well - there is not a single company
in Lithuania that is able to create critical added value to the already
existing Nvidia, TSMC or ASML products.
Energy sources
and the data processing centers built next to them - supercomputers - are the
last chance for Lithuania to join the AI industry. The need is clear -
according to the calculations of the International Energy Agency (IEA), data
centers in 2026 consumption of 1000 terawatt hours of energy. This is twice as
much as in 2022, the same as Japan's consumption, or 90 times more than
Lithuania's consumption in 2023.
Lithuania has a
lot to offer. While the data center and energy developers in Germany are
waiting for building permits, here we can build data centers and their energy
sources on concrete foundations. We have a well-developed fiber optic bus
network connecting us with Sweden, Finland, Poland, Germany. If necessary, we
will build new highways. We are close to key AI consumer markets.
In our country,
the wind generates the same watts as in Germany. And I will announce the news
to many - Lithuania has the best geothermal anomaly in Eastern Europe, which we
can overcome with modern technologies. According to various calculations, we
have unused 2-8 gigawatts of power under our feet in Western Lithuania. By
combining wind, energy storage and geothermal, we can provide AI data centers
with uninterrupted, non-polluting energy, cheaply and quickly. These are the
main four elements without which the big players - Google, Microsoft, Oracle
and Amazon - will not pay attention to us.
In Lithuania,
public and private companies are already developing several gigawatt wind,
solar and energy storage projects. We are going in the right direction. We just
need to significantly increase our ambitions - to engage the minds of Lithuania
in this direction and to actively promote our country to the big AI players. If
the right conditions are created, Lithuania will be the base of AI
infrastructure and at the same time the physical gateway of AI products to the
EU. Without Lithuania, the development of the AI industry in the EU will not be
as fast and efficient. And so we will become part of Sam Altman's $7 trillion
plan.
The author of
the comment is Simonas Valadkevičius, CEO of Lavastream"
Do not disturb our work. We will make 19th century artillery
shells with your tax money. We will send our most talented instigators of
conflicts and other disasters (Grybauskaitė, Landsbergiai, Nausėda, Kasčiūnas,
Anušauskas) to Africa, sell those shells there, and hide the money in private
accounts offshore. Don't make the world laugh with your wind and farts.
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