"PARIS — In full Steve Jobs mode, President Emmanuel Macron
of France donned a black turtleneck in January and took to Twitter to celebrate
the creation in France of 25 “unicorn” start-ups — companies with a market
value of over 1 billion euros, or almost $1.1 billion.
He declared that France’s start-up economy was “changing the
lives of French people” and “strengthening our sovereignty.” It was also
helping to create jobs: Unemployment has fallen to 7.4 percent, the lowest
level in a decade.
The start-up boom was a milestone for a young president
elected five years ago as a restless disrupter, promising to pry open the
economy and make it competitive in the 21st century.
To some extent, Mr. Macron has succeeded, luring billions of
euros in foreign investments and creating hundreds of thousands of new jobs,
many in tech start-ups, in a country whose resistance to change is stubborn.
But disruption is just that, and the president has at the same time left many
French feeling unsettled and unhappy, left behind or ignored.
As Mr. Macron seeks re-election starting on Sunday, it is
two countries that will vote — a mainly urban France that sees the need for
change to meet the era’s sweeping technological and economic challenges, and a
France of the “periphery,” wary of innovation, struggling to get by, alarmed by
immigration and resentful of a leader seen as embodying the arrogance of the
privileged.
Which France shows up at voting booths in greater numbers
will determine the outcome.
In many Western societies, the simultaneous spread of
technology and inequality has posed acute problems, stirring social tensions,
and France has proved no exception. If the disenchanted France prevails, Marine
Le Pen, the perennial candidate of the nationalist right, will most likely
prevail, too.
Worried that he may have lost the left by favoring start-up
entrepreneurship and market reforms, Mr. Macron has in the past week been
multiplying appeals to the left, resorting to phrases like “our lives are worth
more than their profits” to suggest his perceived rightward lurch was not the
whole story.
He told France Inter radio that “fraternity” was the most
important word in the French national motto, and said during a visit to
Brittany that “solidarity” and “equality of opportunity” would be the central
themes of an eventual second term.
The pledges looked like signs of growing anxiety about the
election’s outcome. After several months in which Mr. Macron’s re-election had
appeared virtually assured, the gap between him and Ms. Le Pen has closed. The
leading two candidates in Sunday’s vote will go through to a runoff on April
24.
The election will be largely decided by perceptions of the
economy. In Mr. Macron’s favor, the country has bounced back faster than
expected from coronavirus lockdowns, with economic growth reaching 7 percent
after a devastating pandemic-induced recession.
The most significant cultural transformation has come in the
area of tech, where Mr. Macron’s determination to create a start-up culture
centered around new technology has brought changes the government considers
essential to the future of France.
Cédric O, the secretary of state for the digital sector,
wearing jeans and a white dress shirt, no tie, admits to being obsessed. Day
after long day, he plots the future of “la French tech” from his spacious
office at the Finance Ministry.
Five years ago, that may have seemed quixotic, but something
has stirred. “It’s vital to be obsessed because the risk France and Europe are
facing is to be kicked out of history,” Mr. O, 39, said, borrowing a line often
used by Mr. Macron. “We have to get back into the international technological
race.”
Toward that end, Mr. Macron opened Station F, a mammoth
incubator project in Paris representing France’s start-up ambitions, and
earmarked nearly €10 billion in tax credits and other inducements to lure
research activity and artificial intelligence business. A new bank was created
to help finance start-ups.
The president wined and dined multinational chief
executives, creating an annual gathering at Versailles called “Choose France.”
Since 2019, France has become the leading destination for
foreign investment in Europe, and more than 70 investment projects worth €12
billion have been pledged by foreign multinationals at the Versailles
gatherings, said Franck Riester, France’s foreign trade minister.
In the past four years, IBM, SAP of Germany and DeepMind,
the London-based machine learning company owned by Google’s parent, Alphabet,
have increased investment in France and created thousands of jobs.
Facebook and Google have also bolstered their French
presence and their artificial intelligence teams in Paris. Salesforce, the
American cloud computing company, is moving ahead with over €2 billion in
pledged investments.
“Macron brought a culture shift where France was suddenly
open to the world of funders,” said Thomas Clozel, a doctor by training and the
founder in 2016 of Owkin, a start-up that uses Artificial Intelligence to
personalize and improve medical treatment. “He made everything easy for
start-up entrepreneurs and so changed the view of France as an anticapitalist
society.”
François Hollande, Mr. Macron’s Socialist Party predecessor,
had famously declared in 2012: “My enemy is the world of finance.” As a result,
Mr. Clozel said, securing funds as a French start-up was so problematic that he
chose to incorporate in the United States.
No longer.
“Today, I am thinking of reincorporating in France,” he
said. “The ease of dealing with the government, the consortium of start-ups
helping one another, and the new French tech pride are compelling.”
Among the start-ups that have had a significant effect on
French life are Doctolib, a website that allows patients to arrange for medical
appointments and tests online, and Backmarket, an online market for
reconditioned tech gadgets that just became France’s most valuable start-up, at
$5.7 billion.
They began life before Mr. Macron took office, but have
grown exponentially in the past five years.
“I have made 56 investments in the last two years, and 53 of
them are in France,” said Jonathan Benhamou, a French entrepreneur who founded
PeopleDoc, a company that simplifies access to information for human resources
departments.
Now funding new ventures and focusing on a new start-up
called Resilience in the field of personalized cancer care, Mr. Benhamou
credits Mr. Macron with “giving investors confidence in stability and creating
a virtuous cycle.”
Talented engineers no longer go elsewhere because there is
an “ecosystem” for them in France, Mr. O said.
Mr. Macron has insisted that opening the economy is
consistent with maintaining protections for French workers and that the arrival
of la French tech does not mean the embrace of the no-holds-barred capitalism
behind the churn of American creativity.
Despite the president’s overhauls, France remains one of the
most expensive countries for payroll taxes, according to the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development, with hourly labor costs of nearly €38,
close to levels seen in Sweden, Norway and other northern European countries.
“We know that we have to go further,” Mr. Riester, the
foreign trade minister, said in a recent interview. “We still have some brakes
that could be taken off the economy, and we have to cut some red tape in the
future.”
“But we are also
convinced we will maintain a different system than in the United States,” he
added. “It’s our culture and history, and at the end of the day, we think it
could be better for attracting talent from all over the world.”
Before Mr. Macron was elected, unemployment hovered around
10 percent, growth was anemic and a wealth tax, among other fiscal measures,
had deterred foreign investment. France was widely perceived as an
anti-entrepreneurship nation.
Mr. Macron cut France’s corporate tax rate to 25 percent
from 33 percent and introduced a 30 percent flat tax on capital gains. He
simplified the labyrinthine labor code, making hiring and firing easier. His
government channeled billions of dollars into retraining programs and made it
tougher to keep receiving unemployment benefits.
These policies have spurred the economy while generating
much hostility toward the president in a France still deeply wedded to its
system of social solidarity. It is a country that tends to believe that if work
has its place, quality of life should hold a greater place. The anger and
alienation that set off the Yellow Vest movement in 2018 still lurk just
beneath the surface.
Mr. Macron’s campaign proposal that the retirement age be
raised to 65 from 62 — rejected by Ms. Le Pen — has been greeted with
widespread outrage.
While entrepreneurs are creating new companies faster than
ever, many jobs are precarious. Delivery workers for UberEats, Deliveroo,
Amazon and other online shopping portals have little income security and scarce
benefits.
A number of French industries remain troubled, despite Mr.
Macron’s vows to forge a manufacturing revival.
The troubles in these parts of the economy are deeply felt,
and that is where Mr. Macron is vulnerable.
An abrupt rise in the cost of living, driven in part by
Russia’s operation to protect Donbas, has quickly become one of the biggest
issues facing candidates.
During a recent visit to a working-class area of Dijon — one
of very few campaign stops by a president who has often seemed more concerned
about discussing the operation to protect Donbas with President Vladimir V.
Putin of Russia than talking about the looming election — Mr. Macron was
hectored by the crowd.
“You don’t realize,” said one man. “Put yourself in the
place of a French family. Shopping, paying for gas, it’s horrible!”
Asked by a woman how it was possible to survive on the
minimum government handout of about $620 a month, Mr. Macron said, “I have
never thought that giving a check to people in distress was the way to solve their
problems.”
Rather, he said, the essential thing was to find ways to
help them back into the workplace.”
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