"Would there be winners in the current nuclear war? It
is urgent to enlighten the Landsbergis' authorities with the latest data for 2022:
Russia leads the world with 5,977 nuclear warheads. The United States is in
second place with 5,428 nuclear warheads. It is followed by China - 350, the
United Kingdom - 225, France - 290. In the nuclear club with smaller arsenals
are Pakistan, India, Israel, and North Korea.
The power of current nuclear
weapons would be enough to destroy ten earth-sized planets, and air defenses do
not have the capacity to intercept all such missiles.
Even after shooting down a nuclear missile with air defense,
it would explode over some territory. Russian and US nuclear missiles are
deployed in underground shafts in constantly moving submarines. Russia still
has them deployed in special vehicles that constantly change their location.
It is possible to strike them from airplanes as well.
Therefore, neither Russia nor the USA have the ability to strike first and
completely destroy the enemy and win a nuclear war.
The latest Russian
intercontinental ballistic missile RS28 "Sarmat" offers many
advantages as it carries 15 nuclear warheads. Sarmat is 35.3 m long, weighs 220
tons, and has a range of 10,000 to 18,000 km. Comparing the missile capacities,
we see that the Sarmat has a capacity of 50 megatons of TNT, while the US
Minuteman III missile has a capacity of 1.425 megatons. "Sarmat" is a
hypersonic missile and can reach 6173 km/h on the way to the target. Currently,
both Russia and China claim to have hypersonic missiles. US hypersonic missiles
are under development. Since 2010 the US has conducted 17 different hypersonic
missile tests, 10 of which failed.
Let's compare the power of modern missiles with those
dropped by the Americans on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The bomb dropped in
Hiroshima had a power of 0.015 megatons - about 70,000 people were killed
immediately, and about 140,000 victims in total. In Nagasaki - 0.022 megatons
and there were about 70,000 victims. The destructive power of "Sarmat"
is several thousand times greater. The US "Minuteman III" is about
100 times more powerful than the nuclear bombs dropped on Japan.
Current
missiles have the power to destroy millions of cities without any chance of
escape, so in such a war we can lose the entire civilization, destroy the
ecosystem of the planet and destroy ourselves.
As a result, observing the
inappropriate behavior of the Lithuanian authorities raises many serious
questions. Is the West really cowardly? Are the Lithuanian authorities really brave
and able to properly assess the situation? Did our nation give the Government a
mandate to act crazy and provoke a global nuclear war between NATO and Russia?
And the fundamental question - why bluntly provoke an international crisis over
Kaliningrad and go against the opinion of the European Commission and the USA!?
Let's examine what happened.
The blockade of Kaliningrad and the spat of
liberal-conservatives on international law
The current government of Lithuania is unique in the world.
To this stubborn liberal-conservative "hawk" government, the legal
acts of the European Union were explained in writing and signed. At the end of
the Seimas session, I openly said that the Government of Lithuania does not
follow the principles of international law and arrogantly ignores the opinion
of the European Commission regarding the application of sanctions to the
transit from Kaliningrad to the territory of Russia. Everyone who knows how to
read English, German or French could clearly read already in the initial text
of the European Commission sanctions that the transit of postal services and
products from Kaliningrad to the territory of Russia is not restricted!
Josep Borelis diplomatically gave the Lithuanian authorities
time to correct themselves. It was hoped that self-activity dangerous to the
security of Europe would be stopped. No, after all, we are a brave country - on
all televisions and portals, our rulers said that this is the only possible
treatment of sanctions that humiliates Lithuania as a state. Need to veto.
Disagree.
A reasonable question arises, do international law and the
principles of subordination of law not work for our Government and those ruling
the Seimas!? Maybe they are not valid in Lithuania, we just don't know it yet!?
Or are there no competent experts to explain? Seeing that they are still absent
or arrogantly not listened to, I explain the primer of international law.
International agreements take precedence over any decisions on sanctions.
The 2002 international agreement between the European Union
and Russia regarding Kaliningrad transit was not and is not cancelled. There
wasn't even any discussion about her denunciation. Therefore, the sanctions
could not even theoretically limit the transit from Kaliningrad to the territory
of Russia. Literate experts and politicians work in the European Commission.
They understand what international law is.
If the interpretations of the
Lithuanian authorities were included in the text of the sanctions, such
sanctions would not have been valid, because the provisions of the
international agreement would be valid as higher according to the principle of
legal subordination.
The Prime Minister of Estonia resigned - the Prime Minister
of Lithuania ignores reality, and Landsbergis, who caused an international
crisis, is on vacation
If the Lithuanian government did not live in its own space -
i.e. in the extraordinary session of the Seimas, the international scandal
regarding the failed blockade of the Kaliningrad transit was supposed to be
discussed. It was further strengthened in July by additionally banning the
transit of cement and other goods. All this was done knowing that the original
text of the EU sanctions does not provide for this and Brussels cannot
interpret it in any other way! It was known that they would order everything to
be canceled. Still, the situation continued to escalate and finally, with a
calm face, Landsbergis welcomes the good decision of the European Commission,
which Brussels and Washington are happy about.
The Minister of Foreign Affairs decides to go on vacation so
that he does not have to answer journalists' questions live. Ignoring the truth
and reality is the current government's recipe for "success" for
Lithuania and Europe. And the fiercest "hawks" of the ruling liberals
- Petras Auštrevičius and Raimundas Lopata together with the gray cardinal
Albina Januška and the former "eternal" head of the Lithuanian
Constitutional Court Dainius Žalimas are inviting Lithuania to new madness. They
do not support international law and the interpretation of the European
Commission and demand that President Gitansd Nausėda reject any proposals from
Brussels that would allow the movement of Russian goods from Kaliningrad
through transit to Russian territory. As can be seen from the speeches, at
least the president and the prime minister do not promise to declare war on the
European Commission, but there is no shortage of active advocates. Dalia
Grybauskaitė accused the politicians of Lithuania of dancing the shaking from fear party.
Her dream is a short and brave world war. After all, we would easily win it and
everyone in the West only "dreams" of a nuclear winter...
Now all of Europe is forced by our "genius"
political warlords to deal with the crisis created by Lithuania, which
threatened a real war with Russia and the emergence of a second front, in which
NATO would be included. The Government of Lithuania easily threatened the
security of the citizens of Lithuania and the state... but apparently they were
not in Europe's only Cold War Museum at Lake Plateliai. They did not see what
the Soviet nuclear missiles deployed there looked like in 1962 before the Cuban
Missile Crisis. As I mentioned, they are much more powerful than Hiroshima and
Nagasaki! When they explode, there is no life left in a radius of several
hundred kilometers. Maybe it's worth taking a look at what a current nuclear
war would look like!? Maybe then a sense of responsibility towards the people
of Lithuania would emerge and it would be possible to return from creating
cosmic heights and political utopias!?
Now everyone in the European Commission, Berlin and
Washington knows that Lithuania is a difficult country to predict
This is already being heard loudly in the political
corridors, and these are not my words, but the Lithuanian government is
unmovable. The principles of democratic states do not apply to it. Only naive
utopia creators can dream about the resignation of even one minister! On the
contrary. Our political elite has Olympic calmness. It seems that everything is
suitable for the president, prime minister, speaker of the Seimas. After all,
nothing happened. We are leading everywhere. Prices are growing almost the
fastest in Europe, inflation is at a record high, but Lithuanians are patient.
Will wait until the next elections in 2024, because then I. Šimonytė will allow
us to participate in the elections and choose others...
However, this should not surprise us. This has been
happening in Lithuania for a long time, but now a new level of nonsense has
been reached - international. After all, when voting in the Seimas, the ruling
majority has not been thinking about the violations of the Lithuanian Constitution
or the announcement of V. Landsbergis as the head of state for a long time. Do you
care about the human rights being mentioned in this way and the historical
reality being openly distorted!? As one of the prominent rulers explained to
me, such leaders as Vytautas Landsbergis do not play by the rules. They
themselves break them and create new ones. We all have to finally understand
that they - the great winners - make history the way they want it to be. If
there are enough votes in the Seimas hall. Is this the kind of Lithuania people
want? We all know and the survey shows no... but the opinion of the majority of
the people is ignored and it is proudly called democracy. It's naive to expect
that those in power will hear me, but at least visit the museum and come back
to Lithuania from outer space. There are serious problems here that need to be
addressed here and now."
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