"Recently, I met
with Artos Aass, an old partner of the Confederation of Lithuanian
Industrialists, the general director of the Confederation of Estonian Employers
(Eesti Tooandjate Keskliit). We discussed a rather painful topic: who could
have thought that the time would come when we would learn from Estonian
politicians what should not be done.
Mr. Aas recently described
the Estonian government's treatment of business with a very apt analogy: the
current situation is reminiscent of medieval torture, where the government says
you will still have one limb amputated, but you can still decide which one.
And how did it all
start? According to A. Aas, the Estonian government is now forced to constantly
raise taxes because the country has been living above its means for several
years. So now, not only are taxes being raised, but there is also a constant
change of opinion on how else business can be taxed.
As A. Aas tells us,
Estonia's expenses have been growing faster than state income for many years.
Public sector salaries and bureaucracy grew very rapidly. And it should not be
surprising that there is now such a big hole in the state budget that, without
raising taxes, the deficit would reach 5%.
And at the same time,
like Lithuania, Estonia faces the ill conceived "need" to increase defense spending.
The Defense Financing
Plan of the Estonian ruling coalition signed in July (Lithuania also adopted
it) provides that from 2025 July 2 percent points, up to 24%, VAT will be
raised, and from 2026 2 percent points, up to 24%, personal income tax. At the
same time, there was a provision that due to the need to finance defense from
2026 at least until 2028 at the end of the year, the state will collect a 2%
tax on corporate profits.
Estonia has not had
such a profit tax until now, because companies operating there are taxed at the
time of profit distribution, i.e. when it leaves the company, for example
by paying a dividend.
Business
representatives together with some Estonian politicians tried to look for
alternatives, such options include an additional salary tax at the same 2% rate
or a corporate property tax. Under this proposal, companies would pay this tax
or levy when submitting their annual business report, and its amount would be
calculated based on the size of the legal entity's balance sheet.
VŽ: On Tuesday, the
Estonian government stuck to the idea of introducing a corporate tax and
abandoned plans to tax corporate assets or payroll.
Representatives of
the Confederation of Estonian Employers say they are very disappointed because
the introduction of new taxes has a very negative effect on economic growth.
Estonia's economy has been in decline for nine consecutive quarters.
The lesson is painful
but clear: governments cannot be allowed to spend beyond their means, otherwise
the process spirals out of control, leaving only bad or very bad choices.
Observing the rain of
Lithuanian election promises, one wants to hope that he will not get Lithuania
into a similar situation.
On Tuesday, the Bank
of Lithuania presented a rather optimistic forecast: that this year the gross
domestic product (GDP) will grow by 2.2%, 0.3%. point more than was forecast in
June.
However, we still
live in conditions of high energy costs, expensive capital and risky wages. The
main export partners are not recovering either, investments are shrinking. This
year, the decrease of investments in the country is predicted to be as much as
3.6%.
I strongly recommend
that our politicians learn from other people's mistakes, as smart people do,
and not get stuck in their own.
Because Lithuanian
business does not want to consider which limb they should amputate: at this
economic stage, we not only need them all, but a few extra ones would be useful
to achieve the required speed.
The author of the
comment is Vidmantas Janulevičius, president of the Confederation of Lithuanian
Industrialists (LPK)."
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