In this assessment presented, several key points are supported by recent developments and public comments, though they require specific context and clarification. The perception of Lithuania's actions toward China, recent shifts in US foreign policy, and the country's strategic position all play a role in the situation described.
Lithuanian foreign policy and the conflict with China
A "values-based" stance: Former Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis pursued prematurely a "values-based" foreign policy toward China, which led to a diplomatic dispute in 2021.
The Taiwan office: Landsbergis' government allowed a Taiwanese Representative Office to open in Vilnius using the name "Taiwanese," a move Beijing viewed as a violation of the "One China" principle. This led to a downgrading of diplomatic relations and significant economic pressure from China, such as import blockages.
Diverging views within Lithuania: While Landsbergis defended his policy, polls from 2022 and 2023 showed that many Lithuanians opposed the government's approach.
In late 2024, the newly elected government of Prime Minister Gintautas Paluckas indicated interest in normalizing relations with China, though without changing the name of the Taiwanese office.
Shifting US foreign policy under the Trump administration
Reduced emphasis on global deterrence: A draft of the new US National Defense Strategy (NDS), submitted in September 2025, reportedly proposes a shift in Pentagon priorities away from countering China and Russia globally to focusing more on the US homeland and Western Hemisphere.
Resetting Russia relations: The Trump administration began diplomatic efforts to reset relations with Russia in early 2025. In February 2025, the US sided with Russia in a UN vote regarding Ukraine, a major shift from its previous stance.
Reduced military aid to Europe: In September 2025, Lithuania reported that the US had informed European allies of cuts to military aid programs. The final allocation, however, was still subject to negotiation between the Trump administration and Congress.
Lithuania's security situation
NATO membership and deterrence: While NATO's Article 5 is a cornerstone of Lithuanian security, some have raised concerns that political divisions and shifting priorities among allies could create delays in a crisis. In a 2025 interview, Landsbergis expressed concern about potential delays in a NATO response and the need for Europe to escalate its own deterrence efforts.
EU and NATO solidarity: In the past, the EU and NATO offered solidarity and economic support to Lithuania in response to China's economic coercion. This collective approach has been a key component of Lithuanian resilience.
https://www.lrytas.lt/pasaulis/konfliktai-ir-saugumas/2025/09/08/news/pentagono-ataskaita-rodo-besikeiciancius-jav-prioritetus-mazesnis-demesys-rusijos-ir-kinijos-atgrasyumii-39419695
Komentarų nėra:
Rašyti komentarą