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2025 m. rugpjūčio 7 d., ketvirtadienis

Trump’s Trade Representative: Why We Remade the Global Order: Guest Essay


“It must be an unwritten rule that international economic orders emerge at stately hotels. In 1944, as World War II raged, Allied representatives gathered at a picturesque New Hampshire resort named Bretton Woods to discuss how to establish a postwar economic order to restore the sensible flow of trade in a fractured world.

 

Although the resulting Bretton Woods system ended in 1976, its legacy lives on. Our current, nameless global order, which is dominated by the World Trade Organization and is notionally designed to pursue economic efficiency and regulate the trade policies of its 166 member countries, is untenable and unsustainable.

 

The United States has paid for the system with the loss of industrial jobs and economic security, other countries have been unable to make needed reforms, and the biggest winner has been China, with its state-owned enterprises and five-year plans. Unsurprisingly, the past decade has seen significant international and bipartisan American frustration at the system’s failure to adapt to meet the essential interests of sovereign nations.

 

Now, reform is at hand. Last week at his Turnberry resort on the Scottish coast, President Trump and the European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, concluded a historic agreement — one that is fair, balanced and oriented toward serving concrete national interests rather than vague aspirations of multilateral institutions.

 

Indeed, by using a mix of tariffs and deals for foreign market access and investment, the United States has laid the foundation for a new global trading order.

 

The previous system rejected tariffs as a legitimate tool of public policy, meaning that the United States sacrificed tariff protection for critical manufacturing and other sectors. Over the past three decades, the United States slashed barriers to our market to allow vast inflows of foreign goods, services, labor and capital. At the same time, other countries kept their markets closed to our goods and deployed a suite of policies — such as subsidies, wage suppression, lax labor and environmental standards, regulatory distortions and currency manipulation — to artificially boost exports to the United States. This approach made the United States and a handful of other economies the consumers of last resort for countries pursuing beggar-thy-neighbor economic policies.

 

Our trading partners were adept at this game, and elites on Wall Street and in Washington were all too happy to cash in on the global arbitrage by moving production abroad. The net result?

 

The bulk of global manufacturing shifted to jurisdictions such as China, Vietnam and Mexico where companies could exploit vulnerable workers or benefit from expansive state support while the United States ran up what in absolute terms is the highest trade deficit in the history of the world. This led to extensive and well-documented losses in U.S. industrial capacity and employment as well as reliance on our adversaries for critical supply chains.

 

We subordinated our country’s economic and national security imperatives to a lowest common denominator of global consensus. This approach harmed American workers, their families and communities by undermining a manufacturing sector that creates high-wage jobs, fosters innovation and catalyzes investment across the economy.

 

What began at Bretton Woods as a necessary effort to rebuild a global trade system shattered by war evolved, over nine rounds of trade negotiations, into something unrecognizable. The measured guidelines for commerce developed in the Kennedy and Tokyo Rounds gave way to our recent experiment in global hyper-integration, embodied in the Uruguay Round, which concluded in 1994 and established the W.T.O.

 

We are now witnessing the Trump Round. On April 2, President Trump announced tariffs to address the national emergency posed by the trade deficit. The intense bilateral negotiations that followed were held in diverse locations across the world: Washington, Geneva, Jeju Island, Paris, London, Stockholm and, of course, Turnberry. Our trading partners had never before shown such interest in opening their markets to the United States, aligning on matters of economic and national security, and rebalancing trade in a more sustainable direction. In a few short months, the United States secured more foreign market access than it had in years of fruitless W.T.O negotiations.

 

Reversing decades of harmful policy that weakened our manufacturing capacity and work force will take time and coordinated effort across the public and private sectors. But keeping the status quo would only accelerate the dangerous trajectory of deindustrialization. We require a generational project to re-industrialize America, and time is short.

 

When I joined a critical mass of my fellow trade ministers in June at a meeting of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in Paris, I was struck by how many voiced serious concerns about the danger of macroeconomic imbalances, the threat of nonmarket practices and the sclerotic state of the global trading system — the same issues President Trump has raised for years and now taken emergency action to address. What was long dismissed as heresy by the free-trade fundamentalists in Brussels, Geneva and Washington is now becoming conventional wisdom.

 

In announcing the U.S.-European Union deal last week, President von der Leyen echoed the call to refashion global trade to adapt to economic and political realities. She explained to reporters that the trans-Atlantic economic relationship needed “rebalancing” to ensure that it could be “more sustainable.” Such recognition is reinforced by additional deals with Britain, Cambodia, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, the Philippines, South Korea, Thailand and Vietnam, which make up almost 40 percent of U.S. trade, according to my office’s figures. Other countries with large trade surpluses with the United States are subject to generally higher tariffs. The new economic order, solidified at Turnberry, is emerging in real time.

 

The results are astounding. Every year for 40 years, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative has produced a detailed report called the National Trade Estimate chronicling various barriers faced by U.S. companies, including high tariffs, requirements to produce goods in the countries where the companies want to do business, and restrictions on agricultural products contrary to scientific consensus. In the past, the only significant way the United States could remove these barriers (if at all) was by giving away the tariffs defending our manufacturing sector. President Trump has flipped the script on this: Now, we are systematically eliminating these barriers abroad while ensuring sufficient tariff protection at home.

 

Indonesia is lowering 99.3 percent of its tariffs on imports from the United States and eliminating a slew of longstanding non-tariff barriers, while accepting a 19 percent tariff on exports to the United States. South Korea is accepting U.S. auto standards along with a 15 percent tariff. Vietnam pledged to lower all of its tariffs and barriers in exchange for a 20 percent rate. Most countries we are negotiating with have also agreed to cooperate on economic security to ensure the safety and reliability of our critical supply chains.

 

Countries are also committing to upgrade and better enforce their labor standards, tackling arbitrages that have put American workers and producers at a disadvantage. Multiple countries will join the United States (along with the E.U., Mexico and Canada) in banning the importation of goods made with forced labor. Eliminating global slavery was a longstanding goal of advocates and policymakers, but it was the leverage of President Trump’s tariffs that finally made it possible to unlock meaningful progress.

 

Similarly, countries are agreeing to improve resource efficiency and enforcement of environmental laws, including in the most problematic sectors, such as illegal logging, illegal fishing and the illegal wildlife trade. The international trade system should not force Americans to compete with those who use our responsible capitalism against us as a competitive advantage.

 

Importantly, these commitments are actionable, and the United States will enforce them. Rather than the drawn-out dispute settlement process favored by the old guard of trade bureaucrats, the new U.S. approach is to closely monitor implementation of the deals and swiftly reimpose a higher tariff rate for noncompliance if needed. President Trump uniquely recognizes that the privilege of selling into the world’s most lucrative consumer market is a mighty carrot. And a tariff is a formidable stick.

 

At the World Trade Organization, enacting changes to trade rules requires total consensus among nations. In fact, the last attempt at serious reform, known as the Doha Round, failed because protectionist nations refused to take down their trade barriers to the United States. Moreover, our adversaries relish blocking reform. They prefer a status quo that feeds an exploding U.S. trade deficit, sapping this nation of the industrial might that made it, and keeps it, a superpower.

 

But the rules of international trade cannot be a suicide pact. By imposing tariffs to rebalance the trade deficit and negotiating significant reforms that form the basis of a new international system, the United States has shown bold leadership to address what policymakers long considered intractable problems.

 

Many of these deals also come with significant investment commitments into U.S. productive capacity, such as $600 billion in the case of the European Union and $350 billion by South Korea. These investments — 10 times larger than the inflation-adjusted value of the Marshall Plan that rebuilt Europe after World War II — will accelerate U.S. reindustrialization. South Korea will help reinvigorate the American shipbuilding industry, which has atrophied in the face of nonmarket competition. These types of investments are on top of purchase commitments that cumulatively account for almost $1 trillion of American energy, agriculture, defense and industrial products. This demand for American goods and ready access to capital will allow American manufacturing to reassert leadership across strategic sectors where we have fallen behind.

 

Skeptics point out that tariffs, although once a fixture of American economic policy, have not been used this extensively for generations. But we now have data showing that the failure to use tariffs or similar protections created an economy that was heavy on finance and consulting fees and low on the lasting wealth and security that come from making things. Even among those who agree with that diagnosis, some say the president’s remedy is too strong or was administered too hastily, or that the tariffs will be too disruptive in the short term. This is not the time to debate how many angels can dance on the head of a pin. This is an emergency. We know what the problem is and we know how to address it. There is no time to waste.

 

President Trump has already shown that he can implement tariffs and other economic tools to reshape supply chains and reinvigorate manufacturing. When he deployed sweeping tariffs in his first term, not only did the sky not fall as pundits predicted, but inflation actually went down. And now that he is imposing tariffs even more broadly, inflation remains in check. A long-term problem won’t be fixed overnight, and the process may not always be smooth, but the situation demands strong and resolute action to strengthen the U.S. industrial base.

 

It took over 50 years from that first meeting at Bretton Woods until the creation of the W.T.O. It has been 30 years since. Fewer than 130 days from the beginning of the Trump Round, the Turnberry system is by no means complete, but its construction is well underway.

 

Ambassador Jamieson Greer is the U.S. trade representative.” [1]

 

1. Trump’s Trade Representative: Why We Remade the Global Order: Guest Essay. Jamieson Greer.  New York Times (Online) New York Times Company. Aug 7, 2025.

Kriptovaliutų kūrėjas pripažintas kaltu teisme, baudžiamojo persekiojimo procese

„Tornado Cash“, skaitmeninių valiutų „maišymo“ paslaugos, kurią Šiaurės Korėjos kibernetiniai nusikaltėliai naudojo vogtoms lėšoms plauti, bendraįkūrėjas po tris savaites trukusio teismo proceso Niujorko federaliniame teisme buvo nuteistas už vieną iš trijų jam pateiktų baudžiamųjų kaltinimų.

 

Trečiadienį prisiekusieji pripažino Romaną Stormą kaltu dėl sąmokslo valdyti nelicencijuotą pinigų pervedimo verslą – tai nusivylimas kriptovaliutų šalininkams, kurie palaikė programinės įrangos kūrėjo gynybą. Už šį kaltinimą gresia maksimali penkerių metų laisvės atėmimo bausmė.

 

Tačiau prisiekusiesiems nepavyko susitarti dėl dviejų kitų, rimtesnių kaltinimų: sąmokslo plauti pinigus ir sąmokslo pažeisti JAV sankcijas. Abu kaltinimai galėjo priversti įkalinti 20 metų.

 

„Esame dėkingi, kad prisiekusieji nenuteisė Romano už sankcijų pažeidimą ar pinigų plovimą“, – sakė Brianas Kleinas, advokatų kontoros „Waymaker“ partneris ir vienas iš Stormo advokatų.

 

„Yra rimtų teisinių problemų dėl vienintelio likusio kaltinimo, susijusio su nelicencijuotu pinigų pervedimu“, – pridūrė Kleinas. „Mes nenustosime kovoti už Romaną ir tikimės, kad jis bus visiškai išteisintas.“

 

„Romanas Stormas ir Tornado Cash suteikė Šiaurės Korėjos įsilaužėliams ir kitiems nusikaltėliams paslaugą perkelti ir paslėpti daugiau, nei 1 milijardą dolerių nešvarių pinigų“, – sakė JAV prokuroras Manhatane Jay Claytonas, kurio biuras iškėlė bylą prieš Stormą.

 

JAV prokuratūros Manhatane atstovas atsisakė komentuoti, ar prokurorai sieks pakartotinio teismo dėl dviejų kaltinimų, dėl kurių prisiekusieji nesutarė.

 

36 metų Stormas išėjo iš teismo posėdžio po nuosprendžio, kuris buvo paskelbtas po kelias dienas trukusių svarstymų. Jo nuosprendžio paskelbimo data dar nepaskirta.

 

Nors jis išvengė apkaltinamojo nuosprendžio dėl rimčiausių kaltinimų, prisiekusiųjų sprendimas dėl pinigų pervedimo kaltinimo nuvylė kriptovaliutų šalininkus, kurie baiminosi, kad tai gali sukurti pavojingą precedentą skaitmeninių valiutų pramonei ir, panašiose srityse dirbantiems, kūrėjams. „Tai siaubingas rezultatas Romanui ir visai kriptovaliutų pramonei“, – X paskelbė kriptovaliutų investicinio fondo „Variant“ advokatas Jake'as Chervinsky.

 

Prieštaringas Stormo bylos nagrinėjimo rezultatas buvo reta nesėkmė pramonei, kuri džiaugėsi viena sėkme po kitos. Prezidentas Trumpas. Jo administracija priėmė pirmąjį svarbų kriptovaliutų įstatymą ir staiga nutraukė daugelį ieškinių, kuriuos Vertybinių popierių ir biržos komisija pateikė kriptovaliutų įmonėms, vadovaujant prezidentui Joe Bidenui.

 

Žymūs kriptovaliutų investuotojai prisidėjo prie Stormo teisinės gynybos fondo, o pramonės grupės pateikė jo argumentus pagrindžiančius dokumentus.

 

Stormo advokatai teigė, kad jis sukūrė neutralią programinę įrangą ir nebuvo atsakingas už tai, kaip nusikaltėliai ją naudojo. Jie teigė, kad „Tornado Cash“ internete veikė autonomiškai ir, išskyrus žiniatinklio „priekinę dalį“, egzistavo už Stormo kontrolės ribų, kai buvo įdiegta.

 

Teisingumo departamentas papasakojo paprastesnę istoriją: Stormas sąmoningai sukūrė ir reklamavo, sukčių ir įsilaužėlių naudojamą, pinigų plovimo įrankį.

 

Prokurorai pateikė įrodymų, kad nusikaltėliai ne kartą naudojo „Tornado Cash“, kad išplautų sukčių ir įsilaužimų metu pavogtas kriptovaliutų lėšas. Tarp jų buvo daugiau nei 500 mln. JAV dolerių vagystė iš internetinio žaidimo „Axie Infinity“ 2023 m., kurią federaliniai tyrėjai priskyrė „Lazarus Group“ – JAV sankcionuotai, Šiaurės Korėjos kibernetinių nusikaltimų grupei.“ [1]

 

1. Crypto Developer Guilty of Criminal Charge. Osipovich, Alexander.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 07 Aug 2025: B1. 

Crypto Developer Guilty of Criminal Charge

 

“A co-founder of Tornado Cash, a digital-currency "mixing" service that was used by North Korean cybercriminals to launder stolen funds, was convicted of one of the three criminal charges he had faced, after a three-week trial in New York federal court.

 

A jury on Wednesday found Roman Storm guilty of conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business, a disappointment for crypto proponents who had backed the software developer's defense. The charge carries a maximum prison sentence of five years.

 

But the jury failed to reach agreement on two other, more serious charges: conspiracy to commit money laundering and conspiracy to violate U.S. sanctions. Both charges could have resulted in 20-year prison sentences.

 

"We are grateful the jury did not convict Roman for violating sanctions or laundering money," said Brian Klein, a partner at law firm Waymaker and one of Storm's attorneys.

 

"There are serious legal issues with the sole remaining count involving unlicensed money transmission," Klein added. "We will not stop fighting for Roman and expect him to be fully vindicated."

 

"Roman Storm and Tornado Cash provided a service for North Korean hackers and other criminals to move and hide more than $1 billion of dirty money," Jay Clayton, the U.S. attorney in Manhattan, whose office brought the case against Storm, said.

 

A spokesman for the Manhattan U.S. attorney's office declined to comment on whether prosecutors would seek a retrial for the two counts on which the jury deadlocked.

 

Storm, 36 years old, walked out of court after the verdict, which followed several days of deliberations. His sentencing date hasn't yet been set.

 

Although he avoided conviction on the most serious counts, the jury's decision on the money-transmitting charge upset crypto proponents, who feared it could set a dangerous precedent for the digital-currency industry and developers working in similar areas. "This is a terrible outcome for Roman and for all of crypto," Jake Chervinsky, a lawyer for crypto investment fund Variant, posted on X.

 

The mixed result of the Storm trial was a rare setback for an industry that has enjoyed one success after another under President Trump. His administration has brought the passage of the first major piece of crypto legislation and an abrupt end to many of the lawsuits that the Securities and Exchange Commission filed against crypto firms under President Joe Biden.

 

Prominent crypto investors had contributed to Storm's legal-defense fund and industry groups had submitted briefs supporting his arguments.

 

Storm's lawyers argued that he created a neutral piece of software and wasn't responsible for how criminals used it. They said Tornado Cash ran autonomously on the internet and, aside from a web-based "front end," existed outside of Storm's control once it was deployed.

 

The Justice Department told a simpler story: that Storm knowingly created and promoted a money-laundering tool used by scammers and hackers.

 

Prosecutors presented evidence that criminals repeatedly used Tornado Cash to launder crypto funds stolen in scams and hacks. These included the theft of more than $500 million from online game Axie Infinity in 2023, which federal investigators attributed to Lazarus Group, a U.S.-sanctioned North Korean cybercrime organization.” [1]

 

1. Crypto Developer Guilty of Criminal Charge. Osipovich, Alexander.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 07 Aug 2025: B1. 

Atsiprašau, milijardieriai – jums pabėgimo galimybių nėra


„Daugelį metų skraidžiau lėktuvais iš Santa Monikos oro uosto, esančio už 2 mylių nuo mano namų. Pasakiau kolegai pilotui, kad vienas iš licencijos ir lėktuvo privalumų yra galimybė išgelbėti savo šeimą nuo visuomenės griūties. Jis sutiko, bet pažymėjo, kad sunkumų bus paskutiniame šimte jardų iki oro uosto.

 

Dabar pasirodė žinia, kad Amerikos milijardieriai Naujojoje Zelandijoje paruošė stovyklas apokalipsės atveju. Kruopščiai aprūpinti viskuo, ko grupei reikės – oru, vandeniu, maistu, pramogomis – jie pasiruošę priimti itin privilegijuotuosius. Gerai ir gerai, bet jų fantazija, kaip ir mano, yra ydinga. Kokio dydžio grupei jie numato transportą, apsaugą ir nuolatinę priežiūrą?

 

Osmanų turkai pavergtus mamelukus pirmiausia paskyrė sargybiniais, o paskui administratoriais, ir viskas buvo gerai, kol „Lukai“ atliko skaičiavimus ir suprato, kad jiems nereikia turkų.

 

Kai kurie milijardierių pabėgimo lėktuvų pilotai tikrai turėjo šeimas. Laimingai susituokę pilotai logiškai reikalautų, kad šeimos... Verčiau važiuokite kartu, nei pasilikite ir mirkite. Milijardierių turtas jiems nieko neduotų, nes jie negalėtų pabėgti be pilotų ar sumokėti žmogui tiek, kad jo šeima būtų atimta gyvybė.

 

Taip, turtingieji turėtų ginkluotus sargybinius, kad užtikrintų, jog jų pačių šeima saugiai patektų į lėktuvą. Ar sargybiniai nereikalautų, kad jie ir jų artimieji taip pat vyktų kartu? Žinoma, kad vyktų.

 

Lėktuvus aptarnaujanti antžeminė įgula, remiantis šia logika, elgtųsi panašiai. Jei pasilikimas reikštų mirtį, kuo jie rizikuotų reikalaudami būti įtraukti? Ką turtuolis darys, sustabdys jų atlyginimą? Jo lėktuvas siūlo vienintelį pabėgimą.

 

Būtų apribojimas: lėktuvas gali gabenti tik tam tikrą svorį. Perkrautas jis neskraidys. Tam tikru momentu lėktuve esantys asmenys turėtų naudoti ginklus, kad atbaidytų vėluojančių minias.

 

Taigi sargybiniai suprastų esą apsišvietę mamelukai. Jei jie vieninteliai gali palaikyti tvarką, o pinigai dabar nenaudingi, jiems nereikia savo darbdavio. Lėktuve jis būtų nenaudingas – ir Naujajame... Zelandijos bunkeris – tik nenaudinga burna, kurią reikia pamaitinti. Teritorijoje dirbantys prižiūrėtojai, statybininkai, apsaugos darbuotojai ir kiti reikalautų būti apgyvendinti – jei dar nebūtų užsibarikadavę ir užrakinę plutokratų lauke.

 

Pasaulis po visuomenės, kuriam ruošiasi milijardieriai, yra pasaulis be pinigų.

 

Prisimenu vieną Vakarų Manhatano moterį, dirbančią kambarine. Pakeliui į darbą jos vyras paskambino pranešti, kad jie ką tik laimėjo 100 milijonų dolerių loterijoje. Ji sakė, kad susitiks su juo tą vakarą, išėjusi į darbą paskutinę dieną. Tačiau lifte, esu tikra, ji suprato: „E...“

 

Ar kriptovaliuta yra sukčiavimas? Tikriausiai, bet niekas nežinotų, kol nepasibaigs grandininis laiškas. Kas, žinoma, galioja visoms fiat valiutoms. Bent jau apie auksą galima pasakyti: „Jis čia pat, jūs galite jį matyti.“ „Jis yra Fort Nokse.“ Apie kriptovaliutą negalima sakyti: „Jis čia pat – „niekas“ yra čia pat.“

 

Kai pabėgimo lėktuvas pasiekia savo svorio ribą, ir Proto aušroje, kaip ir buvusios tarnaitės atveju, pirmieji pro duris išmeta milijardierius, buvęs jo savininkas, dabar atskleistas kaip balastas.

 

Panašų valdžios decentralizavimą matome ir nesveikoje šeimoje. Jei tėvai silpni – tai yra, jei jie nenaudoja tėvų valdžios ar įtakos, kad užtikrintų laimingą grupės augimą, klestėjimą ir vientisumą – jų lyderystę gali uzurpuoti nerimastingi išlaikytiniai: reiklus ar agresyvus vaikas, hipochondrikė teta, radikalus paauglys ir panašiai. Biblija įspėja apie „tarno, kai jis karaliauja“ priespaudą. Tokį prievartos gebėjimą dažnai matome ir šeimos naryje, kurio vardas pokalbyje prasideda žodžiu „vargšas“.

 

Visi žinome istorijas apie suaugusiuosius, kurie išvyko atostogauti, palikdami paauglius vaikus „prižiūrėti namus“.

 

Senieji britų lordai... dvaro savininkus, kaip ir šių dienų turtuolius, išnaudojo ne tik jų pakalikai ir tiekėjai, bet ir tie, kurie buvo įgalioti apsisaugoti nuo tokių nepriteklių. Liokajus gaudavo kyšius iš mėsininko per didelių įkainių, o milijardieriaus asmeniniai pirkėjai – iš prabangių šiukšlių prekeivių.

 

Nuosavybė be žinios sukelia defalaciją. Jamesas Gordonas Bennettas jaunesnysis (1841–1918) buvo turtingas, pranokstantis godumo svajones, alkoholikas ir ekscentriškas. Nors jis retai būdavo patalpose, jo Paryžiaus namuose buvo personalas ir jie buvo valdomi taip, lyg jis būtų. Tarnams buvo įsakyta kiekvieną vakarą 11 val. prie jo lovos padėti puodelį karšto pieno ir sausainį. Jie tai darė visus jo nebuvimo metus, kai pienas atvėsdavo ir niekas neateidavo jo sausainio.

 

Galime manyti, kad galiausiai jie praleido vieną ar dvi beprasmio švaistymo naktis; bet jie turėjo manyti kitaip. Nes pieno ir sausainių nepaisymas atvėrė juos išdavystei iš savo bendratarnių – kaip iš tikrųjų nutiko net ir nevykusiam pasirodymui ar juokingam posakiui. Kad šarada būtų atlikta, išvengiant kitų nuostabos,  reikėjo slopinti net ir neištikimas mintis. Mat bendradarbiai galėjo nujausti pačias mintis ir taip paskatinti denonsavimą.

 

Tačiau jei iš Niujorko būtų pasklidusi žinia, kad Bennettas yra komoje, iš kurios neatsigaus, arba yra pakankamai sužeistas, kad būtų apsidraudęs nuo grįžimo, Paryžiaus darbuotojai akimirksniu imtųsi sąmokslo. Jei šeimininkas negrįžtų, bet pinigai vis tiek tekėtų, užkandžiui prieš miegą skirtos lėšos galėtų būti panaudotos darbuotojų asmeninėms reikmėms.

 

Pirmajame virtuvės konklavoje iškiltų du susiję klausimai – kiek jie galėtų pavogti nepastebimai ir kaip vagystės būtų reguliuojamos ir paskirstytos.

 

Taigi virtuvė tampa revoliucionierių „Jeu de Paume“, ištikimas personalas sudaro Viešojo saugumo komitetą, o jų konstitucija – vagių susitarimas. Taip pat žr. ketverius Bideno administracijos metus.

 

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Ponas Mametas yra dramaturgas, kino režisierius ir scenaristas.“ [1]

 

1. Sorry, Billionaires -- There's No Escape. Mamet, David.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 07 Aug 2025: A15. 

Sorry, Billionaires -- There's No Escape

 

“For many years I flew airplanes out of the Santa Monica Airport, 2 miles from my home. I told a fellow pilot that one benefit of the license and the plane was the ability to extract my family from a societal breakdown. He agreed but noted that the difficulty would be the last hundred yards before the airport.

 

Now comes news that American billionaires have prepared compounds in New Zealand in case of apocalypse. Thoughtfully stocked with all that the group would require -- air, water, food, entertainment -- they stand ready to receive the ultraprivileged. Well and good, but their fantasy, like mine, is flawed. For what is the size of the group for which they foresee transportation, protection and perpetual care?

 

The Ottoman Turks raised enslaved Mamelukes to the status first of guards and then of administrators, and all was well until the 'Lukes did the math and realized they didn't need the Turks.

 

Some of the pilots of the billionaires' getaway planes would surely have families. Happily married pilots would logically insist the families come along for the ride rather than stay and die. The billionaires' wealth would avail them nothing, for they couldn't escape without the pilots or pay a man enough to forfeit his family's life.

 

Yes, the wealthy would have armed guards to ensure their own family got safely on board. Wouldn't the guards insist they and their loved ones go along too? Of course they would.

 

The ground crews servicing the planes would, by this logic, act similarly. If staying behind meant death, what would they risk by demanding their inclusion? What's the rich guy going to do, stop their paycheck? His plane offers the sole escape.

 

There would be a limitation: The plane can only carry so much weight. If overloaded, it won't fly. At some point those on the plane would have to use arms to keep the latecomer hordes off.

 

The guards, then, would realize themselves to be the enlightened Mamelukes. If they are the only ones capable of keeping order, and if money is now useless, they have no need of their employer. On the plane he would be dead weight -- and in the New Zealand bunker, just a useless mouth to feed. The caretakers, builders, security guards, and so on, of the compound, would insist on being accommodated -- if they hadn't already barricaded themselves in and locked the plutocrats out.

 

The World After Society for which the billionaires are preparing is a world without money.

 

I recall a West Side Manhattan woman, working as a maid. On the way to work her husband called to report they'd just won $100 million in the lottery. She said she'd see him that night after going to work for one last day. In the elevator, however, I'm sure she realized: "Uh . . ."

 

Is cryptocurrency a scam? Probably, but one wouldn't know unless and until the chain letter runs out. Which is, of course, true of all fiat currency. Of gold, at least, one can say, "It's right there, you can see it. It's in Fort Knox." You can't say of crypto: "It's right there -- the 'nothing' is right there."

 

When the escape plane has reached its weight limit, and at the Dawn of Reason like that of the ex-maid, the first ones thrown out the door would be the billionaire, its former owner, now revealed as ballast.

 

We see a similar devolution of power in an unhealthy family. If the parents are weak -- that is, if they don't use parental authority or influence to ensure the happy growth, prosperity, and integrity of the group -- their leadership may be usurped by the anxious dependents: the demanding or belligerent child, the hypochondriac aunt, the radical adolescent and so on. The Bible cautions about the oppression of "a servant when he reigneth." We see the same capacity for coercion, often, in the family member whose name, in conversation, is prefaced by "poor."

 

We all know the stories of adults who went on vacation, leaving the adolescent kids to "watch the house."

 

The old British lords of the manor, like today's rich, were exploited not only by their lackeys and suppliers, but by those empowered to guard against such deprivations. The butler got a kickback from the butcher's overcharges, the billionaire's personal shoppers from the merchants of luxury rubbish.

 

Absentee ownership engenders defalcation. James Gordon Bennett Jr. (1841-1918) was wealthy beyond the dreams of avarice, alcoholic and eccentric. Although he was seldom on the premises, his Paris home was staffed and run as if he were. The servants were ordered to place a cup of hot milk and a biscuit by his bed, each evening at 11. They did so through years of his absence, in which the milk cooled and no one came for his cookie.

 

We might think they eventually skipped a night or two of pointless waste; but they must have thought otherwise. For to neglect the milk and cookie opened them to betrayal by their fellow servants -- as, in fact, did even a poor-willed performance or a facetious expression. That the charade be performed without rolled eyes required suppression even of disloyal thoughts. For the thoughts themselves might be intuited by one's co-workers, and so lead to denunciation.

 

If, however, word came from New York that Bennett was in a coma from which he wouldn't recover, or were sufficiently injured to insure against his return, the Paris staff would instantly devolve into conspiracy. If the master wasn't returning but the money still flowed, the resources devoted to the bedtime snack could be put to the staff's personal use.

 

Two related questions would arise, at their first kitchen conclave -- how much they could steal without discovery, and how the thefts would be regulated and apportioned.

 

The kitchen, thus, becomes the Revolutionaries' Jeu de Paume, the loyal Staff forms a Committee of Public Safety, and their Constitution is a thieves' compact. See also the four years of the Biden administration.

 

---

 

Mr. Mamet is a playwright, film director and screenwriter.” [1]

 

1. Sorry, Billionaires -- There's No Escape. Mamet, David.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 07 Aug 2025: A15.