"Economist, professor at the University of Athens Nikos
Vettas says that the economies of European countries are weak compared to the
USA, China or even other Asian countries. He also doubts that the old continent
will return to a 2 percent inflation rate in the near future.
"The striking thing is that all European economies are
still weak compared to the USA, China and other Asian economies. Many of us who
live and work in Europe sometimes forget this. We are weak. Inflation, of
course, is the key word," N. Vettas spoke at the fifteenth Limassol
Economic Forum.
"You might think that we are returning to the very low
inflation rate that we had in the recent past. In my opinion, this will not
happen. I think that in all these economies, the inflation rate will be higher.
Not higher, which would throw the economy out of balance, but certainly closer
to 3%, not 2%. And it is not related to monetary forces, but to supply and
demand in the world. There is a huge and still growing middle class in Asia,”
he noted.
N. Vetta also singles out Europe’s technological lag and
believes that prices in the food and energy sectors will not decrease in the
next 10 years.
“Along with the need for an ecological transition, the
balance of demand and supply is such that prices in food, energy and other
areas will not decrease in the next 10 years, they will be higher. This creates
a lot of imbalances,” the economist said.
“In terms of technology, Europe is lagging behind and it is
not clear how many people in Europe want to work in manufacturing. You can see
the latest trends – due to COVID in 2020. manufacturing has decreased
significantly,” he said.
“The Elephant in the Room” – Germany
A professor at the University of Athens calls Germany the
“elephant in the room” in the European economic situation, where stagnation in
the automotive sector is felt, which is affecting the entire continent.
“The elephant in the room is Germany, and the elephant in
Germany is automotive production. If we combine the current and expected
weakness that automotive production will have in Germany, it is unclear when
and how automotive production in Germany will recover to the level it was
before, and to what extent it will do so in other European manufacturing
areas,” said N. Vetta.
“This creates a huge hole, and at the same time the European
economy is paying much higher energy costs than the US and Asia because of
naive and unnecessary sanctions on Russia,” he explained.
Europe invests heavily in combating climate change, but has
more problems in other areas
N. Vetta emphasizes that although Europe emits only 6-7
percent of the world's CO2, it invests heavily in combating climate change and
the countries of the old continent do not allocate enough money in other areas.
"We Europeans claim that we emit only a very small part
- about 6-7 percent of the world's CO2 emissions. Why should we be the only
ones who "drive" it? The truth is that we have transferred most of
our production elsewhere, where CO2 is emitted. But now it becomes a 100
percent political matter," the economist argued.
"The amount of money that needs to be set aside for
climate adaptation, in simple terms, for what can happen to you because of
climate change, which is happening whether we want it or not, regardless of
whether some of us believe that it is caused by CO2. "The amount of money
that has to be set aside, whether for emissions or for other reasons, is very
large. And we are not setting this money aside at the moment," he said.
Finally, the professor singled out the inefficient connection
between the education system and business and poor demographics among Europe's
problems.
"We have very deep and inefficient connections between
our education system and business, compared to what is happening in the US and
now in Asia. This, by the way, contributes to other demographics," said N.
Vetta.
"And we have a very low level of technology inclusion.
Now can this be changed? It can be changed, but without changing that, when you
don't have enough people, the economy is struggling. Now this is a small case
of what is happening in the rest of Europe. Economic reform, opening up markets
and modernizing the market sector - these are two things that Europe really
needs, but it has a political price," he insisted.
The trip of the Elta journalist to Limassol was paid for by
Freedom Finance, which did not affect the content of the publication."
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