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2026 m. gegužės 21 d., ketvirtadienis

Internet Blackout Is Needed to Fight Chaos of War. It Also Cripples Economy. This Is the Price Iranians Must Pay to keep Their State Functioning


 

Iran's unprecedented, state-imposed internet blackout has disconnected more than 90 million citizens from the global web. While the government justifies the shutdown as an emergency measure to prevent internal disorder (Iran’s previous leader was killed by hackers taking the data of traffic cameras from internet) and mitigate cyber warfare, it has simultaneously crippled the country's economy.

 

The resulting economic toll on Iranians and the state reveals the staggering cost of this digital isolation:

           Massive Financial Losses: Economists estimate that the blackout costs Iran's digital economy between $30million and $250 million per day. Overall, up to half of the country's GDP has been impacted or damaged by the combination of war, cyberattacks, and the shutdown.

           Job Layoffs and Business Failures: Approximately 10 million jobs are tied to Iran's digital economy. With platforms like Instagram blocked, small e-commerce sellers, delivery services, and technology startups have seen their revenues collapse, resulting in over a million job losses.

           Soaring Inflation and Currency Devaluation: The combination of war damages, the internet shutdown, and U.S. blockades of Iranian ports has caused the Iranian rial to plummet, dropping to roughly 1.9 million rials to the dollar. This has caused the price of basic food items and cooking oil to skyrocket.

           Banking and Commerce Collapse: Major financial institutions, such as Sepah bank and the Nobitex cryptocurrency exchange, have been targeted by debilitating cyberattacks. Combined with the internet shutdown, ATMs frequently fail, and traditional businesses are forced to rely entirely on inefficient, old-school phone lines to conduct regional and international trade.

           Psychological Strain: Citizens describe the lack of connectivity as suffocating. Bypassing the firewall requires expensive and difficult-to-acquire virtual private networks (VPNs), leaving the general public isolated from both global news and their own local business networks.

 

“Iranians are enduring the longest and most intense internet blackout in history, compounding an economic crisis.

 

For nearly three months, businesses have been disconnected from clients and suppliers. Merchants have struggled to work with longstanding international partners. Many businesses have closed, increasing unemployment.

 

Iran was experiencing economic turmoil before the internet blackout and war. A financial crisis sparked mass protests in December. Thousands of demonstrators were killed, with the regime also choking off the internet.

 

The blackout is "the most severe, by extent and duration, that we've tracked in the history of modern internet connectivity," said Alp Toker, founder of digital watchdog group NetBlocks. "Even for Iran, it is an extreme measure."

 

Heavy internet restrictions in response to the protests began on Jan. 8 and were eased on Jan. 23, before being reinstated on Feb. 28, the day the U.S. and Israel first attacked Iran. Network connectivity in Iran has hovered around 1% to 2% of total capacity for weeks, compared with between 90% and 100% before the protests, according to NetBlocks.

 

The blackout compounds the heavy cost the war has had on Iran's economy. More than a million people are out of work, food prices have soared and the national currency has spiraled to record lows. The U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, a tit-for-tat response to Iran's chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz, has left Tehran relying on alternative routes for regional trade via rail and road connections.

 

"Around 10 million jobs are estimated to be directly or indirectly tied to Iran's digital economy," said Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, an economist specializing in the Middle East at Philipps-Universitat Marburg in Germany. "Restricting access on this scale damages productivity, weakens business confidence and increases inequality, since only wealthier or better-connected users can secure reliable connectivity."

 

Beyond losing work, Iranians say they can't complete ordinary tasks such as telling family members where they are, getting medical records or updating their car's software. As the U.S. and Israel bombed Iran, and Tehran fired projectiles across the Persian Gulf, many Iranians couldn't access news from sources that weren't aligned with the government.

 

Iran's Foreign Ministry didn't respond to a request for comment. Iran's communications minister, Sattar Hashemi, has told Iranian state media the internet measures are a response to wartime conditions imposed on the country.

 

Before the shutdown, Iran's internet was heavily filtered, but not quite to the extent of China's "Great Firewall." Despite censorship and periodic restrictions, the internet was deeply embedded in Iranian life. Millions of Iranians routinely relied on circumvention tools like virtual private networks, or VPNs, to access blocked foreign websites and social-media platforms. Businesses used apps like Telegram, Instagram and WhatsApp to communicate with customers, advertise products, process orders and maintain contact abroad. Freelancers and programmers worked remotely for clients both inside and outside the country, while many small online sellers depended nearly entirely on social media for income.

 

Recently, however, the Islamic Republic has moved beyond temporarily blocking individual platforms to completely restricting connectivity.

 

A 25-year-old in Tehran who works in software development said he hasn't worked since the latest restrictions were enacted. Projects to build up data centers and artificial-intelligence capabilities are dormant, he said.

 

"A lot of businesses in the tech and IT field are slowly being eliminated, which is disastrous," he said. "Myself and colleagues who were working on projects to improve technology in this country are now hopeless and completely unemployed."

 

Much of the tech equipment imported before the war came from Dubai. Those shipments have been disrupted, sending prices skyrocketing.

 

There are a few ways around the blackout. Some options carry risk. The U.S. covertly sent thousands of Starlink satellite terminals into Iran after the regime's crackdown on demonstrations this year. Tens of thousands of Iranians use them.

 

Owning a Starlink terminal is illegal in Iran. Authorities have searched homes and roofs in the hunt for users of the terminals, who face several years in prison if caught.

 

The government has rolled out a tiered system known as "Internet Pro," which grants select users exemptions from some controls, but at a price many can't afford.

 

Meanwhile, the Islamic Republic is accelerating the development of a nationally centralized, heavily regulated internet network designed to tighten state control over web access without a full blackout.

 

The effects of the internet blockage could linger beyond the war, Farzanegan said. "A country where internet access can be suddenly restricted becomes a higher-risk environment for investment and trade," he said.” [1]

 

1. World News: Internet Blackout Cripples Economy. Moussavi, Henna.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 21 May 2026: A8.

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