Sekėjai

Ieškoti šiame dienoraštyje

2023 m. lapkričio 6 d., pirmadienis

Tanks do not want to leave the history of war.

 


Drones and phones make the battlefield transparent. Large targets like ships, planes and tanks do not survive. But nobody wants to die, not even tanks.

 

"Now that the tank battalions of the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) are fighting in Gaza in force, following the terror attack on Israeli communities on October 7th in which more than 1,400 were murdered, those lessons are particularly relevant. Tanks, though increasingly vulnerable to drones, loitering munitions and modern anti-tank guided missiles, which strike from the top, remain the only platform on the battlefield combining mobility, protection and serious firepower. They will form the vanguard of Israel's ground invasion of Gaza, blasting a path for the infantry units behind them.

 Brigadier General Hisham Ibrahim, commander of the IDF's Armoured Corps, who has the job of preparing Israel's tanks and their crews for war says: "Earlier tanks fought there in a single-corps fashion, instead of using combined arms tactics," he explains. In other words, armoured regiments operated as separate tank units instead of working in integrated formations with infantry, combat-engineering and artillery units, and without co-ordination with intelligence and air power. In some cases, tank columns were sent single-file down a road without any support, leaving them to be picked off by enemy. Tank crews were poorly trained and showed little sign of following their own doctrine.

"Israel's armoured corps has a different shape than it used to," says General Ibrahim. "We have been training in a combined-arms fashion at all levels for some years now. We no longer see the tank as being capable of doing everything. The battlefield has changed; it's much more crowded and built-up. There are many challenges to these big platforms and I expect the infantry and engineers to make up for my disadvantages. Our soldiers in all the courses and exercises are now accustomed to fighting in a combined-arms environment."

Many of these ideas were originally learned from Israel's large-scale tank battles during the Yom Kippur war, 50 years ago. During that conflict the IDF's armoured battalions, sometimes operating on their own, took major losses from Egypt's then-novel Sagger anti-tank missiles, supplied by the Soviet Union, as well as from opposing tanks. The IDF quickly adapted, and its tactics were widely studied and adopted by the US Army in the 1970s and 1980s. Today, Israeli tank crews are widely seen as being among the best trained and prepared in the world.

But the IDF is not alone in having learned from history. At the start of Hamas's assault on the Israeli border, the attackers used drones carrying large grenades to take out observation posts. In one case at least, there is footage of such a grenade hitting an Israeli Merkava tank. General Ibrahim insists that while some of the tanks on the border were hit "two or three times", none was destroyed and all will be back in action shortly.

Nevertheless, in some of the staging areas, Merkava tanks have been seen with "cope cages", slatted metal barriers fixed over the turret, the most exposed part of the vehicle, to block such attacks from above. Recent attempts to resort to such improvised devices provoked sniggering last year, but Israel's adoption suggests that armour professionals take the threat from drones increasingly seriously. The more advanced version of the Merkava used by the IDF's regular armoured brigades, as opposed to those crewed by reservists, is equipped with the TROPHY, an extremely sophisticated Israeli-designed "active protection system" system which has proven effective at defeating incoming anti-tank missiles with explosive panels that blow outwards. Not all of the tank units have the system, however. And every tank, including earlier versions of the Merkava, in Israel's storage depots is now being deployed, suggesting the large scale of the operation to come and the need to guard Israel's northern border with Lebanon.

Within two hours of the start of the Hamas attack, General Ibrahim had notified all the IDF's armoured-brigade commanders that they should start mobilising, even before the official order had arrived from the army bosses. Now, for the first time in over four decades, since the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982, the entire armoured corps has been called up.

This is a massive force, and although the IDF, keen to protect its operational security, is not giving out numbers, it is understood to include over 1,000 main battle tanks. Many of these are not intended for the ground offensive in Gaza, but are being positioned in northern Israel for the possibility of war flaring up also with Hizbullah, the Iranian-backed Lebanese movement, which has been provoking an Israeli response with daily rocket and mortar shelling since the Hamas attack on October 7th.

If a second front does erupt, Israeli tank-crews will be fighting two types of war. While both Hamas and Hizbullah have used similar tactics and weaponry in previous encounters with Israeli tanks—small ambush teams firing Russian-made (and Iranian-supplied) anti-tank missiles—the terrain will make a lot of difference. Facing Hizbullah in the hilly, woodland areas of the Galilee and southern Lebanon is a very different prospect from fighting in densely built-up urban areas of Gaza City, where attacks can come from close quarters.

For many years, the consensus among military experts was that fighting with lumbering tanks in narrow city streets was a liability. But the more informed view is that if used properly, and in conjunction with other ground forces, nothing can replace the tank's firepower and breaching capabilities when fighting in an urban environment defended by heavily armed opponents. American commanders say that tanks proved vital in key urban battles in the Iraq war, including situations where lighter armoured vehicles proved inadequate. In Sadr City, a hostile suburb of Baghdad, American tanks and other armour formed what one study calls "roving, armoured boxes" which could move slowly, steadily and safely without exposing dismounted troops to danger.

Israel's tank corps has at least two advantages over many other tank operators. One is that Hamas is not thought to possess "top-attack" anti-tank missiles like the American Javelin and Anglo-Swedish NLAW, supplied to Ukraine, which strike a tank at the weakest part of its armour—the top of the hull. The other is that Israeli tanks are designed to fight on the country's borders, rather than far from home, and to give high levels of protection. That makes them relatively bulky and heavy, and potentially less mobile, but capable of withstanding serious hits.

In addition to their "active" protection, the more advanced Israeli tanks and infantry fighting vehicles also have sophisticated communications systems. These connect them to a network which supplies troops, on screens in the tank, with all the information being collected by sensors on other Israeli platforms, including footage from drones hovering overhead. "Today's tank can use information collected from other sources to fire on its targets and collect information itself which will be used by other sources of fire," says General Ibrahim. That overcomes the traditional problem of urban warfare: short lines of sight, in which one tank platoon may have little idea of what is going on around the next block.

Like tank generals the world around, he deeply disagrees with those who inferred from recent failures that the day of the tank was over, and cites the events of October 7th as proof. As thousands of fighters were charging into Israel through 29 breaches along the border fence, he argues that at some points, the small number of tanks stationed that morning on the border "were the only remaining layer of protection, and they were using all their weapons, cannon, machineguns and simply running over, to try and stop hundreds of terrorists around them who were trying to get into the communities." With most of the observation and cameras on the border knocked out, the tanks were often carrying the only surveillance systems still operating to pass along vital information.

Ultimately the IDF's failure that morning was one of intelligence assessment and a lack of forces within quick reach of the border. But of the few tanks which were there and made it to the kibbutzim, General Ibrahim insists "they were the key element in restoring control to those communities and ending the bloodshed. Nothing could have done that like a tank."" [1]


1. The Economist, 16 Oct. 2023, p. NA.

 

Seni traktoriai apmokomi naujų gudrybių --- Deere, Agco, CNH siūlo senų traktorių modernizavimą, kad būtų lengviau pereiti prie daugiau automatizavimo


 

     "Nicko Welkerio traktoriai vairuoja beveik taip pat efektyviai, kaip ir naujausios Teslos. Jie buvo pagaminti aštuntajame dešimtmetyje.

 

     Montanos ūkininkas aprūpino juos palydoviniu vairavimu, todėl jis tapo pažangiausiu ūkininku, neišleisdamas 700 000 dolerių naujam traktoriui. Paskutinis jo 52 metų gamybos modelio patobulinimas prieš dvejus metus kainavo 20 000 dolerių.

 

     „Norėčiau pakeisti kai kuriuos įrenginius naujais, bet mūsų grynasis pelnas iš akro yra toks mažas, kad negalime sau to leisti“, – sakė, kviečius, rapsus ir lęšius auginantis, Welkeris. „Mes nebūsime naujų pirkėjai“.

 

     Ūkio mašinų gamintojai „Agco“ ir „CNH Industrial“ pastaraisiais mėnesiais plečia savo modifikuojamų senų produktų linijas, kad, jau eksploatuojamą, įrangą paverstų išmaniosiomis mašinomis, kurios gali tiksliau sėti sėklas, purkšti pasėlius ir atlikti kitas užduotis. Jais siekiama atremti „Deere“, naujos įrangos pardavimo lyderį, kuris sudaro apie du trečdalius naujų didelių arklio galių traktorių rinkos JAV ir Kanadoje. „Deere“ šiemet pradėjo prekiauti savo įrangos modernizavimu.

 

     Įrangos gamintojai daug dėmesio skiria pigesniam modernizavimui, nes ūkininkų pajamos patiria spaudimą dėl slenkančių prekių rinkų. Kukurūzų ir kviečių ateities sandorių kainos šiais metais sumažėjo 29%, o sojų pupelių kainos sumažėjo 14%.

 

     Nors, pastaraisiais metais augusios, pasėlių kainos į ūkininkų pinigines įdeda daugiau pinigų naujiems įrangos modeliams, tik 7 % ūkininkų visame pasaulyje tam tikrais metais pakeičia savo įrangą. Anot „Agco“, 93 % ūkininkų naudoja senesnius modelius, kaip potencialius klientus atnaujinimui. Bendrovė apskaičiavo, kad dabartinės pramonės išlaidos modernizavimo rinkose yra 150 mlrd. dolerių per metus.

 

     "Daugumos ūkio įrangos naudingo tarnavimo laikas yra apie 17 metų. Per tą laiką technologijos labai pasikeičia. Tačiau įranga naudojama tik nedidelę metų dalį", - sakė  "Agco" generalinis direktorius Ericas Hansotia iš "Fendt" ir "Massey Ferguson" technikos gamintojos.

 

     Rugsėjo mėn. „Agco“ sutiko sumokėti 2 mlrd. dolerių už 85% Kolorado valstijoje įsikūrusio „Trimble“ žemės ūkio technologijų verslo akcijų. Ši įmonė teikia programinę įrangą ir komponentus, skirtus savarankiškam vairavimui, tiksliam purškimui, duomenų valdymui ir įrangos stebėjimui, skirtą „Agco“ modernizavimo pasiūlymams.

 

     „Agco“ planuoja susieti „Trimble“ technologijos produktus su „Precision Planting“ – programinės įrangos ir komponentų verslu, skirtu modifikuoti sėklų sodinamąsias mašinas, kurią „Agco“ įsigijo 2017 m.

 

     „Agco“ tikisi, kad „Precision Planting“ pardavimai šiais metais pasieks apie 850 mln. dolerių, daugiau, nei dvigubai, daugiau, nei 2020 m., o iki 2025 m. prognozuoja 1 mlrd. dolerių.

 

 „Precision Planting“ programinė įranga ir komponentai gali būti pridedami prie daugelio gamintojų sėjamųjų, todėl jie bus populiarūs tarp ūkininkų, norinčių tobulinti senesnius modelius.

 

     Indianos ūkininkas Brianas Scottas sakė, kad nuo 2019 m. naudojo Precision Planting savo Deere sėjamoje, kad išmestų sėklas jo 2500 akrų plote. Prieš ketverius metus jis iškeitė 2012 m. sodintuvą į 2009 m. modelį, kuris vienu metu pasėja daugiau eilių sėklų.

 

     Šį pavasarį jis atnaujino savo galimybes uždaryti griovelį, kurią jis iškasa dirvoje, kad galėtų pasodinti sėklas. Jo teigimu, šiemet kukurūzų derlius padidėjo net 3 proc., pridedant septynis bušelius iš aro.

 

     „Aš jį įdiegiau pats“, - sakė Scottas. "Tai buvo labai lengva."

 

     CNH, „Case IH“ ir „New Holland“ įrangos gamintoja, sustiprino jos tiksliojo ūkininkavimo galimybes, įsigydama daugybę įsigijimų, pradedant nuo 2021 m. Pietų Dakotoje įsikūrusios „Raven Industries“ įsigijimo už 2,1 mlrd. dolerių. 

 

Raven valdymo sistemos, pasėlių purškimo įranga ir navigacijos sistemos be vairuotojo yra prieinamos naujose CNH mašinose ir senesnėse įrangos modifikacijose.

 

     „Galiausiai dėl to mašinų valdymas tampa lengvesnis ir mažiau įtemptas“, – sakė CNH vyriausiasis skaitmeninės ir informacijos pareigūnas Marcas Kermischas.

 

     „Deere“ teigė, kad anksčiau šiais metais pradėjo akcentuoti modifikavimo galimybes, kai padarė išvadą, kad kai kurie ūkininkai nesiryžta giliai pasinerti į automatizavimo, dirbtinio intelekto ir ūkio programinės įrangos programas. „Dažnai modifikuotas atnaujinimas yra žemesnės pakopos pirmasis žingsnis“, – sakė Thanas Hartsockas, našumo atnaujinimo viceprezidentas.

 

     Anksčiau šiais metais „Deere“ pradėjo pardavinėti savo „See & Spray“ sistemos versiją, kurią galima pridėti prie senesnių „Deere“ purkštuvų, ir naudoja kameras bei dirbtinį intelektą, kad atskirtų piktžoles nuo pasėlių, purškiant herbicidus.

 

     Hartsockas teigė, kad kameros nėra tokios pat tikslios, kad taip pat lengvai atpažintų piktžoles be specialiai sistemai sukurtų purškimo sijų, kaip su jomis. Tačiau jis sakė, kad modernizavimas kainuoja maždaug perpus pigiau, nei naujas purkštuvas su gamykloje įdiegta See & Spray technologija.

 

     Montanos ūkininkas Welkeris ūkininkauja 10 000 akrų plote Montanos centre su trimis traktoriais, kuriuos aštuntajame dešimtmetyje pastatė seniai nebeveikianti regioninė mašinų įmonė, kuri nutraukė veiklą daugiau, nei prieš 30 metų. Jis turi du 10 metų senumo derliaus nuėmimo kombainus ir pasėlių purkštuvą, kurį, pasak jo, daugumoje surinko pats.

 

     Jis pridėjo orientavimo sistemas, stebėjimo programinę įrangą ir ekranus metų bėgyje. Šį pavasarį Welkeris savo purkštuvą papildė atrankinėmis galimybėmis, kad herbicidas būtų naudojamas tik piktžolėms, o ne žemei.

 

     Atnaujinimas kainavo apie 175 000 dolerių, palyginti su maždaug 500 000 dolerių už naują purkštuvą. Welkeris kasmet nuo piktžolių apdoroja apie 3000 pūdymo akrų, o praėjusį pavasarį sunaudojo 80% mažiau herbicidų, nei ankstesniais metais.

 

     „Kadangi cheminių medžiagų kainos kilo per stogą, – sakė jis, – tai padarė didelį skirtumą.“ [1]

 

1. Business News: Teaching Old Tractors New Tricks --- Deere, Agco, CNH offer retrofits to ease transition to more automation. Tita, Bob.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 06 Nov 2023: B.3. 

Teaching Old Tractors New Tricks --- Deere, Agco, CNH offer retrofits to ease transition to more automation.


"Nick Welker's tractors steer themselves nearly as effectively as the latest Teslas. They were built in the 1970s.

The Montana farmer has outfitted them with satellite-guided steering, putting him on the cutting edge without spending $700,000 for a new tractor. The last improvement two years ago on his 52-year-old model cost $20,000.

"I'd love to upgrade some equipment, but our net profit per acre is so low we can't afford it," said Welker, who grows wheat, canola and lentils. "We're not going to be a buyer."

Farm-machinery manufacturers Agco and CNH Industrial have been expanding their lines of retrofit products in recent months to turn equipment already in service into smart machines that can plant seeds, spray crops and perform other tasks more precisely. They aim to counter Deere's big lead in new-equipment sales, which include about two-thirds of the market for new high-horsepower tractors in the U.S. and Canada. Deere this year started selling retrofits for its own equipment.

Equipment makers' emphasis on lower-cost retrofits comes as farmers' incomes are under pressure from sliding commodity markets. Prices for corn and wheat futures are down 29% this year, while soybean prices have fallen 14%.

While rising crop prices in recent years put more money in farmers' wallets for new equipment models, only 7% of farmers globally replace their equipment in a given year. That leaves 93% of farmers using older models as potential customers for upgrades, according to Agco. The company estimates current industrywide spending in its retrofit markets is $150 billion a year.

"Most farm equipment has a useful life of about 17 years. Over that time, technology shifts so much. But the equipment is only used for a small part of the year," said Eric Hansotia, chief executive of Agco, the maker of Fendt and Massey Ferguson machinery.

In September Agco agreed to pay $2 billion for an 85% stake in Colorado-based Trimble's agriculture-technology business. That business provides software and components -- for self-steering, precision spraying, data management and equipment monitoring -- for Agco's bolt-on retrofit offerings.

Agco plans to pair Trimble's technology products with those of Precision Planting, a software-and-components business for retrofitting seed planters, which Agco acquired in 2017.

Agco expects Precision Planting sales to reach about $850 million this year, more than double the total in 2020, and forecasts $1 billion by 2025. Precision Planting's software and components can be added to most brands of planter, making them popular among farmers looking to improve older models.

Indiana farmer Brian Scott said he has used Precision Planting on his Deere planter since 2019 to meter out seeds on his 2,500 acres. Four years ago, he traded in a 2012 planter for a 2009 model that plants more rows of seeds at once.

This spring, he updated its capabilities to close the trench it digs in the soil to plant seeds, an improvement he said increased this year's corn yields by as much as 3%, adding seven bushels an acre.

"I installed it myself," Scott said. "It was super easy."

CNH, the maker of Case IH and New Holland equipment, has been fortifying its precision-farming capabilities with a series of acquisitions, starting with the 2021 purchase of South Dakota-based Raven Industries for $2.1 billion. Raven's guidance systems, crop-spraying gear and driverless navigation systems are available on CNH's new machines and as retrofits on older equipment.

"Ultimately, it's making it easier and less stressful to operate the machinery," said Marc Kermisch, CNH's chief digital and information officer.

Deere said it started emphasizing retrofit options earlier this year after concluding that some farmers are hesitant to plunge deeply into automation, artificial intelligence and farm-software programs. "Oftentimes, that retrofit upgrade is a lower-stage first step," said Than Hartsock, vice president for performance upgrades.

Deere earlier this year started selling a version of its See & Spray system that can be added onto older Deere sprayers and uses cameras and artificial intelligence to distinguish weeds from crops when spraying herbicides.

Hartsock said the cameras aren't as precise at recognizing weeds without the spray booms specifically designed for the system. But he said the retrofit costs about half as much as a new sprayer with factory-installed See & Spray technology.

Montana farmer Welker farms 10,000 acres in central Montanawith three tractors built in the 1970s by a long-defunct regional machinery company that went out of business more than 30 years ago. He has two 10-year-old harvesting combines and a crop sprayer he said he mostly assembled himself.

He has added guidance systems, monitoring software and display screens over the years. This spring, Welker added selective capabilities to his sprayer so that herbicide is applied only to weeds and not the ground.

The upgrade cost about $175,000, compared with about $500,000 for a new spray truck. Welker treats about 3,000 fallow acres a year for weeds, and last spring used 80% less herbicide than in previous years.

"With chemical prices going through the roof," he said, "it made a big difference."" [1]

1. Business News: Teaching Old Tractors New Tricks --- Deere, Agco, CNH offer retrofits to ease transition to more automation. Tita, Bob.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 06 Nov 2023: B.3.