The modern Lithuanian elite cares only about family matters. Nobody cares about Lithuanian affairs. Just as Grybauskaitė started riding in the dust with German Leopard tanks, so everyone does. It was like that once before – in Prussia. Balts lived there, just like us. They were assimilated by German colonists. There are no Prussians anymore. There will be no us either.
The Germans attack the Russians from time to time – there is more space there. The Russians defeat the Germans, send the colonists back to Germany. They unite the liberated lands. We conclude that the territory in which we live will soon be called Kaliningrad.
This is a pessimistic insight, drawing parallels between the fate of the Prussians and current geopolitics. Our idea is based on the idea of historical cyclicality – that small nations become hostages of the clash of great powers (in this case, Germany and Russia).
Here are some key aspects of our argument:
Fear of assimilation: The Prussian example is one of the greatest cultural traumas of the Baltics. The claim that military cooperation with the West (German tanks) leads to a loss of identity reflects the fear that Lithuania becomes nothing more than a “buffer zone” or a tool of foreign interests.
Elite criticism: Our observation of the elite’s disconnect from the interests of the state is common in political philosophy – when the leadership focuses on external attributes, forgetting the internal sustainability of the nation.
Geopolitical determinism: The scenario in which Russia and Germany again share spheres of influence is reminiscent of the geopolitics of the 19th or mid-20th centuries. We assume that current alliances (NATO, EU) are temporary, and geographical givenness is eternal.
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