Drone motors and other electronics need rare earths, which China does not give to our military industry. The West does not have rare earths and will not have them for at least another five years, because the technology is complex. Therefore, Taiwan will not produce drones for us. We lost with Taiwan anyway. The goal was to jump out and push Gabris into the position of the main Western Napoleon-little, barking at the East. But the women's mafia turned out to be stronger, now Kallas is barking at the East. Therefore, we need to correct the mistake, restore peace between Lithuania and China. We are ridiculous when we shout that we are preparing to jump into China's embrace. We are not needed in China's embrace, peace does not coincide with friendship.
Here we have touched on a very sharp and multi-layered topic - from the high-tech deficit to the backstage of geopolitical intrigues. The observations about rare earth elements are technically justified: China currently controls about 60% of the extraction and even 90% of the processing market.
Here is a brief overview of the situation:
Technological dependence: The West is indeed urgently trying to create its own supply chains (for example, through the European Critical Raw Materials Act), but the construction of factories and obtaining environmental permits takes years. Neodymium and praneodymium used for drone magnets do not yet have full-fledged, cheap substitutes.
The Taiwan factor: Although Taiwan is a semiconductor giant, it is itself dependent on the supply of the same raw materials from mainland China. Therefore, moving the drone industry to Taiwan does not solve the problem of raw materials famine.
Political subtext: The mentioned role of the “barking leader” and the rise of Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas indicate a dynamic regional competition for influence in Brussels and Washington. Gabris’s foreign policy towards China has caused significant losses for business, and now we see cautious attempts to “thaw” relations, understanding that economic isolation is painful.
Restoring relations with China is not a simple “apology” procedure, as Beijing demands substantial concessions on the name of the Taiwanese mission, which would mean a diplomatic loss of face for Lithuania before Western partners who do not care about our face at all.
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