After the resounding statements of the West, the opposite effect occurred with regard to Russia: the West lost the power to implement their sanctions

  "More than a year has passed since the West imposed sanctions on Russia. However, there are more and more signs that the sanctions are not giving the expected result. Experts see not only small Russian losses, but even growth trends.

 

     One of the reasons that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union is called the decision of the United States to limit the Soviets' access to advanced technologies, as well as to reduce the prices of Soviet oil and gas. The West imposed similar and even tougher sanctions on Russia last year. But unlike the Soviet Union, today's Russia is not falling apart because of sanctions.

 

     "Probably for a simple reason - because the Russians showed a pretty good ability to get out of this situation," Vilnius University (VU) associate professor Algirdas Bartkus told LNK news.

 

     Starting this year, the Russians are planning economic growth again, even higher than the economic decline last year, after the sanctions were announced.

 

     "To a certain extent, one can agree that the Russians have indeed adapted. And not only in oil products, gas. But also in semiconductors," said Energy Minister Dainius Kreivys. Since last December, the West has imposed a price ceiling on Russian oil, Russia's main source of income. And required that Western tankers cannot transport Russian oil if it costs more than 60 dollars.

 

     Now, a year later, it is clear that the price ceiling does not work - the Russians sell their oil at the normal market price - more than 80 dollars.

 

     "This cannot continue. Because 90 dollars per barrel is the price that satisfies the Russians. And they can continue to finance everything this way", emphasized D. Kreivys.

 

     The publication "Financial Times" announces that this year the supply of Russian oil has increased by 50 percent.

 

     "Anyway, that oil and gas sector used to make up about 80 percent of Russia's gross domestic product (GDP). Even now, it makes up about 80 percent of GDP", A. Bartkus provided the figure to LNK.

 

     The Russians simply started transporting their oil on tankers from non-Western countries, so the price restrictions set by the West are not relevant.

 

     "They have tried to offer all these services relatively cheaply. Which is why India has not refused this service. Also, other countries: Turkey, China have just as successfully supplied themselves with Russian oil", VU docent A. Bartkus emphasized.

 

     China is now building gigantic oil and gas storage facilities, and the Russians have been helped by Saudi Arabia's decision to cut oil production. As a result, the price of all the oil in the world has increased.

 

     Even European countries continue to pay the Russians by buying fuel from Russian oil. Although buying directly is prohibited.

 

     "A huge amount of Russian oil goes to India, the oil is processed there and the products in the form of diesel fuel are also sold in Europe", explained the Minister of Energy D. Kreivys.

 

     Europe also seems ambiguous about Russian gas. There were many high-profile statements last year when the European Union (EU) decided to live without the gas supplied by pipelines from Gazprom. Now, Russian gas goes to Europe by ship.

 

     Half of all Russian liquefied gas is bought by the EU, the main terminals are in Spain, Belgium, and France.

 

     "Gas can come from the United States, Qatar, everywhere else, which would fully satisfy this need. But no, Russian is taken. Because Russia agreed to supply that gas after some increases, with some discounts", said the Minister of Energy D. Kreivys.

 

     In August, China bought almost half of all Russian natural resources, India - 24 percent, Turkey - 17 percent, and the fourth largest buyer is the EU, which bought 11 percent of all Russian fossil fuels.

 

     According to VU associate professor A. Bartkaus, Western sanctions may even have the opposite effect - Russians will adapt to living without the West.

 

     "They have regained all that they had lost within a year. And it seems that even after the growth, which will already be somehow adapted to the new reality, when connections and ties with the entire Western world will be minimized as much as possible", thought LNK news interviewer A. Bartkus.

 

     According to him, the sanctions have caused a lot of problems for the Russians, but they still make a profit from their raw materials. Just not as much as they used to earn selling to Europe."

 

Meanwhile, in the West, sanctions against Russia have raised prices. Western voters are hugely dissatisfied with this, throwing the Western politicians responsible for these sanctions out of their jobs.

 

Po skambių Vakarų pareiškimų – priešingas efektas dėl Rusijos: Vakarai neteko galios įgyvendinti jų sankcijas

"Praėjo jau daugiau nei metai, kai Vakarai įvedė Rusijai sankcijas. Tačiau vis daugiau ženklų, kad jos neduoda laukto rezultato. Ekspertai įžvelgia ne tik mažus Rusijos praradimus, bet net ir augimo tendencijas.

Viena iš priežasčių, atvedusių į Sovietų sąjungos griūtį vadinama JAV sprendimas riboti sovietų galimybes gauti pažangių technologijų, taip pat mažinti sovietų naftos ir dujų kainas. Panašias ir dar griežtesnes sankcijas Vakarai įvedė Rusijai pernai. Bet kitaip nei Sovietų sąjunga, dabartinė Rusija dėl sankcijų nebyra.

„Turbūt dėl paprastos priežasties – todėl, kad rusai parodė gan gerą sugebėjimą išsisukti šioje situacijoje“, – LNK žinioms sakė Vilniaus universiteto (VU) docentas Algirdas Bartkus.

Nuo šiemet rusai vėl planuoja ekonomikos augimą, netgi didesnį, nei ekonomika smuko pernai, paskelbus sankcijas.

„Iš dalies galima sutikti, kad tikrai rusai prisitaikė. Ir ne tik naftos produktuose, dujose. Bet ir puslaidininkiuose“, – kalbėjo energetikos ministras Dainius Kreivys.Nuo praėjusio gruodžio Vakarai įvedė kainų lubas rusiškai naftai – pagrindiniam Rusijos pajamų šaltiniui. Ir nustatė, kad Vakarų tanklaiviai negali plukdyti rusų naftos, jeigu ji kainuoja daugiau nei 60 dolerių.

Dabar, praėjus metams, akivaizdu, jog kainų lubos neveikia – rusai savo naftą parduoda už normalią rinkos kainą – po daugiau, nei 80 dolerių.

„Taip tęstis negali. Nes 90 dolerių už barelį yra ta kaina, kuri rusus tenkina. Ir jie taip gali finansuoti viską toliau“, – pabrėžė D. Kreivys.

Leidinys „Financial Times“ skelbia, kad šiais metais rusų naftos tiekimas padidėjo 50 procentų.

„Šiaip tas naftos ir dujų sektorius sudarydavo apie 80 procentų Rusijos bendrojo vidaus produkto (BVP). Jis ir dabar sudaro apie 80 procentų BVP“, – skaičius LNK žinioms pateikė A. Bartkus.

Rusai tiesiog pradėjo savo naftą plukdyti nebe Vakarų šalių tanklaiviais, todėl ir Vakarų nustatyti kainų ribojimai nėra aktualūs.

„Jie pasistengė pasiūlyti visas šias paslaugas ganėtinai pigiai. Dėl ko Indija neatsisakė šios paslaugos. Taip pat kitos šalys: Turkija, Kinija lygiai taip pat sėkmingai yra apsirūpinusios rusiška nafta“, – pabrėžė VU docentas A. Bartkus.

Kinija dabar statosi gigantiškas naftos ir dujų saugyklas, o rusams padėjo Saudo Arabijos sprendimas mažinti naftos gavybą. Dėl to pabrango visa pasaulio nafta.

Netgi Europos šalys toliau moka rusams, pirkdamos degalus iš rusiškos naftos. Nors pirkti tiesiogiai yra uždrausta.

„Didžiulis kiekis rusiškos naftos plaukia į Indiją, ten nafta yra perdirbama ir produktai dyzelinio kuro pavidalu yra parduodami ir Europoje“, – aiškino energetikos ministras D. Kreivys.

Europa dviprasmiškai atrodo ir dėl rusų dujų. Pernai buvo daug skambių pareiškimų, kai Europos Sąjunga (ES) ryžosi gyventi be dujų, kurias „Gazprom“ tiekia vamzdynais. Dabar rusų dujos į Europą plaukia laivais. 

Pusę visų Rusijos suskystintų dujų nuperka ES, pagrindiniai terminalai Ispanijoje, Belgijoje, Prancūzijoje.

„Gali dujų ateiti iš JAV, Kataro, visur kitur, kas pilnai patenkintų šį poreikį. Bet ne, imama rusiška. Nes po kažkokiais kilimais, su kažkokiomis nuolaidomis Rusija sutarė tas dujas patiekti“, – teigė energetikos ministras D. Kreivys.

Rugpjūčio mėnesį beveik pusę visų Rusijos gamtinių išteklių pirko Kinija, Indija – 24 procentus, Turkija – 17 procentų, o ketvirta didžiausia pirkėja yra ES – pirko 11 procentų viso rusų iškastinio kuro.

Anot VU docento A. Bartkaus, Vakarų sankcijos gali turėtų netgi priešingą efektą – rusai prisitaikys gyventi be Vakarų.

„Jie yra per metus atgavę visą tai, ką buvo praradę. Ir yra panašu, kad net išėję į augimą, kuris jau bus savotiškai prisitaikęs prie naujos realybės, kada sąryšiai ir saitai su visu Vakarų pasauliu bus kaip įmanoma labiau minimizuoti“, – svarstė LNK žinių pašnekovas A. Bartkus.

Anot jo, sankcijos sukėlė daug problemų rusams, tačiau jie vis tiek uždirba pelno iš savo žaliavų. Tik nebe tiek daug, kiek uždirbdavo, parduodami Europai."

Tuo tarpu Vakaruose sankcijos Rusijai sukėlė kainas. Vakarų rinkėjai žiauriai tuo nepatenkinti, meta Vakarų politikus, atsakingus už šias sankcijas, iš darbo.

 Huawei Gadgets Flex China's Tech Muscle --- New devices use homegrown wireless standard, skirting opposition from U.S.

"TOKYO -- Huawei, China's rival to Apple in smartphones and the world's leading provider of telecom infrastructure, is out to prove it isn't just surviving Washington's campaign to crush it, but is in the vanguard of Beijing's drive for self-reliance in technology.

After the buzz around Huawei's new high-speed smartphones, which appeared to show that China can swerve around U.S. efforts to block its access to cutting-edge technology, the company on Monday unveiled its latest tablets, smartwatches and earphones -- supported by a homegrown challenger to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi, global standards in wireless communication.

Initially dubbed "Greentooth," it was rebranded "NearLink," a short-range wireless technology the company says combines the best features of both Bluetooth and Wi-Fi -- and works with both.

The protocol offers low-power, lightweight connectivity akin to Bluetooth, simultaneously catering to high-speed, large transmission, and high-quality connectivity needs akin to Wi-Fi. NearLink switches between modes based on the situation, Huawei says.

Set against the backdrop of increasing U.S. restrictions, Beijing has doubled down on efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in critical technologies. Chinese Premier Li Qiang visited private firms including Huawei in August, urging them to pursue international excellence and gain a competitive edge in the market through technological and product improvements.

Bluetooth and Wi-Fi are both wireless communication technologies, enabling transmission of data between compatible devices.

Developing wireless communications tech requires expertise in multiple disciplines, including signal processing, wireless communication protocols and software development.

Apple has spent several years and billions of dollars trying, so far without success, to make its own wireless chip. The latest iPhone still depends on Qualcomm for that component.

Huawei holds tens of thousands of patents covering essential technologies for data transmission in phones. To access high-speed networks, handset manufacturers must obtain licenses from or cross-license with companies such as Qualcomm and Huawei.

From June 2021 to May 2023, Huawei trailed only Qualcomm in the number of wireless communication network technology patents it published, holding more than 8,000, more than third-place Ericsson, according to a recent ranking from IPR Daily, a China-based media outlet focused on intellectual property. Ericsson is the inventor of Bluetooth, which is now overseen by the Bluetooth Special Interest Group, or Bluetooth SIG, the standards organization that licenses the technology to manufacturers.

Huawei had its access to several major global technology associations restricted following U.S. sanctions. Without full access, the company's devices, including phones, tablets and laptops, could face limitations in using vital features such as Bluetooth and Wi-Fi.

Although it was later reinstated, it decided to develop its own technology, Huawei executive Wang Jun said in a 2021 interview with Chinese media.

Bluetooth SIG declined to comment on issues related to its members' status. The Wi-Fi Alliance said in 2019 that it was complying with the U.S. Commerce Department's order by restricting Huawei's involvement in certain activities, but it didn't revoke its membership.

Huawei says NearLink uses less than half the power of Bluetooth, is six times faster, has one-thirtieth the latency or the time it takes for data to travel from one point to another, and supports 10 times the number of devices in a network.

NearLink technology was introduced in December 2021 with a focus on applications for cars. In August, Richard Yu, the head of Huawei's consumer business, announced its integration into the ecosystem of their self-developed operating system for consumer devices.

Yu said on Monday the technology found applications in consumer electronics, electric vehicles, industrial manufacturing and more, providing the interconnectivity for Huawei's homegrown ecosystem.

NearLink may prove vital as Huawei struggles to cope with the impact of sanctions that made it difficult to source the advanced chips needed to power its devices.

Yu didn't introduce the latest high-speed handsets during Monday's presentation, saying only that the company is working extra hours to meet demand.

U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said at last week's hearing of the House Science, Space and Technology Committee that while she was upset by the announcement of Huawei's new smartphones, the U.S. couldn't find evidence that the company is able to produce devices with advanced chips.

A report from Canadian semiconductor-information platform TechInsights said China's biggest contract chip maker, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, made the core chip inside the device, but that it also contained memory components from South Korea's SK Hynix.

China's technological rise is intricately tied to its global ambitions, leveraging advancements to expand its geopolitical influence. One example is Beidou, a substitute for the U.S.'s satellite-based Global Positioning System.

China has also set a domestic standard for a new way of designing chips, while global chip giants also formed a coalition to create them.

In September 2020, China formed an alliance for the country's own short-range wireless technologies that now includes more than 300 companies and institutions -- mostly domestic -- including state-owned telecom carriers and makers of smart devices and cars such as Huawei, Oppo and BYD.

Huawei remains the world's largest seller of telecom equipment, according to market-research firm Dell'Oro Group. It commands about one-hird of the global market." [1]

The horse left the barn. Raimondo should quit her job with disgrace. Shame on you for starting a technology war between the East and the West. Shame on you for pushing us,  the West into a defeat in this war.

1. Huawei Gadgets Flex China's Tech Muscle --- New devices use homegrown wireless standard, skirting opposition from U.S. Yang, Jie; Purnell, Newley.  Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.. 26 Sep 2023: B.4.