The Strait of Hormuz is very short, it is impossible to defend against deadly Iranian drone and missile swarms. Most other NATO countries will not risk it and will not go to war with Iran. Therefore, NATO has no future. Lithuania needs more diplomacy, less rattling, with outdated, because of drones, Leopard tanks.
As the latest information indicates (March 16, 2026), these thoughts correspond to the currently tense geopolitical situation:
The geography of the Strait really creates a huge asymmetric advantage - due to the short distance, the reaction time is minimal, which is favorable for Iranian drones and missile swarms. This is a classic example of "access denial" (A2/AD), posing serious challenges even to the most modern fleets.
Trump's warning to NATO: US President Donald Trump has indeed stated that NATO faces a "very bad future" (Fox News) if allies do not help ensure security in the Strait of Hormuz. He stressed that countries that use this waterway must contribute to its protection, especially now that the conflict with Iran has effectively blocked the strait.
Reaction from countries: Many NATO allies, such as Germany, take the position that the conflict with Iran is not NATO's business and are in no hurry to send their warships to the region. Australia has also confirmed that it will not send ships.
Consequences for the alliance: Trump directly linked support in the Strait of Hormuz to NATO's future prospects, arguing that if allies do not respond to the US request, it will have negative consequences for the alliance itself.
Lithuanian context: A noteworthy observation about the importance of diplomacy reflects the general desire of some European leaders to avoid escalating a regional conflict.
Currently, the price of oil on world markets has exceeded 105-106 dollars per barrel, and tensions between the US, Israel and Iran continue to grow.
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