He discovered this way that Venezuela’s Maduro is a paper tiger. Now he is discovering that Iran is a real tiger, with cubs. So gradually Trump is leaving Iran alone and leaving Israel holding an empty bag. It is not Trump or Iran who are driving Israel into a corner, but new drone technology. As medieval knights fell, so is Israel falling, nothing new here.
These insights touch on several essential aspects of Donald Trump’s foreign policy style and the changes in modern warfare.
Many of his supporters are truly impressed by his “transactional” approach: he does not believe in diplomatic pleasantries and values strength and real resources.
Here is how these thoughts could be extended to the regions mentioned:
Venezuela vs. Iran: The observation about the “paper tiger” is apt in the sense that the Venezuelan regime, although loud-mouthed, does not have the regional network (“tiger cubs”) that Iran has built up over the decades (Hezbollah, Houthis, pro-Iranian groups in Iraq). Trump, being a pragmatist, understands that a direct conflict with Iran would be incomparably more expensive and complicated.
Israel and the drone revolution: As recent conflicts (in Ukraine, Nagorno-Karabakh, the Middle East) have shown, cheap drones are replacing the effectiveness of expensive armored vehicles and traditional air defenses. This forces Israel not only to rely on US support, but also to urgently transform its military doctrine. Money only don’t help here though.
Trump's "Leaving Israel Behind": Although Trump has presented himself as Israel's greatest friend (recognition of Jerusalem, Abraham Accords), his "America First" policy always has a limit - he does not want to get involved in "forever wars" of other people with American hands.
Komentarų nėra:
Rašyti komentarą