"The NATO summit has become history. As many wished
for, but maybe not with this in mind. The most brutal conflict in Europe
continues. After bursts of enthusiasm, depression comes to the countryside in
the forests. But NATO's plan - not to give a single foot of Lithuania to the
Russians - already exists? The German brigade will be in Lithuania, Pistorius
promised?
The truth is not a lie. The plan is much better than it was.
Thanks to the NATO allies and primarily to Ukraine. German Defense Minister
Pistorius promised to place the whole brigade in Lithuania. Even Stoltenberg
freaked out. Together with the generals of the Bundeswehr.
But even that is not enough for Minister Anušauskas. After
the meeting with Pistorius, Anušauskas resolutely stated that Germany must prepare a plan for
the deployment of the brigade not before the end of the year, but sooner.
And now let's calculate. Just not the way the ministers are
counting. What is a brigade? There are the 5,000 plus or minus officers,
sergeants and soldiers in it. Not one and not two - with wives (husbands), girlfriends
and children. What would happen if those 5,000 soldiers entered Lithuania this
year or next year?
There would be chaos. Where should so many soldiers and
officers be accommodated?
There are no barracks or apartments for them. It should be
built. It has been a year since the permanent brigade was agreed upon with
Germany in principle. One year passed in vain. Making noises like turkeys on the
Germans that they didn't send the brigade, only the staff.
Has anyone in the government at least suggested how long it
would take to receive so many allied soldiers? Maybe that's why Pistorius threw
that card, that he was informed by the intelligence of the Bundeswehr - the
Lithuanians have nowhere to put our brigade, promise, minister, whatever they
want, Vilnius will do it anyway.
What are the problems, the enthusiasts from the Cabinet of
Ministers will answer. Look, we built the border wall with Belarus in a flash.
You'd better invite a builder to the meeting. In order to
explain in general terms or with slides, how the finance minister is now
pushing a pseudo-reform of taxes to the liberals at the request of young
Gentvilas, to show what is the difference between building a wall to detain
people at the border and building a military town of 8-9 thousand Germans and
still in the land that is now plowed.
Why so many?
Let's try again. The first question - what does Lithuania
need to build so that the Bundeswehr brigade can be permanently stationed here?
What is this task?
Build barracks for approximately 4,000 soldiers. Brigade
headquarters with appropriate security, communications, etc. requirements.
Ammunition warehouses. Hangar for armored vehicles, tanks, self-propelled
howitzers, mortars, air defense systems, drones, communications, etc. for
machines and canteen for soldiers.
Let's go further. Officers and some non-commissioned
officers (you should know in advance which part is different in each NATO army)
will not live in the barracks.
Therefore, about 1,000 apartments need to be built. There
are at least 500 children in kindergartens. Plus a small German high school.
After construction, impose another hundred apartments with a tail for teachers
and kindergarten teachers.
You will also need several shopping centers, and
other warehouses (yes, they will be built by the merchants themselves, but it
is still construction).
Premises will be needed for restaurants, cafes, pubs, a
cinema, dry cleaner reception points, hairdressers and manicure rooms, fitness
and sports centers. In the end, roads and streets should be built, squares
should be laid out, and greenery should be planted.
How many houses will be built in total? In principle, these
are new, only smaller, but better Elektrėnai. Because the army is not only
panzerhaubizs and leopards, which, representing a German manufacturer, is
pushed by some reserve major while coordinating the activities of the army. The
army is primarily people. And logistics, buildings, apartments.
So in how long time is it possible to deploy a German brigade?
Even the place to deploy it has not been chosen yet.
Unclaimed land. There is no project. Even a civilian should realize that it
would be good to have an airport, the Rail Baltica railway and a highway near
the Bundeswehr brigade.
How many such places are there in Lithuania? How much will
land prices increase when such a place is announced? How does the state promise
to buy that land - which is hundreds of hectares - in one day?
If everything goes as usual for construction in our country,
and it is not necessary to operate here in the anecdotal case of the
construction of the National Stadium in Vilnius, but only to introduce
statistical deadlines for issuing construction permits, design and coordination,
two years will pass with a tail. Minimum.
That long? If you don't believe it, ask yourself how long it
took to plan and build Paupiai or another larger district of Vilnius.
The biggest owners of Lithuanian construction companies
calculate as follows: if it is as usual, 7-8 years will pass before the German
brigade can be accommodated as it should be. Eight, Carlson. 2031 from the
birth of the Lord, not 2026, as Nausėda probably reads from the ceiling.
Although 2026 is already too late. Lithuania can be occupied
fifteen times during that time.
Another question - would it be possible to deploy the German
brigade faster? If so, how and how much? It is possible, say the same builders.
It is possible in a couple of years. But then a separate law is needed - to
take the money suddenly, to suppress the bureaucracy and make competitions like
a song.
The Government has already asked for a year. After all, it
is a conflict year. Has Šimonytė's government already proposed such a law to the
Seimas? Appointed a commissar for military construction? They say some clerk-no-name
in the Ministry of National Defense takes care of it. Thank you, let's move on
to the next item on the agenda.
What are you waiting for, gentlemen? Have you consulted with
your builders and German builders? Did you at least exchange words with someone
else in private? At least after Pistorius promised that the brigade would be
complete? And the clock is ticking.
The German brigade is a possibility. Not only defense, here
for Karbauskis's cow is also clear. Economics. Imagine a German town in Lithuania.
The thing attracts euros from everywhere. After all, these are rich customers.
About 8-9 thousand people.
And now about the defense of Lithuania in such a way that
not a single foot of land belongs to the Russians for even an hour. For that,
NATO would need to have three fully equipped divisions here. For starters.
That's all Lithuania had before the World War II. How many do you have now? Plus minus
brigade. They started creating the division only with words.
Therefore, not only the German, but also the Polish brigade
needs to be invited. It was necessary yesterday and the day before. And where
will the Germans come? Who actually does this? That clerk from KAM who can only
write e-mails offline? The generals whose highest rank was equalized by the Seimas and the
President to a four-star US general, when we have only one real
brigade (!)?
What we pay, we pay. The generals who themselves and
their henchmen openly say that they don't need any Germans here, give them that
construction money, then they will buy (by 2028 at the earliest, huh?) weapons,
and the Russians will never take Lithuania again?
In other countries, this is sometimes called sabotage. In
Lithuania, there will soon be no more people who can even name it. This happens
when there is no strategic discipline in the state. When will it appear? Will
it appear?"
Here's to you, Lady, a real Pistorius...
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