"TEL AVIV — A drone attack on an Iranian military facility
that resulted in a large explosion in the center of the city of Isfahan on
Saturday was the work of the Mossad, Israel’s premier intelligence agency,
according to senior intelligence officials who were familiar with the dialogue
between Israel and the United States about the incident.
The facility’s purpose was not clear, and neither was how
much damage the strike caused. But Isfahan is a major center of missile
production, research and development for Iran, including the assembly of many
of its Shahab medium-range missiles, which can reach Israel and beyond.
Weeks ago, American officials publicly identified Iran as
the primary supplier of drones to Russia for use in the military operation in
Ukraine, and they said they believed Russia was also trying to obtain Iranian
missiles to use in the conflict. But U.S. officials said they believed this
strike was prompted by Israel’s concerns about its own security, not the
potential for missile exports to Russia.
The strike came just as Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken
was beginning a visit to Israel, his first since Benjamin Netanyahu returned to
office as prime minister. The director of the Central Intelligence Agency,
William J. Burns, visited Israel last week, though it is not clear anything
about the operation in Isfahan was discussed.
American officials quickly sent out word on Sunday morning
that the United States was not responsible for the attack. One official
confirmed that it had been conducted by Israel but did not have details about
the target. Sometimes Israel gives the United States advance warning of an
attack or informs American officials as an operation is being launched. It is
unclear what happened in this case.
Isfahan is the site of four small nuclear research
facilities, all supplied by China many years ago. But the facility that was
struck on Saturday was in the middle of the city and did not appear to be
nuclear-related.
Iran made no effort to hide the fact that an attack had
happened, but said it had done little damage. In statements, senior Iranian officials
contended that the drones — apparently quadcopters, a kind of aircraft with
four separate propellers — had all been shot down.
Iran’s official news agency, IRNA, reported on Sunday that
the drones had targeted an ammunition manufacturing plant, and that they had
been shot down by a surface-to-air defense system. It is not clear why Iran
would build an ammunition production plant in the middle of a city of roughly
two million people.
Iran’s foreign minister, Hossein Amir Abdollahian, said at a
news conference in Tehran on Sunday that “a cowardly drone attack on a military
site in central Iran will not impede Iran’s progress on its peaceful nuclear
program.”
This is Israel’s first known attack inside Iran since Mr.
Netanyahu reassumed office, and it may indicate that he has adopted the
strategy formed under his two predecessors and political rivals, Naftali
Bennett and Yair Lapid, who expanded Israeli attacks inside Iran.
The quadcopters have become a signature of such operations.
In August 2019, Israel sent an exploding quadcopter into the
heart of a Hezbollah-dominated neighborhood in Beirut, Lebanon, to destroy what
Israeli officials described as machinery vital to the production of precision
missiles.
In June 2021, quadcopters exploded at one of Iran’s main
manufacturing centers for centrifuges, which purify uranium at the country’s
two major uranium enrichment facilities, Fordow and Natanz. That attack was in
Karaj, on the outskirts of Tehran. Iran claimed that there was no damage to the
site, but satellite images showed evidence of significant damage.
A year ago, six quadcopters exploded at Kermanshah, Iran’s
main manufacturing and storage plant for military drones.
And in May 2022, a drone strike targeted a highly sensitive
military site outside Tehran where Iran develops missile, nuclear and drone
technology.
The targets — presumably including the military facility in
Isfahan — have been chosen in part to shake the Iranian leadership, because
they demonstrate intelligence about the locations of key sites, even those hidden
in the middle of cities.
But the strikes also reflect a change in Israeli strategy
made after Mr. Bennett became prime minister in June 2021. He lasted a year in
the post.
Mr. Bennett says in a forthcoming YouTube video shared with
The New York Times that he decided to “create a price tag” and strike inside
Iran in response to any attack on Israelis or Jews around the world. “The
Iranians beat us, and soldiers die on the border,” Mr. Bennett says in the
self-produced interview, while Iranian leaders “sit quietly in Tehran and we do
nothing to them.”
It was not just the quadcopter attacks.
After “Iran tried to murder Israelis in Cyprus, in Turkey,”
Mr. Bennett says, the Revolutionary Guards Corps commander behind it “was
eliminated in Tehran.” He is referring to the assassination of Sayad Khodayee,
who Israel claimed was a leader of a covert unit responsible for the abduction
and killing of Israelis and other foreigners around the world.
After Israel adopted the new strategy, Mr. Bennett says in
the video, President Biden, during a meeting, made a “sharp request” that
Israel inform the United States in advance “of any action we take in Iran.”
Mr. Bennett refused, he says.
“There are things you do not want to know about in advance,”
he recalls telling the American president.
The intelligence communities of Israel and the United States
clashed on the issue in April 2021 after an operation by the Mossad to blow up
bunkers at the Natanz enrichment site surprised the United States.
Mr. Burns called his counterpart at the Mossad at the time,
Yossi Cohen, to express concern over the snub. Mr. Cohen said that the belated
notification was the result of operational constraints and uncertainty about
when the Natanz operation would take place."
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