“Lithuania, as an EU member, is currently implementing the
Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) – a “carbon tax” on goods imported
from non-EU countries that apply less stringent environmental standards.
Grain growers calculate that it will “eat up” all their
profits, because last year, when it was a difficult year, profitability per
hectare reached only 50 euros, and due to the tax, fertilizers will “eat up”
this income. Metals imported from third countries are also becoming more
expensive, and it is likely that this will also affect cement. This tax is
intended to curb the import of cheap products from third countries, such as
Russia and China.
However, industrialists say that although CBAM will hit
agriculture hard, when viewed on a national scale, it may be beneficial. For
example, Achema, which has had difficulty competing with cheap Russian
fertilizers (sanctions do not apply to them), will be able to recover as prices
will rise.
Audrius Vanagas, chairman of the Lithuanian Grain Growers
Association, and Rimas Varkulevičius, secretary general of the Kaunas Chamber
of Commerce, Industry and Crafts, discuss the benefits and harms of CMAB on the
show “Business Attitude”.
“A new reality, a new madness. Since autumn, prices have
already risen by 60 euros per ton of nitrogen fertilizers and this is not the
end. It is likely that they will rise by the same amount in March. We all know
very well that only 50-60 percent of those who have secured them for spring
fertilization. Fertilizers from third-party fertilizers are practically not
imported, because there is chaos with the calculation methodology itself. Local
manufacturers are using this. Our politicians are silent,” explains A. Vanagas
and says that this year it will cost Lithuanian farmers an additional 60-100
million euros. The amount will continue to increase until 2034. The problem is
big, because it is unclear how the tax itself will be calculated, because two
options can be used: based on actual or assumed emissions.
According to A. Vanagas, accredited assessors who will
inspect factories in third countries have not even been verified yet. The tax
is extremely confusing and very difficult for an ordinary farmer to understand.
Ammonium nitrate itself may not cost anything, you will have to pay 300 euros
for taxes alone.
According to the association's calculations, the price per
hectare will increase by 50-60 euros. Last year, when the year was bad, there
was a full profit. On average, the profitability of grain crops in normal years
is about 300 euros per hectare.
"Farmers joke that money has decarbonized and we have
reached zero balance sheet values. If the price of grain continues to remain at
eight-year lows, we will not last long," says A. Vanagas, who does not
lose optimism.
R. Varkulevičius says that this should sound like honey to
some industries, but there is concern. Products, especially those consumed on
the local market, are becoming more expensive due to the tax and the market is
disappearing. There must be compensation and support mechanisms.
“Industry is not only about fertilizer production. For a
sheet of metal that costs 700 euros, you have to pay an additional 150 euros in
this tax. This eats up all the profits of companies. In addition, there are
problems with competitiveness,” R. Varkulevičius argues, and says that it is
strange to talk about clean air when we spend money on weapons. It is also
strange that no one is talking about preserving the industrial and agricultural
sectors, although it is clear that this will require huge financial resources.
Support must be provided now, not in 2034, because by that time there will be
neither farmers nor the chemical industry.
“We have repeatedly expressed our opinion on green policy
issues to our MEPs and suggested that they wake up. This is not 2010, when we
joined the prosperous EU. We need to take into account the USA, free trade
agreements with South America or India,” R. Varkulevičius argues and says that
he tried to explain to metal importers how to calculate CBAM, but there was no
clarity.
A. Vanagas says that farmers are the primary link that
absorbs everything in the local market. The cost of construction, implements,
and machinery is increasing. For example, one turnip, which is used for a plow,
has become 30 percent more expensive because taxes have increased. This will
automatically increase inflation.
“This is a slow death,” A. Vanagas assures.
R. Varkulevičius says that a signal has been sent to the
industry that it can recover because it will have protection, but in the long
run, consumption will fall. Another question is where the increased VAT
collection and increased cash flows from this tax will go, as will the
increased prices. There must be compensation mechanisms so that the consumer
does not suffer.”
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