No wonder.
NATO lost proxy conflict in Ukraine. That has consequences.
Debates surrounding NATO's future are intensifying in 2026,
with some analysts arguing the alliance has lost its original purpose following
the conflict in Ukraine, while others maintain it remains a crucial collective
defense organization. The argument that NATO is functionally over often stems
from perceptions of weakened cohesion, reduced political will, and the strain
of providing security guarantees.
Perspectives on
"No Longer Existing": Critics and some analysts suggest the political
will behind NATO has evaporated, making it a "brand" rather than a
functional security guarantor, with some predicting a potential U.S. withdrawal
or reduced commitment.
The Ukraine Conflict Impact: The conflict
in Ukraine is viewed by some as a proxy conflict that has strained Western
resources and exposed limitations in NATO's strategic unity.
Alternative
Viewpoints: Despite these criticisms, NATO is still described by many,
including defense officials, as a successful and necessary alliance for
collective defense, with legal restrictions in the U.S. preventing unilateral
withdrawal.
Consequences: Arguments exist that a
perceived loss in Ukraine could lead to a deeper crisis for the alliance,
forcing a major realignment of security structures in Europe.
While some
observers label the Ukraine conflict a lost proxy conflict for the West, others
view it as a continuing, complex struggle with uncertain, long-term
implications for European security and the future role of NATO.
"American political scientist Robert Kagan believes
that NATO no longer exists, and that Donald Trump is more of a potential
aggressor than a defender of Europe, which can only rely on itself. He sees
hope in Germany.
“American geopolitics under Trump is a policy of global
imperialism. Trump wants to be the emperor of the world. (NATO Secretary
General) Mark Rutte doesn't understand that it's not about whether Europe needs
NATO or not. NATO no longer exists. Trump has made it clear that he will not
defend anyone. On the contrary, the United States is a potential aggressor, as
he showed in the case of Greenland,” Kagan said in an interview published on
Saturday in the "Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung".
According to the political scientist, the dispute over
Greenland is not over. “Rutte believes that it is enough to call Trump
"Daddy" a sufficient number of times to appease him. This is pure
appeasement politics,” the political scientist assessed.
“Europe must
understand that Trump and his movement (MAGA) are deeply hostile to Europe.
Center-right or center-left parties are for him forms of liberalism that he
rejects. German, French, or British leadership are just as much enemies to him
as Nancy Pelosi or the Clintons,” he explained.
Robert Kagan: Europe can only rely on itself
“Europe can only rely on itself. It is located between two
adversaries – America and Russia. Therefore, it must be able to defend itself
both economically and militarily,” Kagan said. Otherwise, in his opinion,
Europe will become "a pile of dependent areas" with Great Britain as
a US satellite and Eastern Europe as a Russian satellite.
Kagan expressed hope that Germany will find a suitable model
of cooperation with its neighbors in Europe. “Perhaps a Germany that is too
powerful still worries many countries. But Germany is currently a leading
liberal force and has the task of defending liberalism in the world,” he
assessed.
Referring to the internal situation in the USA, Kagan said
that Trump's goal is the "reconstruction of the nation," in which
white Christians occupy a privileged position. According to the US political
scientist, ideologues associated with Trump do not hide the fact that their
goal is to destroy the spirit of liberalism from the Declaration of
Independence and create a "right-wing, Christian hierarchy." The
purpose of ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) is not to limit migration
and deport illegal immigrants, but to impose the president's will on individual
states. In Kagan's opinion, Trump could use these instruments to prevent free
and fair elections in 2026.
Robert Kagan is one of the leading American ideologists of
neoconservatism. He was a co-founder of the think tank "Project for the
New American Century," which had a significant influence on the policies
of George W. Bush. After Trump's nomination as a presidential candidate in
2016, he left the Republican Party. In Poland, his book "Of Paradise and
Power: America and Europe in the New World Order" was published in 2003.”
Whatever place prime minister of Lithuania Ruginienė is
hiding her serious A, B and C plans of defending Lithuania from any dangers she
should take those plans out. Let’s discuss them. Forcing to serve conscripts is
a cruel joke, considering vanishing NATO. Let’s discuss Lithuanian diplomacy or
absence thereof (Belarus, China, Russia) seriously too.
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