Critics and industry analysts agree that a simple ban on
Chinese drones is insufficient if Western manufacturers cannot close the
significant gap in price and performance.
Currently,
non-Chinese drones often cost three to four times more than comparable Chinese
models while frequently offering fewer features and less reliable software.
To become truly competitive, even under restrictive
policies, Western drone makers must address several structural challenges:
Supply Chain
Integration: China’s dominance is rooted in a deep, localized manufacturing
ecosystem in Shenzhen where every component—from specialized screws to flight
controllers—is available at a fraction of the cost. Western firms must rebuild
domestic supply chains for critical parts like lithium-ion batteries, motors,
and sensors to reduce reliance on Chinese goodwill.
Scale and Pricing:
Companies like DJI benefit from massive economies of scale, producing millions
of units annually compared to the thousands produced by U.S. competitors.
Breaking this cycle requires significant capital investment to move beyond
niche defense markets and into high-volume commercial production.
Software and AI
Innovation: While Chinese drones lead in hardware value, U.S. companies like
Skydio and Shield AI are attempting to compete by focusing on autonomous flight
and obstacle avoidance. However, experts note that American manufacturers are
still "playing catch-up" in developing the user-friendly software and
flight stabilization that consumers expect.
Regulatory
Support: Rather than just implementing bans, industry groups like AUVSI argue
the government must provide sustained investment and clear regulatory pathways
for Beyond Visual Line of Sight (BVLOS) operations to incentivize domestic
innovation.
Technical
Fundamentals: Some critics argue that Western firms have relied too much on
"off-the-shelf" parts and open-source code rather than mastering the
fundamental hardware technologies—such as superior LTE-based wireless
links—that give Chinese drones their edge. LTE-based wireless links are
high-speed, 4G cellular connections enabling reliable mobile broadband, IoT
communication, and Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) without requiring Wi-Fi. These
links utilize LTE antennas and SIM cards for internet access in remote
locations, in-vehicle connectivity, and private network deployments for
industries. Key technologies offer 100+ Mbps speeds and include LTE-M, NB-IoT,
and LWA. LTE-M and NB-IoT are specific types designed for low-power, wide-area
coverage suitable for battery-operated devices.
Since drones are now made only with motors based on Chinese rare earths, and Lithuanian politicians have forced us to buy everything from China with a markup from intermediaries, drone production in Lithuania cannot compete even in the EU.
The Lithuanian mice of misery can only cry, moan, and
complain in Delphi: "You know, it was hard, and now it will be oh, how
hard":
“Every day we hear about drones used in military conflicts,
which are launched into targets in huge groups. There is talk that automated
drone swarms will essentially become a decisive and war-changing technology,
but according to experts, neither Lithuania nor Europe in general has yet
developed autonomous drone systems.
Vytenis J. Buzas, the head of the company “Unnamed Defence
Systems” (UDS), which develops advanced defense technology solutions, notes
that today drone swarms are more advertising noise than a real, working
practice.
“To put it very simply, the advantage of drone swarms is not
a technological miracle, but quantity and resilience. Instead of one expensive,
complex device, you have many simpler units that together perform the same or a
broader task. If you lose one, the system does not stop,” says the interviewee.
According to him, technology has matured for this change:
electronics have become cheaper, communication has become good, basic, easily
accessible algorithms have appeared that allow coordinating several drones.
However, what we could call a real automated drone swarm is
not yet on the market.
“For an operator, a large flow of drones means a completely
different view of the situation. With one, you work narrowly, you see one
angle, one target. At the same time, with several you can already cover the
territory, observe from different directions, react faster. However, human
input is necessary here. The operator sets goals, chooses priorities, decides
who the target is, when to continue or terminate the mission. As soon as
uncertainty arises – interference, loss of communication, an unexpected
situation – a person takes over responsibility,” notes V. Buzas.
“We are still moving from “many drones at once” to a real
swarm. In reality, this is not a fully autonomous system. Today, the squad can
do basic things on its own – keep distance, avoid collisions, sometimes share
simple tasks. This works and really makes the operator’s work easier, but
decision-making remains with the human,” he added.
Linas Gelažanskas, head of UAB “IT Logistika”, agrees,
noting that the contribution of drones and all robotic systems to modern
warfare is still underestimated, and when drone squads begin to communicate
with each other and coordinate actions, we will have a real military coup.
“Few people appreciate how heavily unmanned aircraft and
remotely controlled ground, water and underwater robots are being used in the
events in Ukraine. This is already changing the doctrine of war, although many
do not attach importance to it. When we move to decentralized control, when
robots start talking to each other and sharing information, then it will be
extremely difficult to resist attacks, just as it will be difficult to gain an
advantage when attacking,” said L. Gelažanskas.
Lithuania looks good, but lacks political will
Speaking generally about the drone market, according to L.
Gelažanskas, Lithuania started producing and developing technologies very
timely and in the right place. There are many companies interested in the
opportunities, but they all face one problem.
“Technologies are changing so quickly that the military and
institutions are afraid to purchase equipment because they know that the
technology can become obsolete very quickly. But in this case, we find
ourselves in a situation where companies are developing and producing, but no
one is buying,” the interviewee said.
According to him, this is the most direct path to
bankruptcy, because companies are not provided with opportunities to test and
improve products. At the same time, V. Buzas emphasizes that in the European
context, Lithuania looks advanced and ensures high quality.
“We have a strong foundation in Lithuania – we are
developing UAV platforms, sensors, communication solutions. These are necessary
parts, without which swarms/squads do not work at all. We are competitive in
this area and we are moving quickly,” he said.
“However, autonomy itself – as in all of Europe – is still
in the development stage. There are tests, prototypes, partial functions, but
there are no fully reliable systems operating in complex conditions yet.
It is important that the main challenges are not
theoretical, but very practical – communication in an environment of
interference, energy limitations, computing resources, reliability. And this is
where beautiful concepts often fall apart,” the interlocutor added.
At the same time, L. Gelažanskas encourages the country's
institutions to be more courageous in accepting and testing technologies
developed by Lithuanians and using what is currently created on the market.
“If we want to grow stronger as a state and an industry in
this area, we must buy what is on the shelves of Lithuanian companies today.
Let it not be the technologies of the future, but today, but in principle, this
is the only way we will be able to reinvest and start creating technologies of
the future,” said L. Gelažanskas.
Drones in Europe – one of the most important topics
The issue of drones is becoming increasingly prominent in
the European Union, not only in the context of production, but also in the
context of defense. According to Marius Vasčega, Head of the European
Commission Representation in Lithuania, the aim is not only to develop drone
capabilities capable of destroying ground targets, but also, on the contrary,
to create systems capable of detecting and destroying unwanted drones on the
territory of the country.”
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