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2022 m. rugsėjo 9 d., penktadienis

Who controls the Lithuanian government: The real reasons for the chaos in the electricity market

"Obvious chaos in the electricity market. Starting with UAB "Perlas energija" exiting the market, ending with the highest electricity prices in Europe. Everything is clear about the entry of UAB "Perlas energija" into the electricity market and the activities of this company. Obvious incompetence of the government. Or the minister's another "paradox" of the curve. Various requirements are imposed on "Perl", which organizes lotteries, the size of the prize fund is regulated, income is additionally taxed, and the obligation to donate part of the income to charity is established. And here is UAB "Perlas energija", which operated in the energy sector that affects every consumer - neither market entry requirements (except for authorized capital), nor real control of operations. Many people blame UAB "Perlas Energija", and I am convinced that the most guilty are the managers of the Ministry of Energy, which has more than 100 employees. 

The purpose and main goal of private business is to seek profit, state officials - to create conditions that would protect the consumer, ensure the sustainability of the market, and control activities in sensitive areas. This is exactly what the Law on Electricity obliges them to do: establish "a high level of protection of consumer rights and legitimate interests", "effective means of (consumer) rights protection", ensure "clear and transparent pricing", "accessibility and sufficiency of electricity to consumers for economically reasonable price" etc.

 

There is little history of this "semi-precious mineral", even electricity prices have skyrocketed. Our rulers say it's Russia's fault and sanctions are in place, plus EU requirements, which together with the Nordpool stock exchange set strange "algorithms".

 

Algorithms are more popular than ever: remember, even a pandemic was controlled by algorithms. And everywhere those algorithms are crooked, especially in energy; is that true Mr. Kairys? Maybe those crooked algorithms had to be changed in 2021, before there was any sanctions on Russia? After all, even then the average hourly electricity market price increased wildly and was almost three times higher than in the 2020s. If the minister cannot articulately explain the problem of rising electricity prices, does not know the components of the electricity price, it remains to blame everyone around him, except his competence. And hide from the media and people.

 

The prime minister does not blame the minister for not knowing the basics of energy. Consumers are to blame because they do not know how to read the electricity purchase agreement, which contains many references to the Electricity Law.

 

After all, it is not the minister's job to read this law, which contains 110 definitions alone! Some of the definitions are not even provided in the law - only references to European Union (EU) legislation. 

 

The minister's job to "liberalize" is to attract "private" electricity suppliers to the electricity market.

 

Result: 100% Electrum Lietuva, which belongs to the Latvian state-owned "Latvenergo" and 100 percent Enefit, owned by the Estonian state-owned Eesti Energia, currently owns a little more than 8 percent of Lithuanian household consumer markets. The third major player is the company Ignitis of the former Lithuanian state-owned Lietuvos Energija group, which controls almost 70 percent of the  market. The famous "Perlas energija", which controlled almost 15% electricity supply market, it's part is lost to the Ignitis. Liberalization for "private" public suppliers.

 

But back to the point. Intentionally or not, everyone talks about the ill-fated liberalization of the market, but they are silent on the fundamental issues. I will continue what Raimundas Kuodis mentioned recently. And I will add a lot to it. There are at least three reasons for the chaos in the electricity market, if we do not name incompetence as the reason, and maybe also intentional destructive activities.

 

First, the transfer of part of the Lithuanian electricity sector to private individuals. Second, the Nordpool stock exchange operating mechanism (algorithm), which enables unimaginable profits to be made in the normal market. And thirdly, the lack of own renewable electricity capacity and the insufficiency of connections with foreign countries.

 

In this article, I will limit myself to the first aspect, calling it simply the "privatization" of the Lithuanian electricity sector. Because most specialists are silent on this aspect.

 

Privatization was started in the spring of 2020. The then Minister of Finance Vilius Šapoka presented the proposal to the Government, which soon approved the restructuring of Ignitis Group: it was decided to increase the share capital with additional contributions, allowing private investors into the state-owned company. I remind you that UAB "Ignitis grupė" - former 100% state-owned Lietuvos Energija.

 

Consequence of privatization - the state of Lithuania currently owns 73 percent. UAB "Ignitis grupė" shares, and 27 percent belong to private investors.

 

UAB "Ignitis Group" owns the largest Lithuanian electricity producer partners: Kruonis Hydroelectric Power Plant, Combined Cycle Unit and Reserve Power Plant in the Elektrėnai Complex, Kaunas Hydroelectric Power Plant, Kaunas and Vilnius Cogeneration Power Plants. This group also owns UAB "Ignitis", the largest electricity supplier in Lithuania for domestic consumers and businesses.

 

The group also owns AB "Energijos skirstymo operatorius" - the so-called ESO - which manages electricity networks and takes care of guaranteed supply. Thus, this Lithuanian electricity monster currently owns the majority of Lithuanian electricity production, distribution and supply, including "guaranteed" and "public" electricity supply. As I mentioned, this group is partially private.

 

A reasonable question arises: why was it necessary to partially privatize Lithuanian networks, the largest electricity producers and suppliers and distributors? The official explanation: it was necessary to raise 5-6 billion euros for the Ignitis Group in the coming years. And with that additional share issue or partial privatization,... 450 million euros was raised. 

 

I translate: private investors were given the opportunity to purchase almost 27 percent of the Lithuanian energy sector for 450 million euros.

 

Among the private shareholders of AB Ignitis grupė - directly or indirectly - are the banks SEB and Swedbank operating in Lithuania and the investment management company Invalda, as well as several natural persons. Among the private investors, there are a number of "foreigners" (directly or indirectly): "The Bank of New York Mellon", "Avaron" and "Avaroni", "State Street Bank and Trust company" and others (who want to know the real beneficiaries of legal entities registered in Lithuania , this information can be found in the JANGIS system managed by the Register Center).

 

AB "Ignitis grupė" income has jumped to unprecedented heights in the past year. In this half year alone, its turnover increased by 134 percent, almost 1 billion euros. A fairy tale, not a business.

 

And the icing on the cake. "Privatized" is not only electricity production, supply and distribution, but also the electricity (distribution) networks themselves. It is true that for now it is a very small part, but it is already partly private. 97.5 percent of the shares of the joint-stock company LITGRID, headed by Rokas Masiulis, which manages high-voltage distribution networks, including the strategic projects of the international connections NordBalt (Lithuania-Sweden) and LitPol Link (Lithuania-Poland), and 2.5 percent is already in private hands. For what purpose is private capital allowed into the management of strategically important energy networks?

 

It is obvious that it is not due to the attraction of additional capital, as was announced in the case of AB "Ignitis grupė", because for 2.5% shares, you will not receive any significant funding.

 

From the moment when a state-owned company becomes private, albeit with a few shares, it, like every private business entity, must act in pursuit of the most important goal - profit. The goal of state-owned enterprises is not the pursuit of profit - they provide services and produce products primarily taking into account the public interest, so their goal is not only the pursuit of profit.

 

The same applies to companies that do not have the status of a state-owned company, but all shares are owned by the state. Formally, they operate under the law of joint-stock companies and should seek profit. However, when making decisions, the state as the sole shareholder can take into account public interests and not pursue profit alone. One shareholder - the state - may not be afraid that other shareholders will demand to maximize profitability: there is simply no one to raise such demands at shareholders' meetings or through the courts (due to the already long text, I leave the rights of creditors aside).

 

For example, a few days ago the Prime Minister of Estonia announced that electricity price limits will be set for four years for all household consumers in order to protect them from high prices. One of the ways of implementing this decision is to limit the profit of the Estonian state company Eesti Energia. According to the state decision, this company can operate without profit, transferring all profitability to consumers. And in Lithuania it is impossible to do this, because a private investor will demand a return on investment: any private company, such as AB "Ignitis grupė" currently is, must operate in order to make a highest possible profit.

 

It will be enough for one of its shareholders to go to court for, for example, a possible violation of his legitimate expectations. And don't be mad at those private shareholders: they're a business looking to get a return on their investment. Questions need to be raised by those who allowed this whole private electricity monster system to be created.

 

The most curious thing is that the costs experienced by Lithuanian consumers are significantly higher than the income growth of AB "Ignitis grupė" itself: the unreasonably high price of the electricity exchange and fantastic profits are distributed to all players of the electricity market. In other words, the profit-seeking AB "Ignitis grupė" and its group companies can significantly inflate the price of electricity on the exchange: the costs of that beastly price will fall on the shoulders of Lithuanian consumers, and the benefits will be shared by many operating in the electricity market players, including AB "Ignitis grupė" itself.

 

Dismantling this monster of the electricity system created in Lithuania will be really difficult: the nationalization model proposed by some specialists, such as Almantas Stankūnas, may cost much more in terms of time and money than the 450 million euros received in 2020 investments. But is there another, alternative long-term and sustainable solution?

 

It is true that recently the Solomonic proposal to finance a part of the price of electricity for household consumers with money borrowed by the state has been constantly discussed in the public space. This would mean that AB "Ignitis grupė" could produce and sell electricity at a price that would bring fabulous profits to it and other players in the electricity market.

 

And part of the extremely high price of electricity supplied to household consumers would be compensated by the state from borrowed funds. Solid men and women, politicians and economists, are now publicly debating what is the "good" price, which will be paid by the user to UAB "Ignitis" directly from the user's pocket, and which part will come from state borrowed funds. No one mentions that the debt will have to be returned to the same taxpayers. Just as the inhuman costs of electricity for the entire Lithuanian business are solidly hushed up. Such "sincere" attention to consumers and no concern for the private shareholders of AB "Ignitis grupė" - what is it that the possible conflict of interests of those famous politicians and economists is simply staggering.

 

And the wolf is full and the sheep are happily munching on the grass. The wolf smiles because the sheep do not think about how often they will be sheared in the future."

 


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