"The Pentagon’s statements indicate that the cluster
munitions that will be sent to Ukraine contain older grenades known to have a
failure rate of 14 percent or more.
When the White House announced on
Friday that it would agree to supply Ukraine with cluster munitions, it came
after assurances from Pentagon officials that the weapons had been improved to
minimize the danger to civilians.
The weapons, which have been shunned by many countries, drop
small grenades that are built to destroy armored vehicles and troops in the
open, but also often fail to immediately explode. Years or even decades later,
they can kill adults and children who stumble on them.
The Pentagon said the weapons they would send to Ukraine had
a failure rate of 2.35 percent or less, far better than the usual rate that is
common for cluster weapons.
But the Pentagon’s own statements indicate that the cluster
munitions in question contain older grenades known to have a failure rate of 14 percent or more.
They are 155-millimeter artillery shells that each can fly
about 20 miles before breaking open midair and releasing 72 small grenades that
typically explode on impact along the perimeter of an oval-shaped area larger
than a football field.
Pentagon officials have said the
shells they will send to Ukraine are an improved version of a type used in
1991’s Operation Desert Storm. But the reality is slightly more complicated.
The shells being sent to Kyiv can fly farther than the earlier versions, but
they contain the same grenades, which had dud rates the Pentagon has characterized
as unacceptably high.
Al Vosburgh, a retired Army colonel
trained in bomb disposal, said that once the shooting stops in Ukraine, it will
take a massive educational campaign to warn civilians of the risks of
unexploded grenades before they can safely return home.
The biggest operational concern for
Ukrainian soldiers, he said, is that the dud grenades left on the ground by
these shells cannot safely be moved by hand.
“You have to take great pains to
clear those because you’re not supposed to move them,” said Mr. Vosburgh, who
now runs the mine-clearance nonprofit group Golden West. “In
an area that’s been saturated with them, you’re going to find a lot of duds, so
it’s a slow and methodical process to dispose of them.”
But Biden administration officials
said they had little choice but to provide cluster munitions despite their
lasting danger as Ukraine burns through artillery rounds and tries to make
gains in a grueling offensive against Russian troops.
Weapons of this type are banned by more than 100 countries,
in part because more than half of those killed or injured by them are
civilians.
Neither the United States nor Russia
or Ukraine has signed the treaty prohibiting their stockpiling or use.
Brig. Gen. Patrick S. Ryder, a
Pentagon spokesman, said the Defense Department does comprehensive testing of
the cluster munitions in its stocks, and “the ones that we are providing to
Ukraine are tested at under a 2.35 percent dud rate.”
Such a rate would mean that for
every two shells fired, about three unexploded grenades would be left scattered
on the target area.
But the dud rate for these grenades has been observed at
rates seven times higher in combat.
In a briefing to reporters on
Friday, Colin H. Kahl, the under secretary of defense for policy, said that the
shells being sent to Ukraine had been tested five times between 1998 and 2020.
“The tests themselves are
classified,” he said, adding that he has “high confidence” in their results.
The timing of those tests matches
the availability of a shell called M864 whose production ceased in 1996, and an
Army official confirmed on Friday that the last cluster artillery shell
live-fire reliability tests the service had done were on M864 shells at Yuma,
Ariz., in 2020.
The dud rate numbers offered by
Pentagon officials vary greatly from what bomb disposal technicians and
civilian deminers find in the field in post-conflict areas, including from the
M864 projectile.
U.S. military bomb-disposal specialists are trained to
exercise extreme caution in places where cluster weapons have been used, and to
expect that about 20 percent of all submunitions, regardless of the country of
origin, will fail to explode.
The projectiles being sent to
Ukraine are commonly referred to by the name given to those small grenades: dual-purpose improved conventional munitions,
or D.P.I.C.M. — and pronounced by some officials as dee-PICK-’ems.
The grenades, which are about the
size and shape of a D-cell battery, are stabilized in flight by a nylon ribbon
streaming from the top. Weighing less than half a pound each, they contain an
explosive warhead that will fire a jet of molten metal downward capable of
penetrating two and a half inches of armor plate.
The detonation also causes the
grenade’s steel casing to fragment outward in the hopes of injuring or killing
unprotected enemy troops. Those two functions — anti-armor and anti-personnel —
are the dual purposes referenced in the weapon’s name.
The Pentagon built millions of these
artillery shells from the 1970s to the 1990s, according to government records,
and fired 25,000 of them during the Persian Gulf war. Combined with the 17,200
ground-launched rockets carrying the same type of submunitions that the Army
and Marine Corps fired, the United States launched more than 13.7 million of
the grenades at Iraqi targets in the 1991 conflict.
Army and Marine Corps artillery
shells of this type are tested in Yuma, Ariz., in a relatively flat area of
hard-packed soil that is free of vegetation, the ideal setting for the grenades
to explode on impact.
But in a conflict, these shells are
fired in a wide variety of places that force dud rates up to 10 percent, and in
some cases even higher, especially when they land in water, sand, mud or soft
ground like plowed fields. The fuzes on the grenades released by the M864 are
designed to explode when they hit hard targets like armored vehicles and
bunkers, Mr. Vosburgh said.
“Those fuzes rely on impact and if
you land in something soft, you may not get the shock you need,” Mr. Vosburgh
said. The lightweight grenades often become snagged in tree branches or bushes
and fail to explode as well."
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