“The decline of the Union parties and the FDP is
self-inflicted. Like the SPD, they have lost touch with the working population.
A fresh start requires a party that is not worn out.
The traditional center-right political camp lies in ruins.
Between 1953 and 1990, the Union and the FDP together consistently secured more
than 50 percent of the vote in federal elections. From 1994 to 2017, their
combined share still ranged between 40 and 50 percent. Since then, however, it
has been a steep decline: according to current polls, the old center-right camp
now averages around 25 percent—with a downward trend. The moderate Left is
unable to capitalize on this debacle. On the contrary, the SPD—with the
exception of places like Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania—is also in a steep
downward spiral.
The parties that shaped the Federal Republic for decades now
face an existential crisis. They resemble once-prestigious brands that have
long since lost their reputation. Instead, a growing number of voters who
identify as center-right are casting their ballots for a pro-Russian party that
oscillates between right-wing populist and right-wing extremist.
The Union, the FDP, and the SPD share a common fate: a
severe loss of relevance, particularly among the active workforce—both
employees and the self-employed—a significant portion of whom are defecting to
the ‘Blues.’ The proportion of pensioners among Union and SPD voters is rising;
consequently, their policies are increasingly perceived as out of touch with
economic realities. Yet, in an aging population, those who lose the working
population ultimately lose the country.
This sorry state of affairs can be observed in other nations
as well: voters accuse the political establishment of failing in core state
responsibilities such as internal security and education and, in the interest
of their remaining clientele—who largely lack a background in business—to
pursue special interests alongside an economic and fiscal policy that
intervenes without any coherent concept or principles. The hope prevalent among
party veterans that the established parties might somehow make a comeback
underestimates the dynamics of change in our times and overestimates the
willingness of these venerable parties to adapt.
Germany needs a new center-right party that champions an
agenda committed to the social market economy—based on fundamental state
pillars such as democracy and alignment with the West—and is thus able to offer
voters a narrative for the future. This party would need to stand for a state
that is strong, capable, and efficient in performing its core tasks, while
simultaneously advocating—in the interest of individual liberties—for a
long-overdue state withdrawal from over-regulation and paternalism. It would
view technological progress as an opportunity to modernize the German economy
and abandon the old conviction that the state need only incur sufficient debt
to advance the common good.
A narrative for the future is possible
To simultaneously achieve the consolidation of public
finances and create room for tax and levy cuts, a new party cannot treat
reductions in government spending as taboo. It will not win popularity
everywhere, but it can provide a counterpoint to populist fantasies and offer a
perspective to working people who have long felt undervalued by the political
establishment.
The Union—which, out of a sense of responsibility for the
state, shows itself to be all too accommodating in a coalition with a weak
partner—no longer credibly embodies such an offering. It long ago sacrificed
its economic competence—once one of its greatest strengths—on the altar of
governing for the sake of governing, a process that began during the Merkel
era. Its economic wing still exists on paper, but no longer at the ballot box.
Friedrich Merz quotes Ludwig Erhard, but who in his party
joins him out of conviction? For the moribund FDP, the only question on
election nights for quite some time has been whether it will still register as
an independent minor party—staying below the five-percent threshold—or sink
ignominiously into the "Others" category alongside other fringe
parties. That is not what a future looks like.
Rebuilding the political center through a new party—with new
personnel and a fresh image—will take time. Nor is there any guarantee of
success, especially if it were to become a catch-all for failed figures from
the established parties.
But the attempt must be made. In the interest of this
country, things cannot go on as they have recently.
Gerald Braunberger
Publisher”
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